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Flash

first_img The Wall Street Journal: Doomsters Long-Term Impact on Anthropic

The Wall Street Journal reported that a small group of artificial intelligence researchers is discussing how to avoid catastrophic artificial intelligence risks in a co-working space named Constellation in Berkeley, California. Sources close to the space indicated that employees from Anthropic also have office space there. The report noted that Anthropic researcher Jacob Coxon resigned this month, bringing public attention in the U.S. to the notion that "uncontrolled AI development could end humanity."The report stated that individuals in the relevant AI safety circles have been concerned about this issue for over a decade. They have honed their arguments in shared houses in the Bay Area and exchanged predictions at conferences in Berkeley and the Bahamas, discussing ideas such as purchasing remote islands, stockpiling iodine tablets, or relocating to desert electromagnetic shielding bunkers. A cocktail named "Death With Dignity" appeared on the drink menu at an event in 2022, referencing an article that suggested humanity is doomed to fail.The Wall Street Journal stated that these so-called doomsayers are among the earliest employees of OpenAI and Anthropic, both of which were founded on the principle of preventing AI dangers. They continue to exert influence, with some personnel and project funding coming from networks associated with effective altruism, including the former CEO of the now-defunct cryptocurrency exchange FTX, Sam Bankman-Fried; the report noted he is currently serving a 25-year prison sentence.

Gate event contracts comprehensively cover cryptocurrency and stock assets, managing short-term fluctuations with zero leverage

According to official news, Gate has launched the world's first stock event contract, expanding the underlying coverage from crypto assets to traditional stocks, supporting bullish or bearish trades in short cycles such as 5 minutes and 15 minutes.As a flexible and efficient short-term trading tool, the Gate event contract has four core advantages: in terms of risk control, the product features zero leverage and low risk, with no forced liquidation or margin call mechanism, and the maximum loss is limited to the initial invested principal; in terms of rules and mechanisms, the criteria for price rise and fall, settlement standards, and transaction fees are all open and transparent throughout the process; in terms of trading flexibility, it supports closing positions at any time, allowing users to control the pace, lock in profits, or stop losses in a timely manner; in terms of participation threshold, it only requires an investment of 5 USDT to start, helping investors quickly implement short-term strategies.Currently, the official incentive program has been launched simultaneously. The second phase of the Gate event contract limited-time trading competition officially started on September 21 at 16:00 (UTC+8) and will continue until October 1 at 08:00 (UTC+8). The event includes rewards for first trades and consecutive trades for new users, daily trading volume tiered rebates for all participants, and a grand prize for cumulative trading volume leaderboard, with participating users having the chance to win a prize pool of up to 12,500 USDT.

Analysis: Bitcoin prices are diverging from demand, with ETF inflows and trading platforms transferring out holdings providing short-term support

CryptoQuant analyst Darkfost pointed out that although the price of Bitcoin is rising, sustained buying pressure is still difficult to rebuild, and market signals are mixed. The cumulative spot demand over the past 30 days is -180,000 BTC, still negative, while futures demand is +54,000 BTC, still positive but slightly declining. The total average demand improved from -188,000 BTC to -126,000 BTC, narrowing the gap but still remaining in negative territory. Recently, there has been a divergence between price and total demand; Bitcoin's price has risen, but total demand has not turned positive, indicating that the increase is more driven by reduced selling pressure rather than strong buying.Looking at different sectors, the demand recovery is not uniform. For institutions, the geopolitical and macro environment is poor, but the Coinbase Premium, weighted by trading volume, has briefly turned positive, indicating that U.S. spot prices occasionally have a premium over other markets, and institutional selling pressure has significantly eased. ETFs have seen the biggest change in this round, with demand completely reversing compared to this summer, having recently net purchased about 70,000 BTC. The cumulative net inflow for 2026 is still about -17,000 BTC, but it is close to turning positive. In terms of trading platforms, the entire month of September has been characterized by net outflows, leaning towards accumulation rather than distribution. Bitcoin leaving trading platforms usually means that short-term selling pressure is lighter. Analyst Darkfost summarized that the current price increase is not due to enhanced buying pressure, but rather because investors have not continued to increase selling pressure at higher price levels, and the market structure remains fragile.

Wintermute: Two major catalysts land, BTC breaks range to create an eight-month high

Wintermute released the market weekly report, stating that the Federal Reserve passed an interest rate hike of 25 basis points to 3.75-4% with a unanimous vote of 12-0 on September 21. Sixteen officials expect at least one more rate hike this year, and inflation is not expected to return to the 2% target before 2029.The two major catalysts that the market was focused on—the FOMC rate hike and the CLARITY Act—have both materialized: the CLARITY Act failed to pass in the Senate (49-50, not reaching the 60-vote threshold), and the SEC and CFTC immediately stated they would formulate cryptocurrency regulatory rules under existing authority. The market adjusted for only one trading day before recovering. BTC traded this week in the range of $75,000 to $81,000, with a weekly closing price of $81,159, marking the first time since last November that it has stood above the 50-week moving average; ETH rose 6.7%, trading in the range of $2,350 to $2,600.In terms of ETF funds, there was a net outflow of $746 million from Tuesday to Wednesday, followed by a return of $593 million from Thursday to Friday, resulting in a net outflow of about $6 million over five trading days, with the outflow triggered by CLARITY almost fully replenished within 48 hours. Entering this week, both BTC and ETH broke through the upper range before the U.S. stock market opened, accompanied by about $250 million in short liquidations, with BTC briefly reaching $86,000, a new eight-month high.
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