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Glassnode published a market perspective stating that Bitcoin is currently caught between the median realized price (around $63,000) and the cost basis of short-term holders (around $68,700). Spot trading volume has hit its lowest level since 2019, and the market is in an extremely quiet compression state. Despite core inflation falling to 2.5% in July and the stock market reaching new highs, Bitcoin has shown almost no reaction and even weakened, indicating a clear lack of demand.On the other hand, selling pressure is easing: profit supply is approaching the past bear market bottom area, the seller exhaustion indicator has hit a cycle low, and the adjusted SOPR has been rejected near the breakeven line nine times. Meanwhile, buyers continue to be absent, with minimal net inflows into ETFs, and coins are still flowing into exchanges; however, derivatives leverage has already massively gone long, with open interest relative to trading volume being high, and the order book's buy side is also thinning. Glassnode believes that the key observation points are the upper level of $68,700 and the lower level of about $58,500: effectively standing above the former with accompanying volume and ETF inflows recovering may confirm improvement, while losing the latter could easily lead to accelerated declines under thin buy support and crowded longs. Glassnode remains cautious overall, believing this is the late-stage bear market compression phase, and real demand signals have yet to appear.

Renowned trader Doctor Profit posted that a historical indicator for Bitcoin is signaling that "the bottom has either formed or is very close." In 2015, 2019, and 2022, the bear market bottom formation phase began when the realized price of holders for 3 to 6 months fell below the realized price of holders for 1 to 2 years. He believes this indicates that newer buyers are capitulating and selling at a loss, with Bitcoin gradually transferring to longer-term holders.Currently, this crossover is appearing for the fourth time, while the BTC price is below the average cost of both categories of holders. However, historically, this signal does not immediately lead to a reversal; Bitcoin typically experiences several months of sideways movement to complete the bottoming process, so this phase can also be seen as a long-term accumulation range. He believes we are currently in the bottom formation and long-term accumulation phase of the bear market. Doctor Profit stated that over the past few weeks, he has been gradually buying BTC in batches within the range of $54,000 to $64,000, continuing to build his position incrementally with 5% of his portfolio each time.

Binance New Zealand recently issued a security warning, reminding local users to be aware of the frequent SMS phishing scams that have emerged recently. Scammers impersonate Binance officials, using the lure of free cryptocurrency or event tickets, and falsely claim in the messages that their activities have been approved by the New Zealand Financial Markets Authority (FMA).Binance advises users not to click on any links in such messages and not to connect their wallets to suspicious platforms. Users can verify the authenticity of relevant contact information and websites through Binance's official verification tool "Binance Verify" to prevent asset loss.

According to Com Feed monitoring, a fake Wasabi Wallet application has appeared on the Apple App Store, resulting in a user losing approximately 6 bitcoins.This is the 27th fake wallet application listed in the Apple Store this year. ChainCatcher reminds readers to be cautious in distinguishing the Wasabi Wallet application.

The founder of the Liebit Mining Pool (B.TOP), Jiang Zhuoer, made a prediction about the bottom of this bear market based on the previous three rounds of Bitcoin bull and bear cycles: "According to historical data fitting, the decline ratios for the four cycles are: 86.9%, 84.1%, 77.6%, 65.1% (this round prediction), corresponding to a BTC price of $44,016, expected to occur on October 31."

Well-known trader CryptoD stated on social media, "Recently looking back at community messages, I found that the entire Meme ecosystem has become very fragmented. The Chinese and foreign markets are gradually forming different ecosystems, leading to ineffective concentration of funds. Additionally, the market has been in a bear phase for a long time, with no significant increase in funds, but rather more chains emerging and liquidity becoming more dispersed.However, I also believe that the overall crypto market is gradually approaching the bottom, and Q3 and Q4 are likely to be the last period to calmly position before the next bull market."Previous reports indicated that CryptoD earned over 10 million dollars by trading the Meme coin TRUMP.

The founder of TRON, Justin Sun, delivered a video keynote speech at Malaysia Blockchain Week 2026. He stated that DeFi, TradFi, and AI are accelerating their integration through the same assets, payment channels, and user groups. The future of finance will be a connected system operated collaboratively by institutions, open blockchain networks, and AI, and the infrastructure capabilities of TRON will become an important cornerstone supporting this transformation.Justin Sun pointed out that the scale and efficiency of TRON make it naturally suitable for AI agent payment scenarios. The B.AI and Bank of AI within the ecosystem have already endowed AI agents with independent identities and autonomous trading capabilities, with the number of B.AI users exceeding 2 million. He also responded to industry compliance concerns by highlighting the achievement of T3 FCU freezing approximately $450 million in illegal assets, stating that TRON's goal is to build a bridge between humanity and AI, local markets and global liquidity, providing open infrastructure for the next generation of value flow and inclusive finance.Malaysia Blockchain Week 2026 was held from July 29 to 30 at the Kuala Lumpur World Trade Center and is one of the most anticipated Web3 events in Southeast Asia. This event brought together global policymakers, industry leaders, developers, and investors to discuss the future evolution of blockchain, digital assets, and emerging technologies.

Global stablecoin payment infrastructure service provider WasabiCard today announced its participation as an official sponsor at WebX 2026, the top Web3 event in Asia, to be held on July 13-14 at the Prince Park Tower Hotel in Tokyo. As an industry flagship summit hosted by Japan's largest crypto media CoinPost, this year's WebX is expected to attract over 15,000 attendees to discuss the deep integration of Web3 and traditional finance.With the explosive growth of stablecoin applications in global commerce, WasabiCard is committed to connecting stablecoin liquidity with the traditional financial system, providing efficient and compliant cross-border payment channels for global enterprises. At booth S26, WasabiCard will focus on showcasing its core B2B solutions for enterprise-level scenarios, covering global corporate card issuance, real-time settlement of stablecoins and fiat currencies, as well as cross-border issuance capabilities that span over 200 countries and regions and support more than 30 fiat currencies.During the exhibition, WasabiCard's core executive team will be stationed at the booth to discuss customized white-label card issuance and global expansion plans with partners worldwide.

Citigroup Research stated in the U.S. Economic Weekly published on July 2 that the U.S. non-farm payroll data for June showed a significant weakening, strongly refuting the necessity for interest rate hikes. Citigroup believes that several factors that previously supported a hawkish stance, including rising oil prices, accelerated wage growth, and core PCE above target, have gradually faded, stating that "the reasons for rate hikes have disappeared."Data shows that in June, the U.S. non-farm payrolls added only 57,000 jobs, far below expectations, and the data for the previous two months was revised down by a total of 74,000 jobs. After revision, the average monthly growth of non-farm payrolls over the past three months has dropped to about 111,000, a significant decline from over 180,000 before the revision. The unemployment rate in June fell from 4.296% to 4.189%, but Citigroup believes this is mainly due to the labor participation rate dropping from 61.8% to 61.5%. If the participation rate remains unchanged, the unemployment rate would actually rise to above 4.5%.Regarding inflation, Citigroup stated that multiple factors are collectively suppressing price pressures. Oil prices have fallen back to pre-conflict levels, and July CPI and PCE data are expected to show a month-on-month decline; further slowing of housing rents will also drag down core CPI and core PCE. In addition, the revision of the core PCE methodology will adopt a more reasonable price adjustment approach for AI-related goods. Citigroup estimates that the year-on-year growth rate of the revised core PCE may be adjusted down by 20 to 30 basis points, which will be officially reflected in September.Citigroup maintains its baseline forecast, expecting the Federal Reserve to remain on hold at the FOMC meetings in July and September, with the first rate cut of 25 basis points occurring at the meeting on October 28, followed by another 25 basis points cut in December, bringing the federal funds rate range down to 3.0% to 3.25% by the end of the year. Citigroup also expects the Federal Reserve to cut rates three more times in 2027, with a terminal rate range of 2.75% to 3.0%.

Economist and gold supporter Peter Schiff posted on the X platform, stating that the market generally believes it is "almost impossible" for Bitcoin to drop to $20,000, but this judgment lacks basis.Bitcoin fell below the $20,000 level about 3.5 years ago, which is not too long ago, so the possibility of returning to that price range cannot be ruled out. Significant pullbacks in assets over a short period are not uncommon in financial markets.

According to on-chain detective ZachXBT's monitoring, it was found that signs of mixing appeared in the funds stolen from the Humanity Protocol and Kelp DAO vulnerability attacks one hour ago, indicating that there may be an overlap between the attackers of these two incidents.Based on this new evidence, it can be largely ruled out that the theft case of Humanity Protocol was committed by an insider.

CryptoQuant founder Ki Young Ju stated that the phenomenon of Bitcoin driving funds into altcoins, which once boosted altcoin markets, has basically disappeared. He pointed out that since 2021, the trading volume of altcoins paired with BTC has significantly shrunk, and the market structure has undergone noticeable changes. Ki Young Ju believes that the era of "Bitcoin rising leading to a general rise in altcoins" may have ended, and in the future, altcoins may rely more on their own fundamentals, application scenarios, and independent capital inflows to drive price increases.

According to The Rage, the U.S. District Court for the Southern District of New York (SDNY) has approved the government's pre-trial plan, confirming that a retrial of Tornado Cash developer Roman Storm for conspiracy to commit money laundering and conspiracy to evade sanctions will take place this fall.Meanwhile, the Rule 29 post-trial motion filed by Storm is still awaiting a court ruling. This motion challenges the evidence and legal theories that were the basis for last August's conviction, and if the ruling is favorable to Storm, it may prevent the retrial from proceeding.

"New Stock God" Serenity stated that JP Morgan has purchased over 5% of Sivers' shares in the past month. Under the influence of this news, SIVE is currently up only 3.36%. In just the past month, Sivers' circulating shares have shown a major signal of large institutional buying for the first time.

Famous trader Killa stated that after Bitcoin fell below $60,000, large buy orders appeared below the market price of BTC on Binance, referred to as the "plunge protection team" returning. Killa also demonstrated that after similar buy walls appeared previously, Bitcoin often experienced a rebound following a short-term suppression.