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Analyst: U.S. Treasury yields rise to the highest level since the birth of Bitcoin, which may continue to suppress the performance of risk assets

Cryptocurrency analyst Darkfost stated on social media that Bitcoin is currently facing one of the most severe U.S. Treasury yield environments since its inception. Although historically, the U.S. federal funds rate and the U.S. dollar index have reached higher levels, the current long-term U.S. Treasury yields remain elevated, with the 30-year and 10-year Treasury yields fluctuating between 4.5% and 5%. Coupled with the market's rising expectations for another interest rate hike within the year, this has led to sustained high funding costs and a tightening liquidity environment.Analysis suggests that in a high-yield environment, investors are more inclined to allocate to low-risk fixed-income assets, thereby diminishing the attractiveness of risk assets, including Bitcoin. Historical experience shows that rising U.S. Treasury yields are often accompanied by tightening financial conditions, which puts pressure on Bitcoin's price movements. The current market is at a critical turning point, with the risk premium of risk assets relative to long-term Treasuries being compressed.However, if the macroeconomic outlook becomes clearer in the future, and investors regain confidence in the bond market, capital inflows into the bond market may drive yields down, thereby expanding the risk premium and improving the investment environment for risk assets like Bitcoin. The market generally believes that this process may take several months, and its evolution will largely depend on the development of U.S. government policies and the overall economic situation.

Analysis: Bitcoin's "silent bear market" continues, recording the worst weekly performance since the FTX collapse

Bitcoin briefly fell below $60,000 last Monday, marking the worst weekly performance since the FTX exchange collapse in 2022. As of last Sunday, Bitcoin had accumulated a 16% decline over the past 7 days, retreating more than 50% from its historical high of over $126,000 in 2025. Several market analysts warned that the current rebound may be difficult to sustain, and Bitcoin may not have reached the bottom of this cycle yet. Griffin Ardern, co-founder of Primal Fund, stated that the market is still quite far from the "true bottom."Data shows that the U.S. spot Bitcoin ETF has recorded net outflows for 13 consecutive trading days, with a total outflow of approximately $5.5 billion. At the same time, Bitcoin fell below the 200-week moving average, widely regarded as a key support level, further weakening market confidence. Paul Howard, a senior executive at crypto trading firm Wincent, described the current market as a "silent bear market," believing that falling below the 200-week moving average is an important confirmation signal for the market entering a bear phase.Analysts pointed out that the ongoing conflict between the U.S. and Iran, the reversal of expectations for Federal Reserve interest rate cuts, and strong U.S. employment data are driving the market to reprice the interest rate path, with a high interest rate environment being unfavorable for the performance of risk assets, including crypto assets. Additionally, some funds are flowing from the crypto market into artificial intelligence and tech stock sectors. Nevertheless, the current pullback is still less than historical bear market cycles. In past bear markets, Bitcoin typically retreated about 80% from its peak, while this round has seen a decline of about 50%. Some traders believe that if the macro environment continues to deteriorate and companies holding large amounts of Bitcoin face financing pressures, there remains a risk of further downside in the market.

Data: The cryptocurrency sector shows mixed performance, the AI sector rises over 3.5%, and BTC falls below $63,000

According to SoSoValue data, the cryptocurrency market shows a mixed performance, with the AI sector rising 3.59% in 24 hours. Within this sector, Worldcoin (WLD) surged 22%, while SkyAI (SKYAI) and Tagger (TAG) increased by 6.26% and 10.28% respectively. At the same time, the DeFi sector rose 1.93%, with Hyperliquid (HYPE) up 2.20%, briefly surpassing $75 during the day, setting a new historical high. Ethena (ENA) saw a significant increase of 21.51% due to factors such as Coinbase Ventures' initial investment in its tokens.Additionally, Bitcoin (BTC) fell again by 6.19%, briefly dropping below $62,000 during the day; Ethereum (ETH) decreased by 4.52%, falling below $1,800.In other sectors, the RWA sector rose 1.48% in 24 hours, with Ondo Finance (ONDO) increasing by 0.56%; the NFT sector rose 2.55%, with Audiera (BEAT) up 19.27%.The Layer2 sector fell by 1.04%, with Polygon (POL) rising by 0.69%; the Meme sector decreased by 1.85%; the Layer1 sector dropped by 3.67%, while Kaspa (KAS) rose by 6.30%; the PayFi sector fell by 3.73%, with Monero (XMR) increasing by 7.60%; the CeFi sector dropped by 5.14%, while Aster (ASTER) rose by 0.15%.The cryptocurrency sector indices reflecting historical market trends show that the ssiSocialFi, ssiCeFi, and ssiMAG7 indices fell by 8.61%, 5.61%, and 5.35% respectively.

Forward Industries' revenue increased by 319% year-on-year, but the impairment of SOL holdings dragged down performance, resulting in an expanded quarterly loss

Forward Industries, a Solana treasury company, announced its quarterly financial report for the period ending March 31, 2026, showing a year-on-year revenue increase of 319% to $13 million. However, due to the decline in the fair value of crypto assets, net losses widened to $283.1 million.The company stated that the growth this quarter was mainly driven by increased staking rewards from Solana (SOL). However, during the same period, it recorded a digital asset loss of $201.7 million and an asset impairment of $85.1 million, primarily due to the price volatility of SOL leading to a decrease in the valuation of holdings.The financial report indicated that the company held approximately 7.04 million SOL during the quarter and earned about 201,200 SOL in rewards through staking, with nearly all SOL assets being staked. Solana fell approximately 33.7% during the reporting period, closing at $82.44. Price volatility is considered the core factor dragging down financial performance.Additionally, Forward Industries signed a loan agreement with Galaxy Digital in March and drew the first tranche of $40 million in financing, using fwdSOL as collateral, with a comprehensive annual interest rate of about 3.4%. The company stated that this financing is used to optimize its liquidity structure.Company management indicated that they have adjusted the balance sheet through cost reductions, debt instruments, and stock buybacks to cope with market volatility and enhance long-term value. Despite a significant widening of quarterly losses, the company's stock price slightly declined in after-hours trading following the financial report, but it still recorded a monthly increase recently.
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