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SemiAnalysis: Changxin Storage has become the fourth largest DRAM manufacturer in the world, and will not break the super cycle of storage shortages in the short term

The semiconductor research institution SemiAnalysis has released a latest analysis indicating that Changxin Memory Technologies (CXMT) has clearly become the world's fourth largest DRAM manufacturer. Although its production capacity and cash flow are continuously growing, the institution believes that Changxin Memory still faces multiple challenges in equipment, technology, and market, and will not end the current storage "super cycle" in the short term.In terms of specific challenges, export controls on advanced semiconductor manufacturing equipment (such as EUV, advanced etching, and TSV tools) severely restrict Changxin's expansion into more advanced processes and high bandwidth memory (HBM) fields; although domestic equipment (such as Zhongwei Company, Northern Huachuang, etc.) has alleviated some pressure, it cannot fully resolve the integration and yield bottlenecks across multiple process links, resulting in its technology still lagging behind leading manufacturers by several generations. Additionally, Changxin's market share is currently still highly concentrated in the Chinese domestic market, with global expansion limited by geopolitical factors and customers' willingness to diversify their supply chains.In response to market concerns that Changxin might "impact the global market with cheap chips," SemiAnalysis clarified that there is currently a severe structural shortage in the DRAM market, and the increase in Changxin's production capacity may even struggle to fully meet domestic demand in China. In fact, the prices of Chinese memory chips are also soaring significantly, in line with the global upward trend, and Changxin is similarly a beneficiary of the shortage premium. Therefore, Changxin Memory should be viewed as a long-term structural competitive force, and in the current context of accelerated AI demand and constrained supply, it cannot shake the fundamental super cycle dominated by leading manufacturers in the short term.

Zhao Changpeng: Binance's Greek MiCA license application was close to approval but was forced to withdraw due to external factors

According to The Block, Binance founder Zhao Changpeng stated that the MiCA license application submitted by Binance in Greece fully complied with regulatory requirements and was close to approval before being withdrawn, but ultimately the process was interrupted due to "external political factors."In an interview, Zhao Changpeng mentioned that several countries within the EU had expressed interest in the license, and there was even a certain degree of "competitive pursuit," but the regulatory progress was ultimately affected by non-regulatory factors, forcing the application to be withdrawn. Binance officially withdrew its application in Greece last week and stated that it would turn to other EU member states to continue pursuing MiCA authorization.In response to market rumors regarding his connections with high-level EU politicians, Zhao Changpeng stated that he had not seen any verifiable documents and only saw similar claims online, which he did not confirm. Zhao Changpeng also pointed out that the EU MiCA transition period will officially end on July 1, at which time platforms that have not obtained licenses must cease related services. Regulatory agencies in various countries have made it clear that they will not postpone enforcement, and they evaluate this outcome as a "lose-lose situation," using the regulatory processes in Japan and Singapore as examples to emphasize that compliance processes often require a longer period.Additionally, when discussing Strategy's STRC preferred stock product, Zhao Changpeng stated that its structure is "too complex" and expressed difficulty in fully understanding its mechanism, but emphasized that he does not comment on the credibility of its founder Michael Saylor, considering him a "staunch supporter of Bitcoin."

Chainalysis plans to launch an on-chain tracking standard system, proposing an "address clustering ontology" to unify blockchain forensic methods

According to CoinDesk, blockchain analysis company Chainalysis has released a new methodological proposal aimed at establishing a unified on-chain fund tracking standard framework for law enforcement agencies and investigators, to identify address clusters and determine their possible control relationships.The proposal defines the on-chain analysis structure in the form of "ontology," focusing on systematically breaking down the currently unstandardized concept of "cluster" in the industry into wallet segments and functional roles, and describing on-chain relationships through a two-layer structure: the first layer defines the transaction graph structure, and the second layer assesses inference confidence.Chainalysis stated that the framework aims to enhance the interpretability and legal applicability of on-chain forensic methods, and is designed and validated based on its practical experience in relevant cases within the U.S. Department of Justice, including the analytical application in the mixing service Bitcoin Fog case.The company's Chief Scientist Jacob Illum pointed out that the goal of the proposal is to answer "on what evidence basis can these addresses be considered to belong to the same entity," while emphasizing that on-chain analysis itself cannot directly identify the ultimate user identity and still requires legal investigative methods combined with centralized entities such as exchanges.Chainalysis indicated that the standard proposal is currently open for discussion within the industry, hoping to promote the formation of more unified technical specifications for on-chain analysis methods in the fields of law enforcement and compliance.

The U.S. CLARITY Act is entering a critical two weeks, with multiple parties intensifying discussions during the Senate recess

According to Crypto in America, the U.S. Senate will recess until July 13, and the advancement of the CLARITY Act depends on the progress of behind-the-scenes coordination over the next two weeks. Staff from both parties, government officials, and industry stakeholders are working to resolve remaining differences, including reconciling text discrepancies between the Banking Committee and the Agriculture Committee, as well as reaching consensus on ethical standards and provisions to combat illegal financial activities.The bill requires the support of at least 60 senators to pass. Even if all 53 Republican votes are in favor, at least 7 Democratic senators will need to join; the support of the majority of Democrats may depend on whether the White House can agree to establish a strong ethical framework regarding issues related to Trump's cryptocurrency business. According to Reuters, since Trump's return to the White House, his cryptocurrency business has generated over $2 billion in new wealth for him.Additionally, major law enforcement groups still oppose the inclusion of provisions from the Blockchain Regulatory Certainty Act in the bill, arguing that it would increase the difficulty of investigating and prosecuting on-chain crimes. Remaining discrepancies in the Agriculture Committee's text include issues such as the prioritization of federal law over state law, management of conflicts of interest in exchanges, and restrictions on related-party transactions. Sources indicate that the parties have not yet reached a final agreement, and there remains uncertainty about whether the Senate vote can be completed before the August recess.

first_img Galaxy Research has lowered the probability of the "CLARITY Act" passing to 50%

According to Bitcoin Magazine, Galaxy Research has lowered the probability of the passage of the CLARITY Act in 2026 from 60% three weeks ago to 50%, due to the increasingly tight Senate schedule, the lack of a published merged text for the bill, no scheduled votes, and no public commitment from leadership. The bill has been listed as item 423 on the legislative calendar since it passed the Senate Banking Committee on May 14 with a vote of 15-9, but no motion to advance it has been scheduled to date.The report indicates that the Senate must announce a schedule by early July to complete voting before the August recess; otherwise, it will be postponed until September, when the upcoming midterm elections will make controversial votes harder to arrange. Priority legislation such as FISA Section 702 and the NDAA occupies a significant amount of time, and Trump's veto of the housing bill further exacerbates scheduling pressures.The substantive content of the bill has not yet been fully resolved, and ethical provisions remain a core controversy, with at least two Republican senators expected to vote against it, making Democratic support essential. The report suggests that if leadership clarifies a commitment to vote in July within the next two weeks, the probability of passage will rise to 60% or higher; if there is continued lack of progress, it will be further lowered.
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