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Article
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first_img Layer33: Calls for a pause on SFDP weekly withdrawals, with the delegation dropping to about 55,000 SOL

The independent Solana validator alliance Layer33 responded to the adjustments of the Solana Foundation Delegation Program (SFDP) rules. The alliance is composed of independent validators, aiming to push for independent operators to collectively hold at least 33% of the network's stake. Layer33 stated that it acknowledges the foundation's remarks that the network scale has exceeded the initial launch plan, the validator pool has matured, and it faces challenges that were not envisioned in the early stages, believing that the delegation mechanism should evolve accordingly. The organization indicated that the new rules replace long-term contributors with short-term participants for a duration of 12 months.Layer33 mentioned that the foundation, in subsequent statements, indicated that participants from the Alpenglow community cluster provided crucial assistance and should receive direct rewards; part of the related adjustments is to make such rewards possible. The organization stated that the SFDP currently holds over 10 million SOL in remaining delegation, and providing substantial rewards to cluster participants does not require dismantling the existing plan; the foundation expressed that the intended recipients of the rewards are precisely the group prioritized for exit. Layer33 also noted that validators remaining in the program will see their SFDP delegation decrease from approximately 85,000 SOL to 55,000 SOL, reducing by about 30,000 to 35,000 SOL; some operators have already shut down nodes and canceled their Breakpoint schedules.Layer33 stated that it does not demand the foundation to change direction but rather to advance in the correct order and update the requests made in the previous open letter: to suspend weekly exit batches until communication regarding not abandoning contributors improves; to supplement details on rewards for Alpenglow community cluster participants; to disclose the analysis behind the 300,000 SOL external staking graduation line, the cap of 100 validators, the 12-month term, and the 55,000 SOL delegation scale; to publish an impact assessment on the current validator pool, including how about 75% of members are identified as non-contributors; to conduct formal consultations with existing SFDP members with processes and timelines; to disclose contribution-based delegation standards and application processes, running parallel with discretionary delegation; and to explain why the program places more emphasis on new validators rather than contributors who have operated and improved the Solana network for many years.

Micron pauses its $4.5 billion factory plan in Taoyuan, labor disputes threaten AI storage expansion

According to Bloomberg, due to ongoing labor disputes with employee unions, Micron Technology has essentially suspended its plans to build a new storage chip factory in Taoyuan, Taiwan, with a project investment budget of $3 billion to $4.5 billion, originally scheduled to start production in 2028. Sources indicate that Micron is concerned that the agreement reached with the union may be overturned, and currently only a small amount of site safety maintenance work is being retained, after which construction will be frozen.The dispute arises from employees' demands to share the profit growth brought by the AI boom. The Taoyuan union is requesting that Micron distribute 15% of its operating profits to global employees and hopes to receive a full cash bonus rather than a portion in stock. Although Micron reached an agreement with the larger Taichung union in October, some employees are dissatisfied with the terms of the agreement, and the Taoyuan union is attempting to expand its organization to push for renegotiation.The project was originally planned to produce high-bandwidth memory (HBM) and DRAM using ASML's advanced equipment. Taiwan currently contributes about 60% of Micron's DRAM output and is also an important production base for HBM, employing approximately 15,000 people. Micron responded that the company's existing operations in Taiwan are normal and will ensure business continuity for customers, but did not directly comment on the suspension of the Taoyuan project. Taiwan's economic department stated that the government will assist Micron in resolving differences with the union and promote the implementation of the investment plan.

Tonight's Federal Reserve meeting preview: The "pause" in rate hikes in October is almost certain, how it will affect the probability of a rate hike in December becomes the focus

The Federal Reserve will announce its October interest rate decision at 2 AM Beijing time on the 29th. The market generally expects the federal funds rate target range to remain unchanged at 3.75%--4.00%, with a probability of maintaining the status quo at over 90%. The wording of the statement and whether Chair Waller's press conference will release more hawkish signals, as well as how this will affect the market's significantly priced probability of a 25 basis point rate hike in December, have become the focus of attention.Goldman Sachs, Citigroup, and Credit Agricole all expect a pause in October and a 25 basis point hike in December. Goldman Sachs stated that if rate hikes continue every other meeting through 2027, a hike in March may be considered, but the baseline forecast does not expect a hike in March. Citigroup mentioned that if the stock market continues to weaken, leading to a sharp tightening of financial conditions, the likelihood of a shift to rate cuts will significantly increase. Moody's believes there will not and should not be another rate hike this week. Nomura Securities expects no change in October and stated that while the Federal Reserve guides expectations for a pause, it retains flexibility for a rate hike in December.TD Securities expects no change in October and anticipates two more hikes in December and March. Huatai Securities expects no change in October, with two hawkish voters possibly casting dissenting votes, with the baseline scenario being one rate hike in December this year and two hikes next year. Morgan Stanley expects a 25 basis point hike in both December and March next year. Bank of New York Mellon expects rates to peak slightly above 4.5%. Bank of America believes there is ample reason to raise rates in October; if they remain unchanged, they will only retain one option for a future hike.

first_img Andrew Ng: AI dangers are being overhyped and development should not be paused

Stanford University professor and founder of Landing AI, Andrew Ng, stated in a post on X that recent voices advocating for the dangers of AI have made significant progress, seemingly driven by a well-orchestrated public relations campaign, and he is concerned that this poses a setback for the field. Ng indicated that there has been no unexpected dangerous turn in AI technology, and the risk of human extinction has not increased compared to a few months ago; related theories remain in the realm of science fiction.He pointed out that the biggest change lies in cybersecurity capabilities, which should be taken seriously, but will not lead to an apocalypse. Recently, the incident where the OpenAI team deployed a swarm of agents to invade Hugging Face was exaggerated by the media, for example, describing 1,200 agents working in parallel as a miraculous ability, while computers inherently run many processes simultaneously. The key factor is the vulnerabilities in the OpenAI sandbox and monitoring; fixing these vulnerabilities and strengthening monitoring is sufficient, and there is no need to pause AI.Ng also stated that large language models and agents should not be anthropomorphized; the responsibility lies with the builders and users, not the tools themselves. Pausing AI progress will cause more harm, as opponents will not slow down; engineering needs to discover and fix problems through empirical evidence. Beneficial applications still far outweigh the risks, and development should continue.

Vitalik: Maintain an open attitude towards slowing down or pausing AI, and agree to initiate a pause if extreme situations arise

Vitalik posted on the X platform, stating that AI 2040 and its critics have incompatible worldviews regarding the speed and significance of AI progress. AI 2040 believes that unless strong measures are taken to completely prevent it, some form of superintelligence will emerge in various scenarios by 2040; critics argue that AI 2040 underestimates human coordination capabilities and threatens freedom, but do not view ASI itself as a risk of power concentration.He believes that if he were convinced that the current form of AI is just an ordinary technology, he would be closer to the critics' camp; if he were convinced that superintelligence would inevitably arrive by 2030, he would be closer to the AI 2040 camp. At the same time, due to significant uncertainty, he remains open to the idea of slowing down or pausing, and feels uncomfortable with the stance proposed by some large AI companies and intellectuals that "open source is detrimental, and the ideal outcome is to maintain global control dominance."Vitalik stated that an important reason he supports the d/acc platform is that directions such as formal verification, cryptography, secure and open hardware, pandemic resilience, defensive biotechnology, food and basic resource security, public cognitive systems, and non-concentrated power physical security are worth promoting under both worldviews. He also mentioned that the 2040 plan has increasingly supported open source and incorporated the idea of "mutual assured destruction of computational power," which is an improvement compared to allowing a few participants to selectively deprive their identified subjects of rights.There is no way to avoid trade-offs regarding whether to slow down or pause, and Vitalik believes that trigger conditions can be preset, allowing for a more open attitude towards slowing down or pausing when sufficient conditions are met within a specific timeframe.He also stated that if he were Elon Musk or Zuck, he would significantly transform Twitter into a platform that helps identify and facilitate such large win-win agreements, encouraging more people to participate in discussions, but he thinks this might also be naive. Currently, he does not see any non-naive ASI transition response plans, so he tends to show some tolerance towards those who are trying.
2026-07-11

Gray: If the Federal Reserve pauses interest rate hikes, Bitcoin may see a rise

Grayscale's research director Zach Pandl stated that if the Federal Reserve pauses interest rate hikes, Bitcoin may see an increase. Since the start of the Iran war at the end of February, U.S. stocks have risen by 9%, while Bitcoin has fallen by 1% and gold has dropped by 20%. Although significant spending related to AI has supported the stock market, Bitcoin and gold have underperformed, partly due to market expectations that the Federal Reserve may raise interest rates to combat inflation. Grayscale disagrees with this expectation, believing that the basic scenario is that the Federal Reserve will pause interest rate hikes. If correct, Bitcoin's price may catch up with stock performance.Zach Pandl noted that since the start of the Iran war, the one-year Federal Reserve interest rate expectations have risen by about 60 basis points, with about half of the Federal Reserve officials believing that a rate hike in 2026 may be appropriate. The European Central Bank has already raised interest rates. As a non-interest-bearing monetary asset, gold and Bitcoin compete with fiat currencies, and an increase in real interest rates will raise the opportunity cost of holding Bitcoin and gold, thereby suppressing demand.Bitcoin has a dual purpose in a portfolio: on one hand, it is a scarce digital commodity that can serve as a long-term store of value; on the other hand, it is a public chain asset that can provide exposure to the long-term growth of the cryptocurrency industry. Therefore, Bitcoin's function in a portfolio is similar but not entirely equivalent to that of gold and growth stocks. Zach Pandl stated that if the likelihood of interest rate hikes decreases, aligning with Grayscale's basic scenario, Bitcoin may catch up with stock performance.
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