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Duan Yongping: Jensen Huang's departure will not affect NVIDIA in the short term, and he may serve as a shadow CEO

Renowned investor Duan Yongping stated that Jensen Huang's departure may be the final decision made by NVIDIA's board of directors. In the short term, it will not affect NVIDIA's business, but whether it can maintain its competitive advantage in the coming years depends on finding a suitable successor CEO. Jensen Huang is diligent and has a forward-looking perspective on the development of the AI industry, making it challenging to find a successor with these qualities.Duan Yongping mentioned that NVIDIA's business model heavily relies on an excellent management team. If the capabilities and execution of the management team cannot be maintained, the company's competitiveness in the next 3 to 5 years may be impacted. However, the AI industry is still in its early stages, and it is expected to maintain good growth momentum over the next decade. Regarding the possibility of Jensen Huang returning in the future, Duan Yongping stated that if the reasons for his departure still exist, it is highly likely that Jensen Huang will not return as CEO. However, NVIDIA may also consider inviting him to serve in advisory roles or similar positions, allowing him to continue exerting influence in a shadow CEO capacity, but without formal signing responsibilities. Relevant arrangements may not have clear conclusions before the end of the hearing, and the final outcome may still require some time to wait.

Bloomberg: Wintermute wins approximately 76% of the priority data auction for Hyperliquid

According to Bloomberg, the crypto market maker Wintermute has become the main user of Hyperliquid's priority data auction mechanism. This mechanism allows traders to bid for the right to view incoming buy and sell orders before they are processed by the exchange, giving them a few milliseconds to adjust their quotes or hedge on other platforms.Blockchain analytics platform Loris Tools found that in the past month, a wallet associated with Wintermute won about 76% of the highest priority data slot auctions.This mechanism has raised questions about whether it favors large trading firms. DRW founder Don Wilson previously questioned whether it is fairer than the server hosting mechanisms of traditional exchanges and whether it can meet U.S. regulatory requirements.The founder of Loris Tools believes that to fully leverage this speed advantage, direct connections to nodes operated by the Hyperliquid Foundation are necessary, and this access has trading volume and token staking requirements.Wintermute founder and CEO Evgeny Gaevoy stated that the auctions are more transparent than the low-latency networks and server hosting of traditional finance, and the company primarily uses this service for cryptocurrency trading. Hyperliquid Labs stated that anyone can participate in the bidding, and all priority fee payments are publicly recorded on-chain.

Barclays: The Nvidia controversy and financing risks cannot hinder the long-term trend of AI; investors should still maintain exposure

Julian Lafarge, Chief Market Strategist at Barclays Private Bank, stated that despite the uncertainty surrounding Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang's future, the uncertain returns on AI investments, and rising financing costs testing market confidence, investors should continue to participate in the AI market. Lafarge believes that AI is not a bubble but a technological revolution that will impact all industries, although its commercialization and infrastructure development cannot happen overnight.Lafarge pointed out that Nvidia is referred to as the "central bank of AI trading," but even if the company changes its CEO, it does not mean that the entire AI industry chain's trading needs to be re-evaluated or renegotiated. He compared the potential leadership transition at Nvidia to previous management transitions at Microsoft, Alphabet, and Amazon, arguing that a successor taking over does not necessarily weaken corporate value.However, Barclays lists interest rates and the financing environment as major risks that could disrupt the market. As the scale of AI infrastructure investment expands, the market's focus is shifting from whether the demand for computing power is real to whether the massive capital expenditures can generate sufficient returns. Data center construction also faces bottlenecks such as power access, equipment installation, and commercial operation cycles, while expectations of tightening Federal Reserve policies may also raise corporate financing costs and depress long-term cash flow valuations.Lafarge emphasized that the trillions of dollars in AI investment commitments cannot quickly translate into actual computing power delivery, and there will be significant divergence in investment returns among companies. Tighter financing conditions may change the pace of industry investment and competitive landscape, but it does not mean that the long-term demand for AI infrastructure will disappear. Barclays still prefers to maintain exposure to AI investments until there are clear signs of a significant slowdown in industry growth momentum.
14 giờ trước

Bloomberg: The Federal Reserve discusses the term of Williams, which may end in 2027 or 2028

Bloomberg cited informed sources reporting that as the longest-serving policymaker at the Federal Reserve approaches retirement, discussions are underway within the Fed regarding the term limit rules for regional Fed presidents. The focus is on whether John Williams, the president of the New York Fed, can serve until June 2028, which would mark his 10-year tenure as president of the New York Fed, or if he must step down when he turns 65 in June 2027.According to relevant rules, regional Fed presidents are typically required to retire at 65; however, those who are first appointed after the age of 55 may serve for up to 10 years or until they reach 75, whichever comes first, as determined by the regional Fed board. One point of contention is whether the years Williams served as president of the San Francisco Fed from 2011 to 2018 count toward this 10-year limit. Williams himself and several observers have previously interpreted the rules as allowing him to serve until June 2028. He told Bloomberg last month that he plans to serve until that time and described it as a commitment to the New York Fed board and his family.If Williams steps down in 2027, Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh would have the opportunity to influence the appointment of this important regional Fed leader a year earlier. Informed sources say it is currently unclear whether Warsh or other board officials support ending his term early; if there is a push for him to leave prematurely, it could provoke opposition from other regional Fed presidents, who may be concerned about further Washington intervention in regional Fed operations. A spokesperson for the Federal Reserve Board and Pat Wang, chair of the New York Fed board, both declined to comment. The New York Fed board has not yet officially announced the initiation of the succession selection process, which typically takes several months.

first_img The U.S. midterm elections have 14 undecided races, which may add more supporters for the Congress

More than a week after the "blue wave" in the U.S. midterm elections allowed the Democratic Party to gain control of both the House and Senate, there are still 14 election results yet to be announced. According to Stand With Crypto, the results that have been announced have increased the number of crypto supporters in both chambers, and the remaining elections may bring in more supporters. In the undecided House races, three candidates have received support from the crypto political action committee (PAC), and all candidates in these districts are classified as "strongly support crypto" or "undecided."Specifically, Alaska Congressman Nick Begich is currently leading, with Fairshake's Republican affiliate Defend American Jobs investing $508,000 in him during the primary in early August; the same PAC invested $150,600 in North Carolina's 7th District Congressman David Rouzer, who is also leading. Louisiana State Senator Blake Miguez will enter the runoff on December 12 against the state's 6th District Democrat Chauna Banks, with Fellowship PAC investing $250,000 in him. On November 11, the Associated Press determined that South Carolina's 2nd District incumbent Congressman Joe Wilson won, and Stand With Crypto rated him as "strongly support crypto." His victory brings the total number of crypto supporters in the House to 246 and opponents to 107, while the Senate has 50 supporters and 33 opponents.Lindsay Fraser, Chief Policy Officer of the Blockchain Association, stated that the undecided new lawmakers "represent an opportunity." She noted that nearly a quarter of the new Congress members are newcomers, many of whom have not given much thought to blockchain technology, which is akin to "a blank slate." The association plans to organize outreach activities in January next year to engage newly elected lawmakers, aiming to get more lawmakers into Stand With Crypto's A and B ratings. She also mentioned that age influences lawmakers' crypto voting tendencies more than party affiliation, with lawmakers under 55 being significantly more likely to support the industry, and the new Congress overall being younger; she hopes the industry can face two candidates with in-depth thoughts on the industry in the 2028 election, avoiding the industry's fate being dependent on a single election outcome.

Glassnode: Bitcoin has fallen below the cost basis for short-term holders, with stablecoin supply decreasing by 14.2 billion USD over 30 days

Glassnode posted on platform X that Bitcoin has fallen below the short-term holder cost price of $75,600, underperforming compared to U.S. stocks, and the funds that could drive its rise are continuously flowing out. Currently, about 35% of short-term holders are in profit, with sellers averaging small losses.In terms of capital, the total supply of stablecoins has decreased by $14.2 billion over the past 30 days, marking the fastest contraction since June 2022; the U.S. spot Bitcoin ETF has seen a net outflow of $1.6 billion over the past 20 trading days; excluding the impact of USDT falling below $1, the 30-day average premium on Coinbase has remained negative, with the discount being the deepest since February. On the macro front, the two-year U.S. Treasury yield is at 4.75%, which is 75 basis points higher than the current 4% rate of the Federal Reserve, indicating that the bond market expects further rate hikes, but it is far from the level of 244 basis points in June 2022.However, there are also positive signals, as the decline has cleared most of the long leverage near the price, with the largest concentration of liquidations located between $59,500 and $62,600; since the sell-off on November 5, buy orders within a 5% price range in the Binance and Coinbase spot order books have consistently outnumbered sell orders; wallets holding between 100 to 1,000 BTC and 1,000 to 10,000 BTC have started to accumulate over the past week.Glassnode stated that if it returns to $75,600, it will support the judgment of a trend reversal in August; if it continues to fall below $73,000, it may enter a longer period of consolidation; if it closes below the June low of $58,500, the trend reversal since August will be broken.

Huobi HTX Chief Analyst Cloud: The leverage liquidation in the cryptocurrency market has been relatively sufficient, and the short-term space for further decline is limited

In October, the U.S. CPI exceeded expectations. After the data was released, BTC briefly fell to around $73,000, and the market began to bet on a 50 basis point rate hike in December. In response, Cloud, the chief analyst at Huobi HTX, believes that the probability of a 50 basis point hike is low, and a 25 basis point increase remains the baseline scenario. The current decline is more akin to a pricing correction.There are three reasons: The Federal Reserve values the continuity of data, and historically, there are very few cases where a single month's CPI jump has changed the pace of rate hikes; a single month of exceeding expectations is insufficient to overturn the gradual path; the current inflation stickiness mainly stems from the lagged transmission of tariffs and rents, which will naturally diminish, and marginal employment is also weakening. The committee has no reason to impose aggressive tightening at the peak of transmission; the credit spread has widened from 93 basis points to 348 basis points, financial conditions have effectively tightened, and adding another 50 basis points would actively create financial stability risks.In the crypto market, funding rates have turned negative, and the open interest in perpetual contracts has decreased by nearly 20% in a week. The fear and greed index has fallen into the deep fear zone, and the clearing of leverage has been relatively sufficient, limiting the space for further short-term declines. However, an oversold situation does not mean an immediate rebound; confirmation is needed for CPI to fall in the next two months. If inflation exceeds expectations for two consecutive months and a 50 basis point hike is realized, a trend decline will begin, but currently, this scenario seems unlikely.Note: The content of this article does not constitute investment advice, nor does it constitute any offer, solicitation, or recommendation of investment products.

first_img Embodied Data Collection Price Survey: The hourly wage for a thousand yuan quote terminal drops to 8 yuan, with multi-level subcontracting and resale of copies creating a price difference black hole

According to a report by the Science and Technology Innovation Board Daily, there is a significant price disparity in the embodied intelligence data collection industry. For the same 1-hour period, the listed price for high-quality real machine data can reach 300 to 1000 yuan, while the hourly wage for end collection workers is as low as 8 yuan, with some original data transactions even dropping to 3 to 5 yuan per hour.The investigation found that the price difference mainly stems from multi-level subcontracting and the resale of data copies. A hundred-yuan order from the client, after being passed through five or six intermediaries, leaves the grassroots collectors with only about 15 yuan. The baseline remuneration for county-level projects is around 30 yuan/hour; falling below this standard poses compliance or source risks. Additionally, the resale of non-original data three to five times is "very common" in the industry, with some teams monetizing the same material through private copies or additional equipment for simultaneous recording.The report points out that while the industry loudly claims that high-quality data is scarce, data collection service providers are valued at tens of billions; on the other hand, low-priced copies are rampant, and data traceability has failed. Some intermediaries gain pricing power through order control, with domestic data producers averaging a gross profit of about 20% to 30%.

Anthropic's roadshow disclosed a long-term operating profit margin target of 35% or above

On November 10, AI company Anthropic disclosed in its IPO roadshow video that the company believes it can achieve an adjusted operating profit margin of 35% or more in the long term, up from 15% in the third quarter of 2026, but did not provide a specific timeline for achieving this. Chief Financial Officer Krishna Rao stated that the company plans to improve its long-term cost structure by enhancing computing efficiency, increasing the proportion of directly leased chips and data centers, and expanding the share of its inference business. The ratio of computing and infrastructure expenses to revenue aims to decrease from 58% in the third quarter to 45% to 50%; the proportion of sales, marketing, and partnership expenses is expected to drop from 14% to 7% to 10%, and adjusted personnel and other operating expenses are expected to decrease from 13% to 7% to 10%.As of the end of September, there were over 11,900 enterprise customers that contributed more than $100,000 in revenue to Anthropic over the past 12 months, including over 1,900 customers contributing more than $1 million and about 250 customers contributing over $10 million. The net revenue retention rate for enterprise customers is approximately 900%, with more than half of the enterprise customers using both the Claude Platform and at least one Anthropic proprietary application. The roadshow also showcased application cases from clients such as Eli Lilly, Rakuten, Salesforce, and Walmart. The company measures computing efficiency by the ratio of revenue to computing and infrastructure expenses, which increased from 0.40 times in the first quarter of 2025 to 1.72 times in the third quarter of 2026, approximately 4.3 times higher than before, but lower than the second quarter's 2.08 times. The company stated that it used about $5 billion in short-term computing in the third quarter, with costs significantly higher than those for computing procured under multi-year agreements.In terms of actual performance, Anthropic reported third-quarter revenue of $16.956 billion, adjusted operating profit of $2.463 billion, and an adjusted operating profit margin of 15%, down from 19% in the second quarter. Under GAAP standards, the company still recorded an operating loss of $567 million in the third quarter. The adjusted metrics exclude expenses such as equity incentives and non-cash charitable donations and cannot be equated to GAAP earnings. As of the end of October, the company's annualized revenue run rate was approximately $81 billion, not the actual revenue achieved for the full year. Additionally, Anthropic disclosed long-term commitments for computing and infrastructure of about $90 billion, of which approximately $45.16 billion is expected to occur by the end of 2030, with related commitments maturing in the next 12 months amounting to about $7.07 billion. As of the end of the third quarter, the company held approximately $96 billion in cash and cash equivalents and about $36 billion in short-term investments.
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