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derivatives

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Coinbase executives: Integrating derivatives, tokenized securities, DeFi, and stablecoins into a unified financial platform

According to a report by TheStreet Roundtable, Coinbase's Head of Institutional Sales, John D'Agostino, stated in an interview at the New York Stock Exchange that Coinbase is committed to migrating the existing financial infrastructure from the outdated ledger system of decades ago to a faster, cheaper, and more stable blockchain ledger, with the goal of becoming a fully functional integrated financial platform in the crypto space.D'Agostino pointed out that Coinbase's current growth mainly comes from four directions: first, derivatives; the company acquired the world's largest crypto options exchange, Deribit, for $2.9 billion last year, becoming a market leader in this field; second, tokenized securities; approximately 20 stocks have been tokenized and are continuously expanding, with assets like REITs included in the tokenization scope, claiming the market size is about $15 trillion; third, DeFi; Coinbase has become the official USDC treasury deployer for the Hyperliquid platform, with about $5 billion USDC in revenue used for repurchasing HYPE tokens on the platform; fourth, stablecoins; continuously deepening the coverage of USDC in the on-chain market.He summarized Coinbase's positioning as, "The safest custody for crypto assets is our foundational moat, while hyper-fast growth comes from tokenizing everything and creating universal applications."

SpaceX IPO expectations heat up, HyperLiquid's SPCX contract rebound points to a $2.4 trillion valuation

The cryptocurrency derivative contract SPCX related to the SpaceX IPO has rebounded on the decentralized trading platform HyperLiquid, as market expectations for the debut performance of the aerospace company founded by Elon Musk have revived. Data shows that the trading price of the SPCX contract rose to about $176 to $183 on Friday, after dropping to around $153 earlier this week, significantly rebounding from the approximately $157 level when the market was focused on it on Wednesday. Currently, the open interest for this contract is about $216 million, with a 24-hour trading volume exceeding $150 million.SPCX does not represent ownership of SpaceX stock, allocation rights, or company equity, but is a cash-settled derivative. However, since the IPO issuance price for SpaceX has been set at $135 per share, this contract is viewed by the market as an important reference for measuring investor expectations for the opening price on the first day of trading. Based on the current price of about $183, SPCX implies a premium of about 36% for SpaceX's first-day listing. Earlier in May, this contract rose to $216, corresponding to a premium of about 60% over the IPO price; while earlier this week, when it dropped to $157, market expectations for the premium narrowed to about 16%.Meanwhile, other informal market signals also indicate a warming of investor expectations. Bloomberg reported that data from IG International's related derivatives shows that the market implies a valuation of SpaceX at about $2.4 trillion, which is over 35% higher than the approximately $1.77 trillion valuation corresponding to the IPO pricing. Additionally, Polymarket users currently assign about a 70% probability that SpaceX's closing market value on the first day will exceed $2 trillion. SPCX had previously accumulated a decline of about 30% over the past few weeks, reflecting traders' cautious outlook on SpaceX's listing performance; however, the recent rebound indicates that the market is recalibrating the potential high valuation premium that the SpaceX IPO may bring.

Analysis: The cryptocurrency derivatives market is turning bearish; if Bitcoin falls below $60,000, it may trigger a larger-scale liquidation

The cryptocurrency market experienced a new round of selling and liquidation on Thursday, with Bitcoin briefly dropping to $61,300 before rebounding to $64,680, currently reporting around $62,500. Over the past two days, the total market leverage liquidation scale was about $3 billion. Data shows that in the past 24 hours, futures trading volume rose to $305 billion, but open interest fell by 8.5% to $111.4 billion, indicating that the market is primarily deleveraging rather than adding new positions.Bitcoin's open interest fell from yesterday's historical high of over 800,000 BTC to 766,000 BTC. Investors seem to be leaving the cryptocurrency market and turning towards AI narratives in traditional markets. The derivatives market has clearly shifted to a bearish stance. The skew of BTC and ETH put options has strengthened, showing that investors are willing to pay higher premiums for downside protection. The nominal open interest of BTC put options with a strike price of $60,000 on Deribit exceeds $1 billion, while the most actively traded options contracts in the past 24 hours were the $55,000 put options.Altcoins have seen deeper declines, with NEAR, ZEC, JUP, DASH, ENA, and FET all dropping over 10%, and HYPE falling 12% after reaching a new high this week. The subsequent performance of altcoins largely depends on whether Bitcoin can hold above $60,000; if it falls below this level, it may trigger more liquidations and put greater pressure on trading pairs with weaker liquidity.
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