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semiconductor

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first_img Omdia expects the Chinese semiconductor market to exceed 800 billion dollars in 2026, with memory chips surging by 262.9%

According to the latest report from Omdia titled "2026 Q2 Semiconductor Application Market Forecast Tool (AMFT)", driven by the large-scale development of AI infrastructure, the expected year-on-year growth rate of China's semiconductor market size in 2026 has been significantly revised upward to 92.9%, reaching a total of $812.08 billion. Among them, the computing and storage category is expected to grow by 126%, accounting for 62.9% of the overall application market, marking that the industry is fully entering the AI-driven era in sync with the global trend.In the segmented chip categories, influenced by the surge in demand for AI cloud and edge inference leading to tight supply and demand, the market size of China's storage chip market is expected to skyrocket by 262.9% to $449.6 billion, with market share jumping to 55.4%. At the same time, AI demand has also driven significant growth in logic chips (27.9%), analog ICs (25.4%), and microcontrollers (15%), creating enormous space for the improvement of local semiconductor self-sufficiency and capacity utilization. In contrast, the wireless communication category, primarily focused on smartphones, although experiencing an absolute scale growth of 68.8%, is expected to see its overall market share decline from 30.43% in 2025 to 26.63% due to the dual pressure of soaring storage costs and shrinking shipment volumes.

SemiAnalysis: Changxin Storage has become the fourth largest DRAM manufacturer in the world, and will not break the super cycle of storage shortages in the short term

The semiconductor research institution SemiAnalysis has released a latest analysis indicating that Changxin Memory Technologies (CXMT) has clearly become the world's fourth largest DRAM manufacturer. Although its production capacity and cash flow are continuously growing, the institution believes that Changxin Memory still faces multiple challenges in equipment, technology, and market, and will not end the current storage "super cycle" in the short term.In terms of specific challenges, export controls on advanced semiconductor manufacturing equipment (such as EUV, advanced etching, and TSV tools) severely restrict Changxin's expansion into more advanced processes and high bandwidth memory (HBM) fields; although domestic equipment (such as Zhongwei Company, Northern Huachuang, etc.) has alleviated some pressure, it cannot fully resolve the integration and yield bottlenecks across multiple process links, resulting in its technology still lagging behind leading manufacturers by several generations. Additionally, Changxin's market share is currently still highly concentrated in the Chinese domestic market, with global expansion limited by geopolitical factors and customers' willingness to diversify their supply chains.In response to market concerns that Changxin might "impact the global market with cheap chips," SemiAnalysis clarified that there is currently a severe structural shortage in the DRAM market, and the increase in Changxin's production capacity may even struggle to fully meet domestic demand in China. In fact, the prices of Chinese memory chips are also soaring significantly, in line with the global upward trend, and Changxin is similarly a beneficiary of the shortage premium. Therefore, Changxin Memory should be viewed as a long-term structural competitive force, and in the current context of accelerated AI demand and constrained supply, it cannot shake the fundamental super cycle dominated by leading manufacturers in the short term.
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