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Capital Economics believes that the sell-off of U.S. Treasuries is mainly due to changes in market expectations for interest rates in the near term. Economist James Reilly pointed out that the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield is close to its 2007 peak, reflecting rising oil prices and a strong U.S. economy, rather than being driven by AI bond issuance or fiscal concerns. Reilly expects the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield to fall to 4.25% by the end of 2027.

On Monday, precious metal prices continued to decline, with spot gold dropping nearly 3% during the day and spot silver plunging 5%. Rising oil prices have intensified inflation concerns, reinforcing market expectations for further interest rate hikes by the Federal Reserve.Tim Waterer, Chief Market Analyst at KCM Trade, stated that the combination of high bond yields and high oil prices puts pressure on gold. Investors will focus on U.S. employment and inflation data, including job vacancies, the ADP employment report, the PCE inflation report, and the non-farm payroll report.

Chi Lo, a strategist at Societe Generale, stated that although the market expects two more rate hikes, it is unlikely that the Federal Reserve's rate hike in September will mark the beginning of a new tightening cycle similar to that of 2022 to 2023. Instead, this may signal the start of preventive rate hikes aimed at bringing inflation back to target levels by reversing last year's three rate cuts.He noted that further rate hikes will not alleviate external shocks such as war and energy price inflation, but they will ease financial market concerns about the Federal Reserve's anti-inflation credibility. The Federal Reserve cannot continue to ignore recurring shocks or those that fail to dissipate as expected. By slowing down activity in other areas of the economy to curb inflationary pressures, further rate hikes may also carry the risk of pushing the economy into stagflation.

The Federal Reserve's Paulson stated that the inflation report in September prompted the interest rate hike.

According to Bitcoin Magazine, former Chairman of the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission Chris Giancarlo stated in an interview with Bitcoin Magazine that the expansion of government spending and currency depreciation has made Bitcoin's value proposition more prominent than ever. He believes that Bitcoin's fixed supply and scarcity make it a digital form of gold, and it is expected to become a monetary anchor in the future.Giancarlo pointed out that the Federal Reserve's interest rate hikes and the continuous rise in U.S. debt levels will actually reinforce the value logic of Bitcoin. He also mentioned that the failure of the CLARITY Act to pass does not constitute a setback for Bitcoin, as the trend towards tokenized currency is irreversible. He anticipates that by 2036, all securities issuances will be tokenized.Regarding stablecoins, Giancarlo mentioned the GENIUS Act and its impact on the demand for U.S. Treasury bonds. He also reflected on his journey of becoming interested in Bitcoin after the 2008 financial crisis, as well as his experience of being dubbed the "Crypto Dad" due to his friendly attitude towards the crypto industry.

Patrick Munnelly of Tickmill Group stated that investors have raised their expectations for central bank interest rate hikes in the coming months, pushing the average yield on global government bonds to nearly 4%.LSEG data shows that investors expect the Federal Reserve, European Central Bank, Bank of Japan, and Bank of England to each raise interest rates three times or more within the next year.

Goldman Sachs Asset Management stated that the Federal Reserve is unlikely to enter a prolonged rate hike cycle. The institution believes that tariff and energy price pressures may ease, there are no signs of an overheating economy, and inflation expectations remain anchored. The Federal Reserve's dot plot indicates one more rate hike this year, while the money market pricing shows that the remaining two meetings will cumulatively raise rates by 37 basis points.

The Director of the National Economic Council of the White House, Hassett, criticized recent comments by Federal Reserve officials supporting interest rate hikes, stating that it is concerning to continue tightening policy with the core inflation rate close to 2%.Hassett questioned the rate hike stance of some officials and stated that Federal Reserve Chairman Waller faces the task of restoring independence.

Patrick Witt, the Executive Director of the White House Digital Asset Advisory Committee, defended President Trump's cryptocurrency connections at the Financial Markets Quality conference held at Georgetown University on Wednesday, denying that his personal crypto interests led to the failure of the Clarity Act in the Senate last week. He stated that the Democrats have politicized the issue and questioned why the recently passed housing bill did not require strict government ethics review provisions. The negotiations for the Clarity Act have consistently failed to bypass ethical controversies, which target conflicts of interest in cryptocurrency held by senior government officials, with Trump being a primary target.Witt stated that Trump agreed to two unprecedented ethical provisions: in addition to ultimately being willing to accept rules mandating the divestment of crypto assets or placing them in a blind trust, the White House is also prepared to concede by allowing state attorneys general to sue him if the federal government fails to address ethical violations. He also mentioned that the accusation of Trump having a conflict of interest while controlling crypto assets and leading digital asset policy is "quite ironic," as several senators on the banking committee involved in the discussions hold and actively trade stocks of financial services companies they regulate.Witt's main responsibility is to push the Clarity Act into law, which faced setbacks in the Senate last week. He stated at the CoinDesk policy and regulatory event on Tuesday that the focus is not on the year-end lame duck session, but rather on the core work shifting towards federal regulatory agencies like the Securities and Exchange Commission. He also accused banking lobbyists of pushing to shelve the bill due to concerns that stablecoin rewards might compete with interest-bearing bank deposits, claiming that this opposition was initiated by large banks and spread to community banks.

According to CoinDesk, approximately 15.9 billion USD in BTC options and 2.1 billion USD in ETH options will expire on September 25 at 8:00 (UTC), with the BTC options expiration size accounting for about 37% of Deribit's current total open BTC options of 43.5 billion USD. Deribit CEO Luuk Strijers stated that the call options for this quarterly contract dominate, with a put/call open interest ratio of 0.69, indicating that the market has primarily bet on price increases.Currently, about 9.4 billion USD in calls, 55% are in-the-money, with the maximum pain point for BTC options at 75,000 USD. Strijers mentioned that after the expiration settlement, market makers' hedging and gamma effects may fade, leading to a potential increase in short-term volatility for BTC, and the market trading range may readjust.

According to official news from Gate, the number of stock underlying assets supported by Gate's perpetual contracts has exceeded 450+, continuously expanding the coverage of popular global stock perpetual contracts, creating the trading platform with the widest industry coverage and the most underlying assets for stock perpetual contracts.Driven by both ecological expansion and market enthusiasm, several star stock derivatives on the platform are actively traded. According to data from the Gate platform, SpaceX (SPCX) is currently priced at $154.75, up 1.91% in 24 hours; Micron Technology (MU) is currently priced at $1094.41, up 4.89% in 24 hours. CoinGlass data shows that the open interest for Gate's SPCX contracts has reached $98.48 million; the open interest for MU contracts has reached $71.03 million. Both have ranked third in the entire network in terms of open interest, demonstrating a high level of market recognition.

Bitcoin Magazine released a video interview where Jim Bianco, founder of Bianco Research, stated that the bond market signaled over two years ago before the Federal Reserve's first interest rate hike in more than three years. He pointed out that during the previous rate-cutting cycle of the Federal Reserve, the yield on the 10-year U.S. Treasury rose from 3.7% to 5%, marking the first time in over 50 years that the long-end yield increased while the Federal Reserve was cutting rates.In his discussion with Grace Remington and Sean Hagan, Bianco also mentioned that the Federal Reserve's decision on October 28 (one week before the midterm elections) is more significant than Wall Street expects. He refuted the "devaluation trade" narrative and discussed what Bitcoin needs to demonstrate, including development activity and the DeFi summer. He believes that the construction of Bitcoin ETFs has missed the point and stated that Tether has effectively become a circulating currency in Venezuela and Afghanistan.Additionally, Bianco talked about stablecoins and the GENIUS Act, real demand for government bonds, and the post-pandemic economy, while criticizing Federal Reserve Chairman Powell. He noted the existence of multiple wars and "safe haven" logic and referenced the "Fourth Turning" theory to analyze the current macro cycle.

According to Coinglass data, the total contract open interest for BTC has increased by 11.14% in the past 24 hours, with the current total open interest at 61.75 billion USD. Among them, Binance's open interest is 12.638 billion USD, OKX's open interest is 3.289 billion USD, Bybit's open interest is 5.971 billion USD, and Gate's open interest is 6.081 billion USD.

Federal Reserve's Goolsbee stated that if inflation does not fall back to the 2% target level, interest rates will need to be raised.He is open to the possibility of inflation starting to decline and is willing to accept that the current inflation issue stems from supply shocks that are about to fade, but he hopes to see evidence that this shock is indeed fading.

Renowned trader Killa stated, "The 'Everything is Priced In' chart records the major catalytic events in each cycle of Bitcoin, as well as the price performance after these events occur." He believes that during bear markets, negative news typically drives BTC to continue falling, leading traders to gradually form the habit of "shorting on bad news"; however, when the high time frame trend reverses, the same news may only cause temporary panic, after which Bitcoin absorbs the selling pressure and continues to rise.Recently, the market has experienced the Federal Reserve's interest rate hikes, the voting expectations for the CLARITY Act, and the failure to advance the act. At one point, the market viewed these events as reasons for Bitcoin to decline further, but BTC only briefly fell below the range's low point, quickly rebounding and showing strong resilience. Even when narratives related to a "Third World War" intensified, Bitcoin began to respond relatively positively to panic factors in terms of price. He believes this performance is a significant distinction between bull and bear markets: in a bear market, bad news drives prices down, while in a bull market, bad news may prompt traders to capitulate, after which prices continue to rise.Killa noted that the important catalyst confirming the continuation of the last cycle was the approval of the spot Bitcoin ETF, while a similar catalyst for this cycle may be the CLARITY Act. Bitcoin's recent ability to digest multiple pieces of bad news is an important basis for his judgment that the trend has already changed.