microstrategy

MSCI announced that MicroStrategy (MSTR.O) will be removed from the MSCI Global Standard Index.

According to the information released by the SEC, MicroStrategy (MSTR) director Patten Jarrod M sold 4,750 shares of the company's stock on November 4 at an average price of $141 per share, for a total value of approximately $669,800. After the transaction, his direct holdings decreased to 72,741 shares.

According to Cointelegraph, MicroStrategy was the best-performing component stock in the Nasdaq 100 index over the past month, with its stock price soaring by 48%.

According to CoinDesk, as Bitcoin returns to the $80,000 mark, venture capitalist Jason Calacanis wrote a "eulogy" for Bitcoin, stating that "Bitcoin is like CDs in the Spotify era and DVDs in the Netflix era," and that "the dead cat is still bouncing."He further pointed out that Bitcoin is not outstanding in trading and smart contracts, the user experience is daunting, and it no longer sparks the public's imagination; "If Bitcoin were to achieve mass adoption and significant use cases, it would have done so long ago."Calacanis also joked that people expect Bitcoin to remain stable, and it is no longer a quick way to get rich, saying, "It's boring... advocates have transformed from pirates to suit-wearing individuals with orange ties, awkwardly sharing cringeworthy memes."In response, MicroStrategy co-founder Michael Saylor stated, "You have watched Bitcoin grow since 2011; it is now a $1.6 trillion success and the most valuable digital asset in the world." He expressed that "digital capital is a killer application, and preserving wealth across generations is a grander ambition than pleasing dinner guests," and emphasized that "the orange tie will not come off."

The dollar assets of Bitcoin Treasury Company Strategy have reached $6.69 billion, nearly equivalent to its $6.75 billion outstanding convertible bonds, with the net leverage ratio dropping to nearly zero. Driven by ongoing buybacks and the rebound of Bitcoin prices to around $80,000, its preferred stock STRC has rebounded over 35% since the low in June, currently reported at $97.23, still below the $100 par value.Executive Chairman Michael Saylor stated that USD Cash has enhanced the company's digital credit capital framework, specifically for the general purposes of Bitcoin Treasury Company, including increasing BTC holdings, paying preferred stock dividends and interest, repurchasing MSTR/preferred stock, repaying convertible bonds, and increasing dollar reserves. In May, Strategy repurchased $1.5 billion of convertible bonds maturing in 2029 to alleviate its debt burden.Competitor Strive Asset Management eliminated all debt earlier this year, and its preferred stock SATA has rebounded to the $100 par value, with shares issued last week through an ATM program. Analysts pointed out that eliminating debt will strengthen STRC's position in the capital structure, but ongoing buybacks, ample dollar liquidity, and the rebound in Bitcoin prices may provide more direct support for the preferred stock to return to par value.

Bernstein expects Bitcoin to reach a new high of $150,000 by mid-2027, followed by a peak of around $300,000 around 2029. The agency pointed out that this trend is related to the rise of the "debasement trade."At the same time, Bernstein maintains an Outperform rating on Strategy but has lowered its target price from $450 to $350, citing the updated Bitcoin cycle outlook and the accelerated equity dilution of the company.

MicroStrategy Executive Chairman Michael Saylor stated that Bitcoin will become the largest asset in the world within the next 48 months. This prediction implies that Bitcoin's market value is expected to surpass gold and all major asset classes.Saylor has long advocated for the value of Bitcoin as a reserve asset and continues to push for companies to increase their Bitcoin holdings. His remarks have once again sparked market attention on Bitcoin's long-term positioning and the pace of asset revaluation.

The second largest institutional real estate asset management company in Europe, Swiss Life Asset Managers, disclosed that its holdings of MicroStrategy shares increased by 38%, currently holding a total of 37,889 shares, valued at 3.55 million dollars.

According to The Kobeissi Letter, the 2x leveraged long MicroStrategy ETFs ($MSTX, $MSTU) have both fallen about 82% this year; another 2x leveraged product $MSTP has also dropped 81%.During the same period, MicroStrategy ($MSTR) itself has decreased by 46% this year, with a single-week drop of 27% last week. As a result, $MSTX, $MSTU, and $MSTP nearly halved last week.The report points out that the leveraged MicroStrategy ETFs launched in 2024 (both long and short) have seen declines of over 90% since their launch, despite billions of dollars flowing in previously, but the leverage effect is significantly amplifying the losses.Note: Leveraged ETFs typically use a daily reset mechanism, aiming to achieve an integer multiple of the underlying's daily price changes. In highly volatile markets, even if the underlying has an overall increase or decrease over a period, frequent price fluctuations can cause the compounding effect to lead to actual performance deviating from the expected multiple, continuously eroding the net asset value. This is known as "volatility decay" (also referred to as Beta Slippage).

Jiang Zhuoer, the founder of the Liebit mining pool, stated that MicroStrategy's preferred stock STRC has significantly decoupled, dropping to a low of 73, reflecting the panic sentiment in the U.S. stock market towards Bitcoin.He pointed out that MSTR has raised funds through the issuance of common stock for three consecutive weeks, with half of the funds raised in the first two weeks used to purchase 1,500 BTC, while in the third week, the amount of shares sold doubled, but the amount of BTC purchased decreased to 520 BTC, and most of the funds were retained for paying STRC dividends. He believes this is a clear signal of the company's pessimistic attitude towards the subsequent market.Jiang Zhuoer indicated that the amount of BTC purchased by MSTR is expected to decline significantly in the coming months, and it may even stop purchasing BTC altogether, instead using the funds to pay STRC dividends. He also emphasized that STRC is a preferred stock rather than debt, meaning the company only needs to pay dividends without repaying the principal. Currently, MSTR's debt ratio is only about 10%, and unless the Bitcoin bear market lasts for ten years, there is no "explosion" risk for MSTR.

Jiang Zhuoer stated that MicroStrategy (MSTR) currently holds approximately $55 billion in Bitcoin assets, corresponding to an annual dividend expenditure of about $1.7 billion for its STRC preferred shares, which theoretically could cover about 32 years of dividend needs by selling BTC. STRC is a preferred stock rather than a debt instrument, so there is no traditional pressure for mandatory repayment. From a financial structure perspective, MSTR does not face "forced liquidation-style leverage risk" or short-term repayment crises.However, the related statements reflect that market concerns about its long-term cash flow and the volatility of crypto assets are rising. Currently, STRC has shown significant discount fluctuations, and its refinancing ability is limited. In addition, MSTR has recently relied more on methods such as issuing common stock to increase its BTC holdings (which may dilute the per-share Bitcoin amount when mNAV is below 1), and this strategy is difficult to sustain in the long term.Jiang Zhuoer indicated that even if the actual scale of MSTR selling BTC to pay dividends is relatively small compared to the entire market, its symbolic significance may be more important, potentially putting pressure on market confidence and causing investors to reassess the possibility of "long-term passive selling of coins." The market's understanding of this structure is not consistent, and this cognitive difference itself may become an important factor influencing expectations and sentiment.

According to monitoring by Catcher Predict, in the event of "MicroStrategy selling Bitcoin" on the prediction market Polymarket, the "Yes" option in the sub-market "May 31, 2026" experienced a dramatic fluctuation in winning probability, soaring from 11.5% an hour ago to the current 72.2% (a fluctuation of 60.7%). Please note the impact of related breaking news.

According to on-chain data monitored by Catcher Predict, significant capital movements are predicted in the Polymarket market. A large whale sold $56,977.37 in a single transaction on "May 31, 2026" during the "MicroStrategy sells Bitcoin" event. Based on the current transaction price, the latest corresponding winning probability for this subject is 70.5%.

Strategy CEO Phong Le stated in an interview with Fox Business that the company purchased $1.6 billion in Bitcoin during the second week of May, which is more than the total holdings of most Bitcoin treasury companies in a week.Phong Le mentioned that the current Bitcoin price is attractive, and the company will continue to buy Bitcoin. Although there may be short-term sales of some Bitcoin due to reasons such as utilizing unrealized tax losses, the long-term strategy is to continuously net increase Bitcoin holdings and focus on enhancing the number of Bitcoin per share.He views Bitcoin as "digital capital," believing it is superior to traditional stocks, bonds, and gold, and emphasized that the company will pass Bitcoin earnings to shareholders, similar to the operating model of Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs).

The New York State Retirement Fund increased its exposure to Bitcoin by adding $41 million in MicroStrategy stock.

Polymarket "Strategy to Sell Bitcoin Before the End of the Year" probability briefly rose to 40%, increasing by 29% in 24 hours. This event is primarily settled based on official information from MicroStrategy and on-chain data, while also referencing consistent reporting from mainstream media.Currently, the market is paying attention to MicroStrategy's Bitcoin holding strategy and Michael Saylor's recent statement about "possibly selling some Bitcoin to pay dividends." Michael Saylor indicated that he might sell some Bitcoin to pay dividends to demonstrate the feasibility of the strategy to the market.