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Robinhood's second-quarter revenue is expected to reach $123 million, potentially surpassing cryptocurrency trading income

According to Dr. Crossroads' analysis, Robinhood's event prediction market revenue is expected to surpass its traditional cryptocurrency trading revenue as early as the second quarter of this year. Data shows that as of June 25, Robinhood has recorded approximately 12.3 billion event contract trades in the second quarter. Based on the usual 1 cent per contract revenue share, this is expected to contribute at least $123 million in single-quarter revenue, pushing the annualized revenue rate (ARR) of this business to $500 million. In comparison, due to the decline in institutional trading volume, its cryptocurrency business revenue in the second quarter is expected to fall below the first quarter's $134 million.At the same time, Robinhood's newly launched prediction market platform Rothera has surpassed 900 million contracts traded in its first week, bringing nearly 60% of potential contract trading increment to the company. Through Rothera's full-stack self-research and vertical integration, Robinhood plans to change the current fixed model where users pay 2 cents per contract (with the company and partner exchanges each receiving 1 cent), reducing the new fee rate to a minimum of 0.6 cents. This move aims to sprint into the top three in the industry through core price advantages while retaining the economic benefits of trade execution entirely within its ecosystem while passing savings on to users.

Polymarket's annual revenue exceeds 1 billion dollars

According to CNBC, Polymarket stated that its annual revenue has significantly exceeded $1 billion, a development that comes just six weeks after its U.S. trading platform lifted the waiting list. The platform operates independently from its international DeFi prediction market and will gradually expand user access after its launch in December this year.Driven by the FIFA World Cup, the trading activity in the prediction market has significantly increased, with trading volumes across multiple platforms rising simultaneously. Data shows that the daily trading volume on the U.S. platform has grown from about $50 million in mid-May to over $200 million on June 20 (based on Dune Analytics data).Meanwhile, its international platform set a record for weekly trading volume during the World Cup, reversing the downward trend seen in April and May. The U.S. business was previously restricted due to regulatory issues in 2022, but resumed operations in the form of a regulated exchange after the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) and the Department of Justice dropped their investigation and did not file charges in 2024.Currently, the U.S. platform is primarily mobile-based, requiring users to download the app via a QR code to trade, with the desktop version not yet available. Polymarket stated that it will continue to optimize market experience, liquidity, and product design to enhance both institutional and consumer-level experiences in the prediction market.

PhotonPay releases the "2026 Global Business White Paper on Gaming: From Traffic Growth to Revenue Realization"

Focusing on the next-generation global payment operating system driven by stablecoins, PhotonPay today officially released the "2026 Global Game Operation White Paper: From Traffic Growth to Revenue Realization." The report reveals a significant pain point in the industry that is severely eroding the profits of global game publishers: despite the top 100 mobile games worldwide capturing 57% (approximately $46.6 billion) of the mobile market revenue, the extreme fragmentation of backend payment channels is causing a substantial loss of transactions globally, leaving countless overseas game developers in the awkward position of "having revenue but unable to cash out."To address this pain point, PhotonPay has launched a multi-route aggregated payment network that can automatically convert players' local fiat currency payments into compliant on-chain stablecoins at the backend. This solution achieves second-level clearing and real-time settlement in over 200 countries and regions worldwide without altering the players' native payment experience.It is reported that PhotonPay is a stablecoin-driven global financial infrastructure operating system. Designed for modern enterprises and global platforms, PhotonPay empowers businesses to achieve seamless fund collection, exchange, and settlement between fiat currency and stablecoins through a single, compliance-first interface. The service network of PhotonPay covers over 200 countries and regions worldwide and holds relevant financial licenses in core global markets, aiming to reshape the efficiency boundaries of global payroll and global payments in the digital asset era.

Data: Bitcoin miners' profit margins continue to be under pressure, with revenue falling below production costs

Bitcoin miner revenue has continued to decline over the past year, with the current 7-day moving average daily income at approximately $30 million, significantly lower than last summer's level of over $50 million. Among this, transaction fees have dropped to less than $250,000 per day, almost negligible compared to block subsidies.Meanwhile, the price of Bitcoin is around $62,500, below JPMorgan's estimated production cost of about $78,000. This state of being below production costs has persisted for five months, the longest duration in this cycle. Historically, production costs are often seen as a soft bottom area for Bitcoin prices. Currently, it is estimated that about 20% of miners are in a loss position at the current price, and the pressure is beginning to reflect at the network level.Over the past six months, the sensitivity of mining difficulty to Bitcoin prices has risen to 0.62, indicating that high-cost miners are increasingly inclined to turn off their mining machines based on price fluctuations rather than continue mining at a loss. In the second week of June, Bitcoin mining difficulty decreased by 10%, marking the second occurrence of a similar magnitude adjustment this year. A comparable adjustment also occurred in the previous quarter, with both instances happening during periods when prices remained below production costs, indicating that pressure on the miner side is deepening.

Leaked documents reveal OpenAI's financial status in 2025: revenue reaches $13 billion, net loss exceeds $38.5 billion

According to financial audit documents disclosed by technology critic Ed Zitron and verified by the Financial Times, OpenAI achieved revenue of $13.07 billion in 2025, but total costs and expenses reached $34 billion, resulting in an operating loss of $20.92 billion for the year. Due to OpenAI's structural shift to a for-profit entity that year, it incurred a loss of up to $41.55 billion from the fair value change of convertible equity and warrants. After accounting for interest and other factors and excluding non-controlling interest gains and losses, the final net loss attributable to OpenAI for 2025 amounted to $38.53 billion.Comparative data in the documents indicate that OpenAI's losses are showing a dramatic year-on-year increase. Its revenue in 2024 was $3.7 billion, total costs were $12.48 billion, operating loss was $8.78 billion, and the final net loss attributable to the company was $5.09 billion. By 2025, its core expenses saw R&D costs surge to $19.18 billion, revenue costs were $7.5 billion, and sales and marketing expenses were $5.73 billion. By the end of 2025, OpenAI had slightly over $50 billion in assets, nearly half of which was cash reserves.Additionally, the document disclosed for the first time the financial transactions between OpenAI and its major strategic partners in detail. During 2025, SoftBank paid OpenAI $867 million, while Microsoft paid $303 million. Meanwhile, OpenAI paid Microsoft service fees of up to $17.2 billion in the 2025 calendar year, of which $10.59 billion was accounted for as R&D expenses (widely believed to be for model training costs), and $6.047 billion was related to revenue costs. By the end of 2025, OpenAI still had approximately $3.64 billion in liabilities to Microsoft.
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