survey

A Reuters survey shows that the yield on the U.S. 10-year Treasury bond is expected to remain unchanged at 5% over the next 3 months, drop to 4.96% in 6 months, and decrease to 4.75% in one year.

According to a report by the Science and Technology Innovation Board Daily, there is a significant price disparity in the embodied intelligence data collection industry. For the same 1-hour period, the listed price for high-quality real machine data can reach 300 to 1000 yuan, while the hourly wage for end collection workers is as low as 8 yuan, with some original data transactions even dropping to 3 to 5 yuan per hour.The investigation found that the price difference mainly stems from multi-level subcontracting and the resale of data copies. A hundred-yuan order from the client, after being passed through five or six intermediaries, leaves the grassroots collectors with only about 15 yuan. The baseline remuneration for county-level projects is around 30 yuan/hour; falling below this standard poses compliance or source risks. Additionally, the resale of non-original data three to five times is "very common" in the industry, with some teams monetizing the same material through private copies or additional equipment for simultaneous recording.The report points out that while the industry loudly claims that high-quality data is scarce, data collection service providers are valued at tens of billions; on the other hand, low-priced copies are rampant, and data traceability has failed. Some intermediaries gain pricing power through order control, with domestic data producers averaging a gross profit of about 20% to 30%.

A Reuters survey shows that about 55% of the economists surveyed, or 56 out of 101, expect that the interest rate hike in December will mark the end of the current tightening cycle, a figure that is basically unchanged from last month.However, 45 economists still expect that the Federal Reserve will raise interest rates at least two more times, including more than half of the surveyed primary dealers, which is consistent with the expectations reflected in market pricing, and believe that the risks to the inflation outlook have not changed since the U.S. midterm elections. Changes in the political landscape are unlikely to quickly alleviate inflationary pressures.Despite market hopes that the nearly 9-month-long Middle East conflict could be resolved, leading to a drop of over 22% in crude oil futures prices from the late October peak, inflationary pressures still persist. A strong labor market, resilient economic growth, and inflation remaining above the Federal Reserve's 2% target for nearly six years all indicate that further tightening of monetary policy is still necessary.Wells Fargo Chief Economist Tom Porcelli stated, "The Federal Reserve's decision-making depends on the upcoming inflation data, which will prompt it to raise rates again. In fact, the Federal Reserve has every reason to raise rates at the October meeting."

In terms of the S&P 500, when the Republican Party controls Congress, 65% of respondents expect the U.S. stock market to accelerate or maintain its current pace of growth over the next 12 months (with an average monthly increase of about 1.3% this year); when the Democratic Party controls Congress and during a split Congress, this proportion is 37% and 44%, respectively.In terms of bonds, a Democratic-controlled Congress is considered more favorable, with 53% of respondents expecting U.S. Treasury yields to decline at that time, while the proportions for a split Congress and Republican control are 36% and 26%, respectively.

According to a report by Bloomberg, a survey of 301 investors and financial professionals shows that if the Republican Party controls Congress, 29% of respondents expect Bitcoin to exceed $100,000 by the end of 2026; if the Democratic Party controls Congress, this percentage is 8%, and if both parties share control of Congress, it is 14%.The survey used Bitcoin's price of approximately $83,600 at the end of September as a benchmark. In the scenario where the Democratic Party controls Congress, 55% of respondents expect the price to drop by the end of the year but not below $60,000, while 16% expect it to fall below $60,000. The survey was conducted from October 2 to 17, with respondents including Bloomberg terminal clients and website subscribers.

A survey released by OKX shows that among major economies in Europe, 19% of surveyed investors view crypto assets as a tool for creating long-term wealth, compared to 8% who prefer traditional retirement plans. The survey was conducted by Pollfish from October 14 to 18 in the United States, France, Germany, the Netherlands, and Poland, with a total of 1,932 adults aged 18 to 88 who have invested in crypto assets. Real estate remains the most favored long-term wealth vehicle among all respondents, accounting for 34%.In terms of holding intentions, 47% of European investors expect to increase their holdings in crypto assets, with 13% planning to significantly increase their positions; across all age groups, 51% of respondents expect to raise their allocation to crypto assets. The baby boomer generation is an exception, as 55% of European baby boomer respondents believe that crypto assets are not important for intergenerational wealth transfer. American respondents are generally more optimistic about the role of crypto assets in their portfolios, with 55% expecting to increase their allocation over the next five years, and 22% planning to significantly increase their holdings; however, 65% of American baby boomer respondents believe that crypto assets are completely unimportant for intergenerational wealth accumulation, compared to 44% in Europe.Erald Ghoo, CEO of OKX Europe, stated that when investors under 45 on both sides of the Atlantic incorporate crypto assets into their long-term wealth planning, it indicates that crypto assets have become part of how people view personal finance; as these investors age and accumulate wealth, the role of crypto assets in wealth planning will become increasingly important. The survey also shows that American investors remain more cautious about allocating crypto assets in retirement accounts, with 21% choosing traditional retirement plans and 12% opting for crypto assets.

According to a report by Decrypt, a national survey commissioned by the cryptocurrency policy advocacy organization DeFi Education Fund and conducted by Ipsos shows that 22% of American adults have held or used cryptocurrency, up from 18% in 2025, but the usage rate over the past 12 months remains flat at 13%. The survey, conducted from September 8 to 16, interviewed 1,545 adults, with a margin of error of ±2.8 percentage points. The growth almost entirely comes from users who have dropped out: among those who have not used cryptocurrency in the past year, the proportion who had held or used it rose from 5% to 11%; the willingness to purchase in the future also remains flat, with 17% indicating they might hold or use it in the future, compared to 16% last year.In terms of user demographics, the usage rate for men in the past year was 18%, while for women it was 8%, with the former being more than double the latter. Adults under 60 showed a significantly higher usage rate than older individuals. The primary reason for trying cryptocurrency is curiosity (34%), followed by long-term investment (25%). Respondents expressed significant unease about the traditional financial system: only 19% believe it is safe, and 63% think it needs to be upgraded to address cybercrime and AI threats; 60% are concerned about data breaches at large financial institutions, and 54% doubt their ability to withstand AI-driven threats, while 74% indicate that financial privacy is important.This skepticism has not translated into trust in cryptocurrency. Only 4% have high trust in cryptocurrency exchanges, and 5% have high trust in decentralized platforms, while large national banks and credit unions have trust levels of 42% and 48%, respectively. The knowledge gap is also significant: only 2% of Americans are very familiar with DeFi, 6% can identify all four characteristics of cryptocurrency listed in the survey, and 35% are completely uncertain about how to describe cryptocurrency. However, 40% indicate that if DeFi were available, there is at least some possibility they would try it, with over 80% stating they would use it to save money, earn interest, or send money to friends and family; the desire to understand stablecoins and DeFi decreased from 11% to 7% and 8%, respectively.

DBS's survey shows that among the tools being used or planned for adoption, stablecoins account for 63%, tokenized deposits account for 53%, and tokenized money market funds account for 52%.71% of respondents indicated that real-time cross-border payments have improved or are expected to improve within two years. Regulatory uncertainty, security risks, and difficulties in system integration remain major obstacles, with about 64% of respondents hoping that banks will become a unified entry point into the tokenized currency ecosystem.

A Reuters survey shows that high inflation in the global economy will persist until next year. Economists are concerned that rising energy costs and inflationary pressures caused by the Middle East conflict may be deeply entrenched.Since last year, global investment in the AI sector has exceeded $1 trillion. Most central banks have only raised interest rates a few times, and more central banks may take action to raise rates in the future.

According to PR Newswire, City University of Hong Kong announced a survey on the social impact of artificial intelligence. The willingness of Hong Kong citizens to use AI increased from 67.4% in early 2025 to 77.5% in mid-2026, a cumulative increase of 10.1 percentage points; 53.7% of respondents are still quite concerned about their jobs being replaced by AI, a figure that remains roughly the same as the previous year.The survey was led by Professor Huang Yihui from the Department of Media and Communication at City University, conducting three rounds of longitudinal online surveys from February to April 2025, December 2025 to February 2026, and May to July 2026. The latest round surveyed 1,362 Hong Kong citizens aged 20 and above and analyzed a longitudinal sample of 398 participants who took part in all three rounds.The results show that among respondents aged 20 to 34, 61.3% are worried about job security, 60.6% of bachelor's degree holders are concerned about being replaced by AI, and 56.6% of middle-income citizens earning between 30,000 to 60,000 Hong Kong dollars expressed similar concerns. In terms of healthcare, most citizens accept AI assistance in personal health management, but clinical diagnostic decisions still tend to be led by doctors.

According to Eleanor Terrett, a joint survey by the DeFi Education Fund and Ipsos shows that 35% of American respondents believe political candidates should support the development of the next generation of financial technology. However, when the question specifically pointed to blockchain, cryptocurrency, and DeFi, this percentage dropped to 13%.The survey also revealed that 74% of respondents believe the financial system needs reform so that individuals can have more control over their assets. Meanwhile, only 9% of respondents reported being very or extremely familiar with cryptocurrency, and just 5% have high trust in decentralized platforms.Among those who are intentionally trying DeFi, the leading uses are for savings and domestic transfers within the United States, rather than speculation. Cryptocurrency ownership has increased by 4 percentage points, while usage over the past year has remained steady at 13%.

A recent Reuters survey shows that the market's judgment on the Federal Reserve's interest rate outlook is changing. The expectation for an interest rate hike in October has cooled, but the surveyed economists collectively expect the Federal Reserve to raise rates again in December.In the survey conducted from October 16 to 20, 94 economists expect the Federal Reserve to maintain the federal funds rate in the range of 3.75% to 4.00% at the meeting on October 27 to 28. This judgment is consistent with the expectations reflected in market pricing, and this meeting is just days before the U.S. midterm elections in November.The interest rate expectations for December have shifted. In last month's survey, less than half of the economists expected the Federal Reserve to raise rates in December; in this survey, all 100 respondents expect a rate hike at that time.

A Reuters survey shows that 100 surveyed economists expect the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates in December 2026, while action may be paused in October.Among them, 94 expect that by the end of 2026, the federal funds rate will rise to 4.00% - 4.25%. In contrast, in the September survey, only 29 economists held this expectation out of 76 respondents.

The Bank of America Global Fund Manager Survey shows that the biggest tail risk facing the market is a disorderly rise in bond yields, followed by an artificial intelligence bubble.

The Bank of America Global Fund Manager Survey shows that investors believe the yield on the 10-year U.S. Treasury bond reaching 5.9% will prompt a shift in asset allocation from stocks to bonds.

According to a report by The Block citing The Wall Street Journal, the prediction market platform Kalshi is investigating several trades that correctly bet on Trump appointing Katie Zacharia as White House Press Secretary before the announcement was made. Trump confirmed the appointment in a post on Truth Social on Friday afternoon, with Zacharia replacing Karoline Leavitt.At least three bets totaling approximately $173 were placed before the media reported on the candidate, with the market expected to pay out about $9,600 in total after settlement. One bet of about $19 was placed around 10:42 PM (Eastern Time) on Thursday, with an expected payout of $1,896; two other bets of approximately $74 and $80 were placed around 1:41 PM on Friday, with expected payouts of $3,689 and $4,023, respectively.The report stated that a few days before the news broke, Kalshi traders assigned a probability of about 1% to Zacharia. This investigation comes after the Commodity Futures Trading Commission reached a settlement in August with a former White House teleprompter operator who had traded on markets related to Trump’s speeches on Kalshi.

A survey released by Visa shows that consumer interest in stablecoins is rising in the Asia-Pacific region. The survey covered 14,250 respondents, of which 46% indicated they might use stablecoins in the next five years, while the actual usage rate in the past 12 months was 16%. About 49% of respondents believe that stablecoins are likely to become a common method for cross-border transfers within five years. Nischint Sanghavi, Visa's head of digital currency for the Asia-Pacific region, stated that consumer perceptions of stablecoins are undergoing a significant shift.The cognitive gap remains significant. Visa stated that only 6% of respondents accurately understand how stablecoins work, and 49% of those who are aware of stablecoins believe they can only be used for buying and selling cryptocurrencies. Among respondents who are aware of stablecoins but have not yet used them, concerns about fraud and scams are the most frequently mentioned barriers. There are approximately 2.5 billion middle-class consumers in the Asia-Pacific region, with nearly half open to using cryptocurrencies pegged to fiat currencies.Visa has expanded its stablecoin settlement network and is seeking to support more tokens and blockchains. Its partner Reap is preparing a local currency stablecoin for 24/7 foreign exchange settlements in Asia and other markets, which may include tokens for the Hong Kong dollar, South Korean won, and Japanese yen. Asia currently leads the world in stablecoin capital flows and on-chain activity, with payment companies driving the conversion of related demand into everyday payment products.

The latest consumer financial survey by the Federal Reserve shows that American households are experiencing increased debt pressure, with a significant rise in loan delinquencies. The median household debt service-to-income ratio has risen to 15.4%, an increase of 2 percentage points compared to 2022. The proportion of households with a heavy debt service burden has risen to 8.6%, reaching the highest level since 2013.

CoinShares' latest survey shows that among wealthy investors in the United States, United Kingdom, France, Germany, Italy, Sweden, and Switzerland, the majority already hold cryptocurrency assets, averaging about 10% of their portfolios. The survey covered 2,230 investors with at least $500,000 in investable assets, with Sweden's cryptocurrency holding rate at 54%, while the rates for the United States, United Kingdom, Germany, and Switzerland are around 70%.Among investors who already hold digital assets, at least 85% in five of the seven countries indicated plans to increase their holdings by 2026, with the proportion reaching 91% in the United States, United Kingdom, and Germany. The decline in the cryptocurrency market in February this year did not significantly weaken investment willingness; among respondents from the seven countries, more believed that the market sell-off actually increased their willingness to invest than those who felt it decreased their willingness. The survey indicates that long-term appreciation and asset diversification are the main reasons for investing in cryptocurrency assets, with only 6% of respondents primarily viewing themselves as short-term traders.Bitcoin remains the most widely held digital asset, with an average of 80% of cryptocurrency investors holding BTC; 77% of respondents believe BTC will play an important role in the future global financial system, and 79% support strengthening regulation of the digital asset market. Meanwhile, about 40% of respondents in Switzerland, France, the United States, and Germany who work with financial advisors believe that advisors are overly cautious about digital assets. CoinShares stated that the interest of wealthy investors in cryptocurrency assets is forming a stark contrast to the cautious attitude of the traditional wealth management industry.

Digital asset management company CoinShares stated in its latest survey that the willingness of wealthy investors to allocate to cryptocurrencies continues to expand. The survey targeted a total of 2,230 wealthy investors from the United States, the United Kingdom, France, Germany, Italy, Sweden, and Switzerland.The survey showed that the digital asset holding rate ranges from 54% to 70%, with the holding rates in the United States, the United Kingdom, and Germany approaching 70%. Among respondents who already hold digital assets, there is a strong willingness to increase exposure by 2026. CoinShares noted that at least 85% of existing investors in the five markets plan to increase their positions, with the proportions reaching 91% in the United States, the United Kingdom, and Germany, and 78% and 71% in Switzerland and Sweden, respectively.