Citigroup Interpretation: How will the midterm elections affect the U.S. stock market at the end of the year?
The results of the U.S. midterm elections will dominate sector rotation and the year-end U.S. stock market trends: if the Republican Party unexpectedly retains control of the Senate, it is likely to boost the market and benefit financial stocks; if the Democratic Party wins a larger-than-expected majority, it may trigger the market to price in the risk of corporate tax increases in 2028 ahead of time, thereby putting pressure on valuations.