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hot_img SpaceX will release its first quarterly report after going public on Tuesday after the market closes, with its stock price down nearly 50% from its peak, as the market focuses on Starlink, AI, and lock-up pressure

SpaceX will release its first earnings report since going public after the U.S. stock market closes on Tuesday, with the market focusing on the operational performance of its three major businesses: Starlink, Starship, and AI. Since its listing on June 12, SpaceX's stock price has continued to decline, closing at $114.53 on Monday, about 15% lower than the offering price of $135, and nearly 50% down from its historical high of $225.64, with a market value evaporating by over $500 billion. Visible Alpha estimates its Q2 revenue to be around $6.9 billion, primarily driven by Starlink. In terms of AI business, SpaceX previously acquired xAI and established computing power supply collaborations with Google, Anthropic, and others, with Q1 AI business revenue reaching $818 million. Additionally, the Starship's 13th test flight was recently completed, but the booster recovery experienced a hard landing.After this earnings report, SpaceX will face a lock-up period expiration on Thursday, with approximately 911 million shares (valued at about $100 billion) becoming tradable, raising market concerns about potential selling pressure. Data from S3 Partners shows that investors shorting SpaceX have realized gains of about $8.3 billion. Institutions like New Street and Yorkville Advisors believe that the pullback may provide an entry opportunity for long-term investors, with the ultimate trend depending on the strategic signals released by Musk during the conference call.

News: Driven by oversubscription, SK Hynix will end its $28 billion ADR bookbuilding on Wednesday

According to Reuters, informed sources revealed that due to the subscription scale reaching several times, South Korean chip manufacturer SK Hynix will end its $28 billion American Depositary Receipt (ADR) issuance book-building at 4 PM Eastern Time on Wednesday. It is reported that the final pricing guidance for this issuance will be announced after the close of the Korean stock market on Thursday, and the allocation results will be finalized later on Thursday evening, with plans to officially list on Nasdaq on July 10.The report pointed out that this issuance has attracted strong demand from American investors, with several large orders ranging from $200 million to over $1 billion. The company previously disclosed that institutions such as Baillie Gifford and Coatue Management have expressed interest in purchasing a total of up to $7 billion in ADRs. This transaction is expected to issue 17.79 million new shares, making it the second largest stock issuance in history globally, following SpaceX's record $85.7 billion IPO last month, surpassing the previous records of Saudi Aramco (2019) and Alibaba (2014). As a core supplier of high bandwidth memory (HBM) for companies like Nvidia and Google, SK Hynix stipulates that every 10 ADRs represent 1 share of common stock, with a reference price of 242,500 Korean won per ADR based on the Seoul closing price on July 3.

Next week's macro outlook: The last meeting minutes of the "Powell era" are coming, and Nvidia will release its earnings report on Wednesday

According to Jinshi reports, the US and Israel are expected to resume strikes against Iran as early as next week. Amidst the soaring expectations of interest rate hikes in the bond market, the last meeting minutes of the "Powell era" are coming. Here are the key points that the market will focus on next week (all in Beijing time):Tuesday 9:30, the Reserve Bank of Australia will release the minutes of the May monetary policy meeting;Tuesday 20:00, Federal Reserve Governor Waller will speak at the European Central Bank research conference;Tuesday 20:15, the weekly change in ADP employment numbers for the week ending May 2 in the United States;Wednesday 7:00, 2026 FOMC voting member and Philadelphia Fed President Harker will speak;Thursday 2:00, the Federal Reserve will release the minutes of the monetary policy meeting;Thursday 20:00, European Central Bank Chief Economist Lane will speak at the European Central Bank research conference.The AI boom and consumer spending under inflationary pressure are the two main themes currently influencing the direction of US stocks. Next week, semiconductor giant Nvidia (NVDA) and a number of retail companies such as Walmart (WMT) will successively disclose their earnings reports. Nvidia will release its earnings report after the US market closes on Wednesday, and Walmart will release its earnings report before the US market opens on Thursday.
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