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BTC $79,126.64 -2.80%
ETH $2,229.39 -2.74%
BNB $674.10 -1.53%
XRP $1.43 -4.15%
SOL $89.31 -3.40%
TRX $0.3520 -0.51%
DOGE $0.1131 -2.69%
ADA $0.2620 -3.68%
BCH $427.17 -2.23%
LINK $10.08 -4.14%
HYPE $44.30 -1.06%
AAVE $93.16 -5.75%
SUI $1.10 -7.59%
XLM $0.1552 -4.74%
ZEC $517.15 -7.46%
BTC $79,126.64 -2.80%
ETH $2,229.39 -2.74%
BNB $674.10 -1.53%
XRP $1.43 -4.15%
SOL $89.31 -3.40%
TRX $0.3520 -0.51%
DOGE $0.1131 -2.69%
ADA $0.2620 -3.68%
BCH $427.17 -2.23%
LINK $10.08 -4.14%
HYPE $44.30 -1.06%
AAVE $93.16 -5.75%
SUI $1.10 -7.59%
XLM $0.1552 -4.74%
ZEC $517.15 -7.46%

20%

Analyst: Ethereum faces downside risk, may drop 20% to $1700

According to Cointelegraph, multiple analysts have pointed out that Ethereum faces downside risks, with ETH potentially dropping another 20% to the $1,700 range. The increase in holdings on trading platforms and the decline in ETF demand are the main sources of pressure.CryptoQuant analyst BorisD noted that from May 5 to May 9, the ETH reserves on Binance surged from 3.36 million to 3.84 million, while the price dropped 7% from $2,390 to $2,260 during the same period. He stated, "This indicates that liquidity is being absorbed and distributed simultaneously. The overall structure still points to dominant downside risks."Another analyst, PelinayPA, shares the same view, believing that any short-term rebound will "be accompanied by high volatility, followed by a continuation of a broader downward trend," and added, "A large amount of ETH continues to flow into trading platforms, creating significant resistance to price increases." The net inflow of ETH to trading platforms surged to 585,000, marking the largest single-day inflow since December 2025—at that time, the ETH price was around $3,000, which subsequently dropped to $1,750 in February this year, a decline of 42%. Such large-scale inflows typically indicate that large holders are offloading.Meanwhile, the demand for spot Ethereum ETFs continues to weaken, recording net outflows for four consecutive days, with a total outflow amounting to $190 million. From a technical perspective, the ETH daily chart shows that the ascending wedge pattern has broken below the support level of $2,280. If the daily closing price confirms a break below, the target will point to the wedge measurement target of $1,725, a 22% drop from the current price, aligning with the macro low on February 6 of this year.Analyst ShangoTrades stated that this breakdown "is starting to become concerning." From a longer-term perspective, analyst CryptoBullGod pointed out that the measurement target for the ETH weekly bear flag pattern is $1,280.

The U.S. CFTC clarifies pilot requirements for using crypto assets as collateral: BTC/ETH collateral must meet a 20% capital adequacy ratio

According to market news, the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) has provided detailed guidance on a pilot program for using crypto assets as collateral. The regulatory agency has notified futures commission merchants (FCMs) that participation in the pilot requires submitting a notice to the market participants division, stating the start date for accepting crypto assets as margin. Key points include:Capital Requirements: Only Bitcoin, Ethereum, and stablecoins can be accepted as collateral, with BTC/ETH calculated at a 20% capital adequacy ratio and stablecoins at 2%. Futures brokers participating in the pilot can only accept Bitcoin, Ethereum, or stablecoins in the first three months;Compliance and Reporting Obligations: Futures brokers participating in the pilot must promptly report significant cybersecurity or system issues and submit weekly reports on the total amount of crypto assets in customer accounts;Expansion After Three Months: Other crypto assets may be used as collateral after three months, while some reporting requirements will be terminated;Limited Use: Only the remaining rights of dedicated payment stablecoins deposited into customer segregated accounts are allowed; crypto assets cannot be used for uncleared swap collateral, but eligible tokenized assets may be substituted.Derivatives Clearing Organization Requirements: Clearing organizations that meet CFTC credit, market, and liquidity risk requirements may accept crypto assets and stablecoins as initial margin for cleared transactions.
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