cme

In response to Bloomberg's report on CME and ICE pressuring the CFTC regarding Hyperliquid, the Hyperliquid Policy Center, a lobbying organization led by prominent crypto lawyer Jake Chervinsky and funded by the Hyper Foundation, tweeted that the concerns lack basis.The organization stated that Hyperliquid publishes complete on-chain transaction records in real-time, with transparency far exceeding that of traditional exchanges, which serves as a strong deterrent against insider trading and price manipulation, and is beneficial for regulatory agencies and law enforcement to conduct monitoring and investigations.Additionally, Hyperliquid offers 24/7 uninterrupted trading, effectively eliminating price gaps between the opening and closing of traditional markets. The organization acknowledged that current U.S. laws have not yet made specific provisions for on-chain derivatives markets and will continue to work with Washington policymakers to promote the implementation of relevant regulatory frameworks.Previously, the Hyperliquid Policy Center was established on February 18 of this year in Washington, with former Blockchain Association and Variant Chief Legal Officer Jake Chervinsky serving as CEO, receiving a donation of 1 million HYPE from the Hyper Foundation, focusing on promoting a compliant regulatory path for DeFi in the United States.

According to Bloomberg, the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) and the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) are pressuring U.S. regulators to impose oversight on the decentralized derivatives exchange Hyperliquid, citing concerns about market manipulation and violations of sanctions.

According to Jinshi News, the CME "Fed Watch" shows that the probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged until June is 96.8%, while the probability of a cumulative rate cut of 25 basis points is 3.2%. By July, the probability of keeping interest rates unchanged is 93.8%, with the probabilities of a cumulative rate cut of 25 basis points and a rate hike of 25 basis points both at 3.1%.

CME Group announced plans to launch the Nasdaq CME Cryptocurrency Index Futures on June 8, currently awaiting regulatory review. The Nasdaq CME Cryptocurrency Index Futures will be the company's first market capitalization-weighted futures contract, offering both micro and standard contract sizes for trading.These contracts will provide market participants with an efficient way to utilize capital, allowing investment in top-ranked cryptocurrencies through a financially settled futures contract. Upon expiration, the Nasdaq CME Cryptocurrency Index Futures will settle at the value of the Nasdaq CME Cryptocurrency Settlement Price Index, which measures the performance of the most traded and active cryptocurrencies, currently (as of May 14) including Bitcoin, Ethereum, SOL, XRP, ADA, LINK, and lumens (XLM).

According to Jinshi reports, CME's "Fed Watch" shows that the probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged until June is 99%, while the probability of a cumulative rate cut of 25 basis points is 1%. Similarly, the probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged until July is also 99%, with a cumulative rate cut of 25 basis points having a probability of 1%.

According to Jinshi reports, CME's "Fed Watch" shows that the probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged until June is 97.1%, while the probability of a cumulative rate cut of 25 basis points is 2.9%. In addition, the probability of maintaining interest rates unchanged in July is 96%, and the probability of a cumulative rate cut of 25 basis points is 3.9%.

According to BBX data, last week the earnings season for cryptocurrency concept stocks reached its conclusion, while institutional-level derivatives product lines expanded simultaneously. The core dynamics are as follows:CME Group Inc. (NASDAQ: $CME) reported by CoinDesk on May 7 plans to officially launch Bitcoin volatility futures (BVOL) on June 1, 2026, pending regulatory approval; the underlying asset for this product is the Bitcoin implied volatility index, allowing institutional investors to take long or short positions based solely on the magnitude of volatility without needing to predict the direction of BTC price movements, filling the gap for "pure volatility tools" in the existing Bitcoin derivatives market. For corporate treasury managers (such as Strategy-type companies) and cryptocurrency options market makers who need to hedge Bitcoin position volatility exposure, BVOL provides the most direct standardized hedging tool to date.Circle Internet Group, Inc. (NYSE: $CRCL) will release its Q1 2026 earnings report today (May 11) at 8:00 AM (ET) via an official live stream; the current analyst consensus expects revenue of approximately $715 million (Zacks data $717.1 million, S&P Global data $714.9 million, year-on-year approximately +11%, quarter-on-quarter approximately -7%), adjusted EPS of about $0.15---$0.27; last quarter (Q4 2025) reserve interest income was $733 million (year-on-year +69%), with an average market cap of USDC around $76.2 billion; as of May 6, the circulating supply of USDC was approximately $78.1 billion, and the integration of stablecoin infrastructure with Meta and Visa, along with the policy expectations from the CLARITY Act markup in May, are the most closely watched valuation catalysts this season.

According to Jinshi reports, CME's "Fed Watch" shows that the probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged until June is 94.2%, and the probability of a cumulative rate cut of 25 basis points is 5.8%. By July, the probability of keeping interest rates unchanged is 84.1%, the probability of a cumulative rate cut of 25 basis points is 15.3%, and the probability of a cumulative rate cut of 50 basis points is 0.6%.

According to The Block, the Chicago Mercantile Exchange Group (CME Group) plans to launch cash-settled Bitcoin volatility futures on June 1, pending regulatory approval.The product trading code is BVI, with a contract multiplier of $500 times the BVX index value, and will settle to the CME CF Bitcoin Volatility Index (real-time 30-day implied volatility metric). Giovanni Vicioso, global head of CME cryptocurrency products, stated that this move allows traders to directly trade and hedge Bitcoin volatility without making directional bets on the price of Bitcoin.

CME Group announced that it will launch cash-settled Bitcoin volatility futures, scheduled to go live on June 1 (pending regulatory approval). This product is based on the 30-day implied volatility index (BVX), allowing traders to trade or hedge risks on Bitcoin volatility without betting on price movements.The new contract is expected to have the code BVI, with a contract multiplier of $500 × index value, aimed at providing the market with more refined risk management tools.

According to Jinshi reports, CME's "Fed Watch" shows that the probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged until June is 95%, and the probability of a cumulative rate cut of 25 basis points is 5%. By July, the probability of keeping interest rates unchanged is 87.9%, the probability of a cumulative rate cut of 25 basis points is 11.7%, and the probability of a cumulative rate cut of 50 basis points is 0.4%.

According to Jinshi reports, the CME "FedWatch" shows that the probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged until June is 98.6% (before the decision it was 98.8%), and the cumulative probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 1.4% (before the decision it was 1.2%). The probability of keeping interest rates unchanged until July is 96.5% (before the decision it was 94.6%), and the probability of a rate cut is 3.4% (before the decision it was 5.4%). The probability of keeping interest rates unchanged until September is 96.1% (before the decision it was 92.7%), and the probability of a rate cut is 3.8% (before the decision it was 7.2%).

According to Jinshi reports, CME's "Fed Watch" shows that the probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged today is 100%. The probability of keeping interest rates unchanged until June is 98.8%, with a cumulative probability of a 25 basis point rate cut at 1.2%. The probability of keeping interest rates unchanged until July is 94.6%, with a cumulative probability of a 25 basis point rate cut at 5.4%. The probability of keeping interest rates unchanged until September is 92.7%, with a cumulative probability of a 25 basis point rate cut at 7.2% and a cumulative probability of a 50 basis point rate cut at 0.2%.

According to Jinshi reports, CME's "Fed Watch" shows that the probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in April is 100%. In addition, the probability of a cumulative rate cut of 25 basis points by June is 2.6%, while the probability of keeping interest rates unchanged is 97.4%.

According to Decrypt, the crypto market is closely watching the CME Bitcoin futures gap around $82,000, with analysts believing that this position will become a key technical point for determining whether the current rebound can continue.Since the CME Bitcoin futures close on Friday and reopen on Sunday, a price gap is formed in between, and the market usually tends to fill this technical level before choosing a clear direction. If the Bitcoin price can successfully fill the gap and stabilize above $82,000, this rise is more likely to evolve into a sustained recovery trend; if it faces resistance and falls back, it may just be a typical "bull trap."

According to Jinshi reports, CME's "Fed Watch" shows that the probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in April is 100%. In addition, the probability of a cumulative rate cut of 25 basis points by June is 4.5%, while the probability of keeping interest rates unchanged is 95.5%.

According to Jinshi reports, CME's "FedWatch" shows that the probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in April is 100%. In addition, the probability of the Federal Reserve cumulatively cutting rates by 25 basis points by June is 4.7%, while the probability of keeping rates unchanged is 95.3%.

According to Jinshi reports, CME's "Fed Watch" shows that the probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in April is 99%, and the probability of a 25 basis point rate hike is 1%. By June, the cumulative probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 1.5%, the probability of keeping interest rates unchanged is 97.5%, and the cumulative probability of a 25 basis point rate hike is 1%.

The Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) Bitcoin futures market continues to weaken. Data shows that the average daily open interest (OI) in March 2026 has fallen below $8 billion, further dropping to about $7.2 billion in early April, marking a new low since February 2024, and it has declined for the fifth consecutive month. Meanwhile, the monthly trading volume in March fell to $163 billion, nearly halving from the peak of January 2025.Market analysis indicates that this round of decline is primarily due to large-scale liquidations of "basis trades." Previously, institutions profited from price differences by buying spot ETFs and shorting CME futures, which was the core driving force behind the growth of CME positions. However, as Bitcoin prices have retreated from a high of $120,000 to below $70,000, the annualized basis yield has significantly compressed. Currently, the basis yield of about 5% is close to the risk-free interest rate level of about 4.5%. When factoring in funding costs and counterparty risks, the arbitrage space has essentially disappeared, prompting leveraged funds to withdraw.

According to BBX data, based on official market announcements and corporate regulatory documents, the latest developments in the compliance infrastructure of global brokerage giants and the financial strategies of mining companies are as follows:Charles Schwab clarifies the spot trading timetable: The Charles Schwab Corporation (NYSE: $SCHW) President and CEO Rick Wurster officially confirmed in a letter to shareholders this Monday that Charles Schwab will launch spot trading services for Bitcoin and Ethereum in the first half of 2026. The plan will undergo a limited rollout in the second quarter (Q2), followed by a full expansion to its large customer base.CME derivatives compliance expansion: CME Group Inc. (NASDAQ: $CME) announced that, given the record average daily nominal trading volume of $8 billion for its crypto derivatives in March this year, the company has decided to further enhance its crypto strategy by officially launching futures contracts for Avalanche (AVAX) and Sui (SUI) on May 4, including standard and micro versions.Core Scientific plans to fully liquidate Bitcoin reserves: Core Scientific, Inc. (NASDAQ: $CORZ) in its latest 10-K annual and quarterly regulatory filings provided Wall Street with extremely clear guidance: during 2026, the company expects to "substantially monetize all" of its Bitcoin reserves to enhance liquidity and fund planned capital expenditures. This means the company will completely transform into a spot seller, liquidating its digital treasury to purchase the hardware needed for AI transformation.