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sell-off

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Bloomberg reviews the U.S. stock sell-off: retail investors sold first, followed by hedge funds and institutions, with mechanical reduction of positions intensifying the sell-off

According to Bloomberg, Wall Street's reaction to the U.S. midterm elections shifted from positive to negative in about 24 hours. The sell-off on Thursday spread from retail investors to hedge funds, long-only asset management firms, and quantitative strategies, causing a loss of approximately $3.7 trillion in market value for U.S. stocks in a single day, with the Nasdaq 100 index recording its largest drop since March 2020. Initially, the stock market rose after the elections due to the reduction of event risk and a decline in oil prices, but investors later reassessed the risks of Democratic scrutiny on data center expansion.In the first half hour after the market opened on Thursday, retail investors were the first to sell for profit, followed by hedge funds and long-only firms. Data from Vanda Research shows that the net selling scale of retail investors on that day was second only to two days during the pandemic shock in March 2020. Its strategist Viraj Patel pointed out that while retail and systematic investors were actively selling, institutional buyers chose to step back. The decline subsequently triggered mechanical selling, with Nomura strategist Charlie McElligott estimating that based on the negative gamma exposure during Thursday's trading, for every 1% drop in the market, options market makers would generate an additional selling pressure of about $7 billion.Volatility control funds estimated that they needed to reduce their holdings by about $61 billion in stocks based on market changes at the time, with about $25 billion in sales still being executed on Wednesday. The rebalancing of leveraged ETFs is expected to bring about an additional $47 billion in stock sales. Vanda estimated that commodity trading advisors sold about $13 billion in S&P 500 and Nasdaq futures. Goldman Sachs' prime brokerage trading desk estimated that fundamental long-short funds lost about 1.3% on Thursday, while technology-themed funds fell over 4%. The basket of stocks in storage, optical networks, data centers, and AI semiconductors dropped by 12% to 15% that day, and the VIX index rose from 16.6 points at the opening to nearly 28 points at the close.

The Democratic Party's sweeping victory in Congress raises concerns about AI regulation, leading to a sell-off in U.S. tech stocks

After the Democratic Party won the midterm elections, U.S. stocks surged significantly on Wednesday, but as investors continued to pull out of tech stocks for the second consecutive trading day, the Nasdaq Composite Index plummeted on Thursday. The tech-heavy Nasdaq fell by 3.3%, and the S&P 500 Index dropped by 1.9%. The Dow Jones Industrial Average decreased by 489 points, a decline of 0.9%. Although stocks like Chevron and Johnson & Johnson rose, it was not enough to offset the drag on the Dow from the tech stock sell-off. AI-related stocks, especially those in the chip industry and data centers, fell for the second day in a row.According to Gate market data, AMD (AMD.O) fell by 12%, Micron Technology (MU.O) dropped by 9%, SK Hynix (SKHY.O) decreased by 8.8%, and Nvidia (NVDA.O) fell by 5%. The Philadelphia Semiconductor Index plummeted by 8%, reaching a new low since April 20. The Nasdaq Composite Index has dropped more than 10% from its closing record high set on October 6.Investors are concerned that the Democratic Party controlling both houses of Congress and winning key gubernatorial elections may lead to more regulation of AI infrastructure development across the United States.Jordan Watson, portfolio manager at Tandem Investment Advisors, stated that the stock market surge and the trend of funds pulling out of AI stocks may only be a temporary phenomenon. However, as investors digest the election results and their potential policy impacts, the market may face more volatility.

first_img Tom Lee stated that the AI stock sell-off has bottomed out, and Bitcoin's resilience shows that the selling pressure may have been released

Co-founder of Fundstrat and Chairman of Bitmine, Tom Lee, stated on CNBC's "Squawk Box" that he believes the sell-off in AI stocks has bottomed out, reasoning that the demand in the AI market remains tight and supply is limited, not due to overcapacity. He admitted that determining the bottom is very difficult, saying, "At the bottom, you don't know how much more downside there is, so the bottom is dangerous." He further pointed out that spending constraints, including political resistance, are slowing down industry growth, but this does not mean the AI boom has peaked.This judgment is particularly critical for companies related to AI infrastructure. Taking the data center business as an example, the supply shortage may cause customers to queue and also limit suppliers' ability to convert orders into revenue. Intel's stock plummeted nearly 30% to $65.76 last Friday due to its fourth-quarter earnings guidance falling short of expectations; despite revenue from data center and AI business growing 78% year-on-year to $7.3 billion, manufacturing capacity constraints still prevent it from meeting demand. The company expects quarterly revenue to be between $15 billion and $16 billion, with the median about $1.6 billion lower than analysts' expectations, and the weak PC business further increases pressure.Lee's second argument comes from the cryptocurrency market. He noted that the cryptocurrency market's reaction to the Binance security incident was relatively limited, with the exchange initially estimating the affected scale at about $6.3 billion. He believes that if cryptocurrency is a leading indicator of risk assets, then the sellers have basically cleared out. Last Friday, Bitcoin fell about 4% to around $76,400, with over $1.3 billion in leveraged positions being liquidated, and the U.S. spot Bitcoin ETF saw a net outflow of $643.2 million that day, marking the largest single-day outflow in October. Binance stated that it has frozen about $3 billion in affected assets and promised to cover the losses with emergency reserves and company funds.

Axis Robotics: The team and investors have not sold AXIS, recent sell-offs are suspected to involve OTC trading counterparties

Axis Robotics issued a statement regarding the massive sell-off of AXIS tokens from October 28 to 29, stating that no team or investor tokens were sold. The team, investors, and other locked allocations total 835 million AXIS, accounting for 83.5% of the total supply, and remain in a custody contract co-managed with Binance, with no tokens transferred out, and they will not be unlocked before the end of the 12-month lock-up period.The project party stated that the tokens sold this time came from a portion of the ecological allocation in the initial circulating supply, which was originally delivered through a single over-the-counter (OTC) trading counterparty, and the relevant written agreement includes lock-up terms. The project party believes that the trading model indicates that this counterparty may sell the tokens on the open market, which, if true, would violate the agreement. They have currently suspended further transactions with this counterparty and are reviewing the agreement with legal counsel to seek remedies; the remaining ecological tokens will only be distributed through on-chain custody mechanisms in the future.ChainCatcher previously reported that, according to on-chain detective ZachXBT, insiders from Axis Robotics (AXIS) obtained over 76 million AXIS tokens (worth over 12 million USD) from a multi-signature wallet, which were then sold off through a DEX, with some tokens transferred to Bitget exchange. As a result, the AXIS price plummeted by 40% in the past 24 hours.One insider sold 42 million AXIS tokens and currently holds over 5.04 million USDC across their 8 wallet addresses.
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