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Tonight at 20:30, we will once again welcome the U.S. July retail sales data, known for its "terrifying data" reputation. This data will directly reflect the consumption willingness and purchasing power of American residents, serving as a key barometer for determining whether the economy is experiencing a soft landing or a stall.If the data is significantly stronger than expected, it may reinforce the narrative that "the economy still has resilience," boosting the dollar and dampening interest rate cut expectations; if it is significantly weaker than expected, it may exacerbate recession concerns and further boost precious metals and risk-averse sentiment.

Former senior foreign exchange diplomat from Japan, Mitsuhiro Furusawa, stated that the yen is currently too weak, which may lead to a joint intervention in the foreign exchange market by Japan and the United States again.He expects the Bank of Japan to raise interest rates in September and to raise them again in December or January next year, with a target rate of 1.5% to 1.75%.

The market no longer fully prices in the Federal Reserve's interest rate hikes this year.

Market pricing shows that the probability of the Federal Reserve maintaining the interest rate in the range of 3.5%-3.75% in September is about 65%, up from about 60% before the release of the PPI report.

The Federal Reserve's Harker reiterated that interest rates must be raised now, and the labor market is stable.

Bitget has launched the US stock bottom-fishing interest-earning product FCN (Fixed Coupon Note), allowing users to use USDT to subscribe to structured products linked to US stock rToken and set target purchase prices. According to the product rules, if the observation price at maturity is greater than or equal to the exercise price, users will receive the USDT principal and the agreed USDT interest; if the observation price at maturity is lower than the exercise price, the USDT principal will be converted into the corresponding number of US stock rToken at the exercise price, while also receiving the agreed USDT interest.At the same time, the platform has launched a first-time rebate activity. Users who successfully subscribe to FCN for the first time with a single amount of no less than 1,000 USDT can receive up to 20 USDT; if the cumulative subscription amount reaches the specified threshold, an individual can receive a maximum cashback reward of 10,000 USDT. For more details, please refer to the official Bitget platform.

Japanese Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi supports the Bank of Japan's recent interest rate hike, with the next action possibly in September or October. Due to concerns about the weak yen driving up prices, both sides are increasingly aligned on the necessity of raising interest rates. The Prime Minister's Office believes that specific monetary policy measures should be decided by the Bank of Japan, but both sides should work closely together to "stabilize" the achievement of the 2% inflation target.

According to official social media news, Huobi HTX will hold a themed live broadcast today at 20:00 titled "Non-Farm Payrolls Surprise Ignites Rate Cut Trading: Which Will Break Through First Among U.S. Stocks, Gold, and BTC?" At that time, crypto KOLs such as Pump Pump Superman, Xiao Zhi, 77, and Grace will be invited to attend, discussing the unexpected changes in non-farm data, the rising expectations for rate cuts in the market, and the interlinked trends of the three major assets: U.S. stocks, gold, and BTC. They will analyze market trading opportunities and potential risks under changes in macro liquidity.

According to the latest exchange report released by CoinDesk, the Gate RWA perpetual contract market continues to grow, with the total trading volume in July rising to $460 billion, setting a new historical high. Gate ranks among the top three global centralized trading platforms with a market share of 4.39%, continuously strengthening its market layout in the RWA derivatives trading field.In terms of spot trading, Gate ranks as a top global spot trading platform with a Grade A rating in July, achieving a spot trading volume of $35.8 billion and a market share of 4.93%, placing it fourth globally. In the derivatives sector, Gate's futures trading volume in July reached $276 billion, with a derivatives market share of 9.08%; the open interest market share reached 11.2%, ranking it among the top two retail trading platforms. Meanwhile, in the comprehensive ranking of spot and derivatives trading volume, Gate has consistently remained in the global top four, further reflecting the platform's activity and comprehensive trading capability in the global crypto asset trading market.As of July, Gate's global user count has exceeded 58 million, supporting over 4,900 trading pairs and more than 12,500 stock assets. Additionally, Gate launched the gStocks tokenized securities service in July, supporting 1:1 fully reserved stock assets, 24/7 trading, and unified account management, further expanding the connection between traditional financial assets and the digital asset ecosystem. As of July 27, Gate's overall reserve rate reached 117%, covering nearly 500 types of user assets, with BTC and ETH reserves continuing to grow. With a robust increase in asset reserves, Gate is continuously optimizing its existing product ecosystem, leading the development of global digital assets and innovative applications.

Hyperliquid News posted on the X platform that the value of open contracts for HIP-3 has reached a historic high of 4.12 billion dollars.

Economists say that the mixed July employment report released last week has heightened the importance of inflation data. LPL Financial Chief Economist Jeffrey Roach pointed out that the path of the Federal Reserve's interest rate hikes will depend on how long inflation remains elevated.Vanguard analyst Hicklin believes that the July employment report and the expected improvement in inflation will strengthen the Federal Reserve's reasons to hold steady before the end of the year. Recent data releases have bolstered market confidence that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged this year.

According to a report by the Japan Times, informed sources say that the Bank of Japan may consider raising interest rates again at its next policy meeting scheduled for September 17 to 18, in response to the increasing risk of inflation.

According to Coinglass data, the total contract open interest for BTC has decreased by 6.21% in the past 24 hours, with the current total open interest at $45.452 billion. Among them, Binance's open interest is $9.3 billion, OKX's open interest is $2.67 billion, Bybit's open interest is $4.477 billion, and Gate's open interest is $4.211 billion.

The Solana ecosystem lending protocol Jupiter launched Lend v2 on Monday, allowing deposit and borrowing positions to simultaneously act as trading liquidity, enabling users to earn lending interest and exchange fee sharing from the same funds.This product introduces optional Smart Collateral and Smart Debt features, which automatically pair assets to correlated liquidity pools. When traders route exchanges through these pools, deposit users' yields can be enhanced, and borrowing costs can be offset.In correlated pools, even if one stablecoin depegs, borrowers are still protected; however, collateral providers will bear the losses of any asset. Jupiter limits this design to stablecoin trading pairs and trading pairs composed of SOL and its staked versions to mitigate correlated risks.

White House economic advisor Kevin Hassett stated that he would not succeed Lisa Cook if the Federal Reserve Board member were to be removed from her position due to related allegations.Hassett mentioned that the allegations against Cook are matters under investigation by law enforcement and expressed, "I hope Cook is innocent." Previously, Cook had been challenging the Trump administration's attempts to remove her from her position as a Federal Reserve Board member.Regarding monetary policy, Hassett indicated that if he were involved in decision-making, he would lean towards maintaining the current interest rate levels or implementing rate cuts. He believes that inflation in the United States is easing, while the growth momentum on the supply side remains strong, providing room for a more accommodative policy environment.

According to Fortune, the Trump family is accelerating its entry into the prediction market space, with the Trump Media Technology Group developing a prediction market platform called TruthPredict, allowing users to trade prediction contracts related to significant events. The company has also launched the Truth API, providing Wall Street with quick data access to Truth Social content. Additionally, Donald Trump Jr., the eldest son of Trump, currently serves as a strategic advisor to Kalshi, and his venture capital firm 1789 Capital has invested in competitor Polymarket and joined the advisory board of Polymarket. This means the Trump family is simultaneously associated with the two major prediction market platforms, while the Trump Media Group is building its own prediction market business.Although there is currently no public evidence showing that Donald Trump Jr. or the Trump family is trading on government insider information, the potential conflicts of interest arising from the intertwining of presidential public information, market trading, and family business interests are drawing external attention. Federal agencies are still investigating whether former White House teleprompter operator Gabriel Perez used advance knowledge of Trump's speech content to trade in related markets on Kalshi. The team of Donald Trump Jr. and the Trump Media Technology Group have yet to formally respond to requests for comments regarding insider trading related to the prediction market.

In July, the United States unexpectedly lost 23,000 jobs, far below the expected increase of 80,000. The increase in June was also revised down to only 20,000. Despite the weak job market, the unemployment rate unexpectedly fell from 4.2% to 4.1%. "Fed mouthpiece" Nick Timiraos commented that in July, the U.S. unemployment rate dropped to 4.09% because both the number of job seekers and the number counted as unemployed decreased; this data brought the unemployment rate to its lowest level in two years.Analysts pointed out that this disappointing report has reignited concerns about the labor market and may complicate the Federal Reserve's interest rate decisions, as policymakers need to seek a balance between weak employment and persistent inflation. As a result, market expectations for interest rate hikes quickly receded.Affected by this, U.S. stock index futures surged rapidly, with Nasdaq futures up 0.79% for the day, S&P 500 futures up 0.39%, and Dow futures up 0.27%. U.S. Treasury prices soared, with the yield on the 10-year U.S. Treasury currently down 4.29 basis points, reported at 4.627%; non-U.S. currencies generally rose, with the dollar against the yen briefly falling 80 points, reported at 157.72.At the same time, the U.S. Dollar Index DXY briefly fell nearly 30 points, reported at 99.67. Spot gold briefly rose about $40, reported at $4,351.43 per ounce.