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According to Jinshi reports, CME's "FedWatch" shows that the probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in July is 70.1%, while the probability of a cumulative rate hike of 25 basis points is 29.9%. By September, the probability of keeping interest rates unchanged drops to 37.2%, while the probability of a cumulative rate hike of 25 basis points rises to 48.8%, and the probability of a cumulative rate hike of 50 basis points is 14.1%.

According to PR Newswire, BitMine increased its holdings by 27,084 Ethereum last week. As of June 28, 2026, its total Ethereum holdings reached 5,700,040, accounting for approximately 4.7% of the total Ethereum supply.Currently, the total value of cryptocurrencies, cash, and other investment assets held by BitMine is approximately $9.8 billion, which includes $555 million in cash and securities, 206 Bitcoin, $180 million in equity assets from Beast Industries, and a $74 million investment in Eightco Holdings. In addition, the amount of Ethereum it has staked has increased to 4,879,157 (over 85% of total holdings), valued at approximately $7.7 billion, with a current annualized staking yield of about $211 million.Tom Lee stated that BitMine was included in the Russell 1000 large-cap index during the Russell index annual reconstitution on June 26, 2026. This inclusion is expected to bring hundreds or even thousands of new institutional investors, as passive funds and ETFs typically hold 18% to 20% of the outstanding shares of publicly listed companies.However, this week has been challenging for crypto investors, with ETH down 8%, despite positive developments in the Ethereum ecosystem such as the establishment of Ethlabs, and a softening stance from the Bank of England on stablecoins. He believes that the "earnings manipulation" effect that appears near the end of the quarter has led investors to reduce holdings in assets that have underperformed over the past three months, but the long-term development path of the crypto industry remains positive, with the dual driving forces of Wall Street infrastructure moving on-chain and proxy AI payment systems still in place.

According to a report by 21 Finance, Huang Zhenxin, the head of Kimi B-end at Moonshot AI, stated in a recent communication meeting that there is indeed a bubble in the current AI industry, but the fundamentals are very solid. Enterprises can now clearly calculate the return on investment (ROI), and the substantial transformation in productivity brought by AI has already occurred.Regarding the recent phenomenon of widespread price increases among model vendors, Huang Zhenxin pointed out that the core reason lies in the rising global computing power costs, and chip production capacity cannot meet the explosive growth in Token demand. He emphasized that evaluating the cost-performance ratio of models should not only look at the unit price of input and output but should also focus on the Cache hit rate. It is reported that Kimi's original factory Cache hit rate has reached over 90%, significantly reducing actual computing costs.In addition, Huang Zhenxin revealed that Kimi will continue to challenge innovations in underlying architecture to sustain the Scaling Law, and its Muon optimizer, which has been validated on a large scale, is now widely adopted by several mainstream large models in the industry. Regarding the "last mile" of enterprise AI implementation, he believes that as the foundational capabilities of models continue to strengthen, the technical paradigms at the application layer will also continue to simplify.

According to GMGN data, the top 5 trending sector tokens in the past 24 hours are as follows:ANSEM (9cRC....ump): Currently priced at $0.1218, market cap of $200 million, 24h increase of +1.57K%, 24h trading volume of $91.12 million, number of trades 353,016;🐂🀄️ (EPD8....nBh): Currently priced at $0.0007, market cap of $620,000, 24h increase of +14K%, 24h trading volume of $10.23 million, number of trades 126,181;CUPSEY (BwAU....ump): Currently priced at $0.0003, market cap of $280,000, 24h increase of +5.29K%, 24h trading volume of $6.37 million, number of trades 66,937;WYNN (G9ds....ump): Currently priced at $0.0006, market cap of $530,000, 24h increase of +25K%, 24h trading volume of $5.21 million, number of trades 63,573;🐂🀄 (7jra....ump): Currently priced at $0.0002, market cap of $170,000, 24h increase of +4.68K%, 24h trading volume of $2.40 million, number of trades 47,653;

According to Jinshi reports, CME's "FedWatch" shows that the probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in July is 69.5%, while the probability of a cumulative rate hike of 25 basis points is 30.5%. By September, the probability of keeping interest rates unchanged drops to 40.4%, while the probability of a cumulative rate hike of 25 basis points rises to 46.9%, and the probability of a cumulative rate hike of 50 basis points is 12.8%.

Strategy founder Michael Saylor has once again released information related to the Bitcoin Tracker and stated, "We are gonna need more charts."According to previous patterns, Strategy always discloses information about increasing Bitcoin holdings the day after relevant news is released.

Jupiter Strategic Reserve Trust, Jupiter Litterbox Trust, increased its holdings by 177,570 JUP yesterday, worth approximately $39,000. This month, it has accumulated purchases of 13,346,232 JUP, worth about $2.93 million. So far, its total purchases amount to 142,703,464 JUP, worth approximately $31.4 million.Jupiter Strategic Reserve Trust is the official on-chain treasury fund of Jupiter, automatically transferring 50% of the revenue from the Jupiter protocol, continuously buying and holding JUP tokens in the open market through smart contracts, and is often humorously referred to by the community as the "Litterbox Trust."

According to monitoring by Lookonchain, F2Pool co-founder Wang Chun has withdrawn 4,950 ETH from Binance again, worth approximately 7.74 million USD.Since May 26, Wang Chun's address has cumulatively withdrawn 91,945 ETH (approximately 159.9 million USD) and 973 WBTC (approximately 6.072 million USD) from Binance.

According to a report by Crypto Briefing, Fidelity Digital Assets stated in its report that by the end of 2025, the number of publicly traded companies holding at least 1,000 bitcoins will increase from 22 at the end of 2024 to 49. Currently, these companies control nearly 5% of the bitcoin supply. Among them, Strategy holds approximately 847,000 bitcoins, Twenty One Capital holds about 43,500 bitcoins, Metaplanet holds around 40,000 bitcoins, and MARA Holdings holds about 36,000 bitcoins.As of early June 2026, between 170 and 199 publicly traded companies hold approximately 1.265 million bitcoins, accounting for 6% of the total supply, valued at around $76 billion. In May 2026, publicly traded companies net added 43,557 bitcoins, with companies like SpaceX also appearing on the holding list.

Fidelity Digital Assets recently released a research report that positively addresses concerns about the long-term impact of Bitcoin halving on network security. The report's author, Fidelity research analyst Daniel Gray, pointed out that Bitcoin network security relies not only on block rewards but also on transaction fees, market incentives, and other economic forces that continuously motivate miners to maintain network security, making the cost of sustained attacks prohibitively high.On the data front, Gray noted that despite the ongoing reduction in block subsidies, the rise in Bitcoin prices has significantly offset this impact. The average daily income of miners has increased from about $26,300 during the first halving cycle to over $40,200 today. He wrote, "Despite the decrease in issuance, miner incentives and the resulting network security have historically strengthened alongside the rise in Bitcoin prices."Since the fourth halving in April 2024, the block subsidy for miners has decreased from 6.25 to 3.125 Bitcoins per block. However, the optimistic conclusions of the report starkly contrast with the current realities faced by publicly traded mining companies. Several industry analysts describe the current environment as one of the most challenging for mining on record, due to the simultaneous decline in block rewards, rising operational costs, and increased competition.In response, several mining companies have begun to transition to the AI and high-performance computing sectors, leveraging existing power infrastructure to meet AI computing demands. VanEck estimates that publicly listed mining companies may need to raise up to $50 billion in additional funds to fully transition to AI infrastructure, but the requirements for AI data centers regarding facility standards, cooling, power redundancy, and networking are far higher than those of traditional Bitcoin mining operations, making the transition challenges significant.

According to GMGN market data, the market capitalization of the Solana ecosystem meme coin ANSEM once surpassed 8 million USD, setting a historical high, and then fell back to about 6.6 million USD, with a daily increase of over 1900%.Meme coin prices are highly volatile, mainly driven by market sentiment and conceptual speculation, lacking clear practical application scenarios. Investors should be aware of the associated risks.

According to Jinshi reports, data from the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) shows that as of the week ending June 23, stock fund managers increased their net long positions in the S&P 500 Index CME by 4,547 contracts to 987,977 contracts.At the same time, stock fund speculators reduced their net short positions in the S&P 500 Index CME by 146,022 contracts to 355,669 contracts.

According to monitoring by EmberCN, the largest long trader on Hyperliquid continued to increase positions after Bitcoin fell to $59,000, opening 500 BTC long positions at an average price of $59,261 through three wallets, worth approximately $30,000,000. Currently, this trader holds a total of about $445 million in long positions, including 120,000 ETH and 2,500 BTC. Among them, the average opening price for ETH long positions is $2,261, and the average opening price for BTC long positions is $69,560. As of now, the trader's overall floating loss has expanded to approximately $110 million.

The Block posted on the X platform that Cathie Wood's Ark Invest purchased more shares of Coinbase, Circle, Bullish, and Robinhood during the stock market decline on Thursday.

According to on-chain analyst Yu Jin's monitoring, the Ethereum treasury company Sharplink, which has not purchased ETH for 8 months, has resumed accumulation today, receiving 5,000 ETH (7.85 million USD) from FalconX 6 hours ago. It currently holds 876,000 ETH (1.37 billion USD), with an average cost of 3,609 USD, resulting in an unrealized loss of 1.789 billion USD (-56%).

According to Hyperbot data, due to a short-term crash in the cryptocurrency market, Huang Licheng's 25x leveraged Ethereum long position was close to liquidation. Currently, Brother Maji has started to increase his position, holding 151 ETH, with unrealized losses narrowing to $5,000, and an investment return rate of -52.86%.

According to PR Newswire, Canaan Inc. announced that the company's Chairman and CEO Zhang Nengeng and CFO Cheng Jin recently purchased a total of 1,065,000 American Depositary Shares in the open market, with an average purchase price of $0.35 per share.The company stated that this increase in holdings complies with internal trading policies and applicable securities regulatory requirements, reflecting the management's confidence in the company's long-term strategy and future development prospects.

According to CoinGlass data, the price of natural gas (NG) contracts is currently reported at $3.289, up 2.72% for the day. The total trading volume of NG contracts across the network has decreased by 22.55% in the last 24 hours, while the total open interest has increased by 5.46% to $987,000. Among them, the trading volume on the Gate platform is approximately $165,400, ranking second globally; the open interest reaches $601,300, ranking first globally.

According to Cointelegraph, Hyperliquid's portfolio margin feature has entered the Beta testing phase and increased limits. Users with account values below $25 million can use BTC and HYPE as collateral to trade perpetual contracts, spot markets, and outcome markets.

According to BBX data, yesterday traditional derivatives giant made a high-profile entry into the prediction market, and a counter-cyclical signal appeared for digital asset reserve companies. The core dynamics are as follows:Cboe Global Markets, Inc. (NASDAQ: $CBOE) announced yesterday the re-launch of binary options products benchmarked to the S&P 500 index ("Yes/No" structure, providing fixed returns or zero at expiration based on contract conditions). This marks Cboe's first return to this category since it withdrew about ten years ago, directly entering the prediction market track pioneered by Polymarket and Kalshi, which has become "one of the fastest-growing areas on the internet." This move signifies that one of the largest regulated derivatives exchanges in the U.S. officially recognizes binary options/prediction markets as an independent asset class, entering the competition with the compliance endorsement of a traditional exchange and institutional distribution capabilities, rather than holding a regulatory exclusion attitude towards this model. For cryptocurrency concept stocks, Cboe's entry has dual implications: first, it further validates the market size and legitimacy of prediction markets; second, Cboe's institutional channels and Coinbase (the only licensed prediction market FCM by the CFTC) will compete in parallel under the same regulatory framework, leading to an increase in the valuation and policy attention of the entire track.Strive, Inc. (NASDAQ: $ASST) was cited in a market analysis report yesterday (pending independent confirmation from the official SEC 8-K document), stating that the company recently increased its holdings by approximately 759 BTC at an average price of about $65,850; based on this calculation, the company's BTC holdings have increased from 19,032 disclosed in the SEC 8-K on June 5 to about 19,791 (approximately $1.17 billion). This increase occurred against the backdrop of Bitcoin continuously declining from the $65,000 to $66,000 range. Strive and Strategy (which also increased its holdings by 520 BTC during the same period) are among the few DAT companies that maintained active purchases during the reporting period; CEO Matt Cole previously positioned the continuous increase in BTC as a "differentiated catch-up" to Strategy's scale advantage rather than a pure directional bet on price. The company holds approximately $139.2 million in cash, and the capital balance between the 9.5% annual dividend obligation of preferred stock (SATA) and BTC purchases is currently the most noteworthy balance sheet risk point.