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first_img Grayscale Research Director: Computing power is becoming a new scarce digital asset

On September 24, Zach Pandl, the research director of the cryptocurrency asset management company Grayscale, published an article in the column The Stack stating that in the wave of artificial intelligence, the demand and supply paths for the computing power required to train, run, and operate models are diverging. Grayscale believes that this imbalance favors owners of already powered and operational computing capacity and brings growth-oriented investment opportunities.Zach Pandl stated that digital demand can expand instantly, but physical infrastructure such as electricity, data centers, chips, memory, and cloud services takes years to approve, access, and build. When artificial intelligence agents perform multi-step tasks, they may consume 5 to 50 times more compute tokens than typical chatbot interactions, and increased application layer activity will transmit to the underlying computing infrastructure.The article cites data from the International Energy Agency and Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory, stating that data centers are expected to account for about half of the growth in electricity demand in the United States by 2030, and new projects may take more than five years to connect to the grid. Even if electricity is secured, permits, specialized labor, electrical equipment, cooling systems, GPUs, high-bandwidth memory, and networks are still needed. Continuous value will flow to power producers, data center operators, and artificial intelligence cloud service providers that can convert electricity into computation.

Benson Sun: This round of Bitcoin may show a slow bull trend, gradually reaching new highs

Cryptocurrency KOL and former FTX community partner Benson Sun stated that he expects the current Bitcoin market to show a gradual new high slow bull trend, rather than forming a clear top after a rapid short-term rise like in 2013 and 2017. Before the true cycle top arrives, the market may experience multiple local top signals. He believes that after 2021, the main buyers of BTC have gradually shifted from retail investors to institutions such as publicly listed companies, spot ETFs, and corporate treasuries.Since institutions mainly buy spot, some funds will also use Delta Neutral strategies for arbitrage, and traditional indicators such as funding rates and MVRV Z-Score may not rise to extreme levels again at the cycle top. Recently, the cycle top is more likely to manifest as institutional funds losing momentum rather than retail sentiment becoming overly heated. The Institutional Liquidity Index (ILI) mainly references overall dollar liquidity, the mNAV of Strategy, and the net flow of Bitcoin ETFs to determine whether institutional funds follow up when BTC reaches new highs. When BTC sets a new rolling 30-day high while ILI does not rise simultaneously, it constitutes a yellow divergence; when BTC breaks historical highs while ILI diverges and is below 50, it constitutes a red divergence.Benson Sun indicated that he would use the frequency of yellow divergences as a reference for judging the cycle process: each occurrence would lead to a proper reduction in altcoin positions and leverage; as the market enters the later stages, he would gradually increase the proportion of BTC and ultimately retain only spot. If a red divergence occurs, he would stop participating further.

Zhao Changpeng: There is no ability to influence the price of the cryptocurrency market; posting and the timing of positive news are purely coincidental

Binance founder Zhao Changpeng stated during the podcast "When Shift Happens" that he remains bullish on Bitcoin but denies having the ability to influence the price of the entire crypto market. Previously, on August 19, when Bitcoin was around the $60,000 range, Zhao Changpeng posted that if one wants their future self to thank today's decisions in two years, immediate action is needed. This post was interpreted by the market as a hint to buy Bitcoin, and in the following days, the crypto market rose by about 20%.Zhao Changpeng responded that he does not have the ability to drive the entire market price. He stated that he has always been bullish on the crypto industry, and almost all of his posts have a bullish tendency, posting 5 to 10 times a day, so it is not surprising that one of his posts coincidentally appeared before positive news.Zhao Changpeng mentioned that about 5 hours after the post was published, Trump gave a relatively positive speech about the crypto industry, mentioning the push for Hyperliquid to enter the U.S. market, but he did not know the content of the speech in advance. He emphasized that if he had any information that could affect the market, he would not post about it. Therefore, the post and the subsequent market rise were merely a coincidence in timing.Regarding the Bitcoin cycle, Zhao Changpeng stated that the crypto market has roughly followed a four-year cycle to date. At that time, some speculated that Bitcoin might bottom out in October, but he believes there is no need to wait until October to express a bullish view.
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