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Flash

XPL flash crash investigation: 16 associated wallets withdrew margin in advance, leading Hyperliquid HLP to take over XPL long positions and incur a loss of $556,000

The liquidity service provider Quote Markets team member filo published a review of the XPL flash crash event on Hyperliquid. During the flash crash of XPL on Hyperliquid, 16 wallets associated with funds and trading activities withdrew approximately $2,038,600 in margin before the price plummeted, leading to HLP taking over a large number of XPL long positions.HLP ultimately took over about 160 million XPL and completed the sale within approximately 75 minutes, incurring a loss of about $555,787, equivalent to 55.6% of the clearing vault's own funds. Investigations showed that 14 of the 16 wallets had connections in terms of funding sources or trading activities, with 12 wallets withdrawing funds in advance, contributing to 90.7% of the positions taken over by HLP. However, the investigation did not find direct evidence that these wallets caused the XPL crash, nor could it confirm whether they hedged on other trading platforms.It is worth noting that these 16 wallets did not profit from this event on Hyperliquid, collectively incurring a loss of about $711,000. Additionally, XPL had already dropped about 6% before the first liquidation occurred on Hyperliquid, so the liquidation was not the starting point of this crash, and the initial active selling volume of Binance perpetual contracts was also significantly larger.

first_img China's sellers: AI hardware may experience high volatility, rather than confirming a crash

Semiconductor analyst Jukan shares a commentary translated into English by him, authored by a salesperson from a local Chinese sell-side institution. The individual states: In mid to late September, hardware quickly transitioned into a downward wave, with China and South Korea adjusting first, experiencing deeper declines and longer durations, followed by Japan, Taiwan, and the semiconductor ETF SOXX weakening subsequently; there is significant divergence in the market regarding whether AI is entering a mid-cycle collapse, but there is less controversy about the industry still advancing.The individual summarizes the views of interviewed investors: High long-term interest rates in the U.S., capital expenditures beginning to rely on external financing and competing for funds in the market, multi-layered leverage accumulation, and tight funding are the main reasons for this round of decline, with companies like CoreWeave experiencing a noticeable deterioration in financing structure and cost burden. Model invocation prices are decreasing, but capital expenditures and supply chain costs are difficult to reduce quickly, making short-term investment returns hard to realize. ASML and TSMC's guidance this season is strong, but near-term pressures cannot be ruled out; the bullwhip effect and differences in value chain levels may cause volatility to be greater than expected.The individual also mentions that use cases beyond coding are emerging in scenarios such as SaaS and AI drug development, which may gradually alleviate investment return concerns and expand demand. His personal judgment: Before more evidence emerges, the current situation resembles a high-volatility phase rather than a collapse that has already begun; the decline may not yet be over, and hardware leadership may give way to applications. Even if control of both houses changes in the midterm elections, the impact may mainly be limited to constraints on certain data center projects, and the U.S. earnings season needs to verify the performance of large technology companies.

Tread.fi CEO: The flash crash of perpetual contracts for AI concept stocks in the U.S. stock market began at Binance, leading to a chain of liquidations

The trading execution platform Tread.fi CEO DYJ published an analysis of the flash crash of AI concept stocks' perpetual contracts in the US stock market early in the morning, stating that the sell-off began at Binance. A trader liquidated approximately 2 million dollars of SanDisk long positions, triggering a sharp decline in other markets due to the thin depth of the order book.According to the transaction timeline listed, a large amount of active selling first appeared on SNDK at Binance, with a transaction amount of about 407,000 dollars in the first second, followed by about 1,030,000 dollars in the next second, and MU also began to see selling in the same second. Hyperliquid then saw sweeping orders, with about 10 addresses submitting IOC sell orders concentrated on SNDK, SOXL, DRAM, SKHX, SKHY, and MU within 1.8 seconds, followed by a second round of synchronized selling. These orders were all used to open new short positions, rather than just reducing positions.In the minute of the first concentrated selling, the transaction amounts for SNDK and MU on Binance were approximately 21.9 million dollars and 5.1 million dollars, respectively, while the corresponding transaction amounts on Trade.xyz were about 3.1 million dollars and 300,000 dollars. The transaction amount for MU on Hyperliquid subsequently expanded to 10.8 million dollars and 9.5 million dollars within the next two minutes, which DYJ attributed to chain liquidation.
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