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According to official social media news, Huobi HTX will hold a themed live broadcast today at 20:00 titled "Non-Farm Payrolls Surprise Ignites Rate Cut Trading: Which Will Break Through First Among U.S. Stocks, Gold, and BTC?" At that time, crypto KOLs such as Pump Pump Superman, Xiao Zhi, 77, and Grace will be invited to attend, discussing the unexpected changes in non-farm data, the rising expectations for rate cuts in the market, and the interlinked trends of the three major assets: U.S. stocks, gold, and BTC. They will analyze market trading opportunities and potential risks under changes in macro liquidity.

According to the latest research by TrendForce, driven by rising prices of components such as memory, the material cost of the 256GB iPhone 18 Pro is expected to increase by about 38% year-on-year, making a retail price increase unavoidable. Apple may ease the extent of the price increase by sacrificing some gross margin to maintain shipment volume and market share. Analysis shows that the proportion of memory in the BOM cost of the last two generations of Pro models has risen from about 10% a year ago to about 34% in Q3 2026, and it is expected to exceed 40% in the first half of 2027. Memory has become the largest single cost item for the iPhone, replacing the traditional dominance of application processors and displays.TrendForce points out that Android manufacturers are facing greater profit pressure, especially mid-range and low-end models, with some brands potentially forced to significantly raise prices or discontinue loss-making product lines. Since early 2025, memory prices have increased by 5 to 7 times, and it is expected that global smartphone production will continue to be under pressure from the second half of 2026 to 2027. Apple may also adjust the pricing of older models in sync with the launch of new products to partially offset the impact of rising memory costs.

According to the latest supply chain survey by TrendForce, despite the United States implementing export controls on high-end GPUs, China's AI industry has not slowed down; instead, it is accelerating the construction of a domestic AI supply chain. The report points out that the supply structure of high-end AI chips in China is shifting from reliance on imported GPUs to a dual-track model of "domestic GPUs plus self-developed ASICs," with domestic solutions expected to capture nearly 90% of the Chinese high-end AI chip market by 2026.This year, the Chinese government is actively promoting the adoption of domestic AI chips, with policies prioritizing support for high-potential local manufacturers to significantly expand their market share in the high-end AI server market. Meanwhile, the domestic ecosystem is gradually maturing in key areas such as advanced processes, advanced packaging, and thermal management. TrendForce expects that, against the backdrop of an accelerated domestic substitution process, domestic chip manufacturers like Huawei Ascend, Cambricon, and Haiguang are likely to continue benefiting, and the related industrial chain will usher in structural growth opportunities.

Famous trader Killa posted that when Bitcoin breaks the current long-term downtrend line, do not short it. "In the last cycle, many people overcomplicated a simple trend change, and the weekly chart is the best confirmation signal."The attached chart shows the weekly Bitcoin charts for 2026, 2022, and 2018, all of which exhibit a similar descending channel pattern after a peak, used to compare with the current market structure.Killa, as a quantitative trader focused on BTC, predicted the peak of this bull market in May 2025 and has over 200,000 followers on platform X. In mid-April, he shorted Bitcoin at $74,688 and switched to long during the market-wide decline on June 5.

According to BeInCrypto, CoinShares and Token Terminal have released a latest report showing that in the past year (from Q2 2025 to Q2 2026), the deposits of tokenized real-world assets (RWA) in the DeFi sector grew from $2.3 billion to $7.4 billion, more than doubling year-on-year, while total DeFi deposits during the same period declined by about 15%.The growth is mainly concentrated in yield-bearing products, including tokenized government bonds and multi-strategy funds (such as JTRSY, BUIDL, sUSDS), with Aave, Morpho, and Kamino providing the deepest liquidity. Meanwhile, on-chain RWA spot trading volume increased by about 220% year-on-year, while the native cryptocurrency spot trading volume on decentralized exchanges fell by about 70%.

According to Jinshi reports, Federal Reserve Governor Cook stated that if the trend of falling inflation does not resume, the Federal Reserve is prepared to raise interest rates.

According to the latest research by TrendForce, the tight supply of DRAM is expected to continue until 2027, and the uncertainty of the HBM4e verification schedule is prompting AI chip manufacturers to consider reducing the HBM configuration of their next-generation products. Starting from Q3 2026, NVIDIA has begun evaluating the HBM solution for Rubin Ultra, expanding from the original 12-Hi HBM4e to alternative options such as 8-Hi HBM4e, 12-Hi HBM4, and 8-Hi HBM4, with the final specifications yet to be determined. Previously, due to the expected supply bottleneck of LPDDR5X lasting until 2027, NVIDIA decided to halve the SOCAMM capacity of the next-generation Vera Rubin Superchip module.TrendForce pointed out that the main reasons for the downgrade of Rubin Ultra from 12-Hi HBM4e include: the overall DRAM shortage in 2027 will limit the allocation of wafer capacity to HBM, and there is still uncertainty regarding the mass production schedule and yield ramp-up of 12-Hi HBM4e. It is expected that the HBM bit shipment volume in 2027 will increase by approximately 50-60% year-on-year, which will still be insufficient to meet the growth in demand. HBM suppliers will maintain pricing power throughout 2027, and HBM prices are expected to rise significantly. The final configuration will depend on the wafer allocation decisions of memory suppliers.

According to Jinshi, as the market's focus shifts to this week's intensive earnings reports, U.S. stock index futures opened higher on the first trading day of the month. In addition, the decline in oil prices on Monday also boosted market sentiment. Matt Orton, Chief Market Strategist at RJF Financial, stated that about 15% of the companies in the S&P 500 index are about to announce their earnings, with the energy, healthcare, utilities, and industrial sectors being noteworthy.

According to official social media news, Huobi HTX will hold a themed live broadcast today at 20:00 titled "FOMC Tonight Determines the Future------ The 20% Interest Rate Hike Probability: Can BTC's $70 Options Bet Still Pay Off?" At that time, crypto KOLs such as Sister Maomao, Genuine Little Taoist, 0xJoker, and Mr. Mis will be invited to attend, focusing on the core variables that the market is concerned about on the eve of the FOMC meeting, analyzing the macro signals behind the 20% interest rate hike probability, discussing the impact of changes in US dollar liquidity on the crypto market, and combining BTC's key options positions to find short-term market breakthroughs and risk turning points.

According to Jinshi reports, DHF Capital S.A. economist Bas Kooijman stated in a report that the trend of oil prices has become a key driving factor for U.S. Treasury yields and market expectations for the Federal Reserve's interest rate path. The outlook may change with the evolution of the situation in the Middle East and oil prices.A further sustained decline in oil prices may intensify the pressure of slowing inflation and suppress expectations for monetary policy tightening, while a renewed escalation of the situation may reignite inflation concerns and push up U.S. Treasury yields.

According to the latest weekly report from Gate Ventures, global risk assets are under pressure due to adjustments in technology stocks, fluctuations in the energy market, and changes in macro expectations, with the cryptocurrency market showing a volatile recovery trend. BTC rose 1.1% over the week, ETH rose 4.4%, pushing the ETH/BTC ratio up by 2.2%, and the total market capitalization of cryptocurrencies increased by 1.03%. In terms of capital flow, the net inflow for spot BTC ETFs was only $33.8 million for the week, the lowest level since their launch; the net inflow for spot ETH ETFs during the same period was $103.9 million, indicating an improvement in market sentiment, with the Fear and Greed Index rising to 30, but still in the "fear" range. Meanwhile, the price of STRC under Strategy remained around $86, trading below par for the ninth consecutive week, with the institutional holding ratio continuing to increase, and the market is paying attention to its subsequent performance.In terms of industry development, stablecoin payments and the construction of blockchain financial infrastructure are continuing to advance. KB Kookmin Bank is collaborating with Kinexys, a subsidiary of JPMorgan, to explore blockchain-based cross-border payment services, further promoting traditional financial institutions' layout in on-chain payment scenarios; Kakao and Circle are exploring the payment infrastructure for a Korean won stablecoin, accelerating the application exploration of stablecoins in retail payments and cross-border settlements. In terms of investment and financing, a total of 8 financing transactions were completed last week, with a disclosed total financing amount of $196.5 million, among which the financing scale in the infrastructure sector was the highest, reaching $193 million, and the stablecoin clearing infrastructure project Augustus completed $180 million in financing. Overall, the market's short-term risk appetite remains cautious, but stablecoin payments, on-chain clearing, and financial infrastructure construction continue to attract capital attention.

According to the latest survey by TrendForce, in June, the top three MLCC suppliers in Japan and South Korea (Murata, Samsung Electro-Mechanics, Taiyo Yuden) achieved a monthly shipment volume that reached a nearly five-year high, with 140 billion, 98 billion, and 40 billion units respectively, and the growth momentum continued into July. AI applications are the main driving force, with CSP manufacturers maintaining strong procurement demand for self-developed ASIC platforms such as Google TPU and AWS Trainium, driving continuous growth in demand for high-capacity, low-voltage, small-sized MLCCs.At the same time, Japanese and South Korean suppliers are accelerating the shift of production capacity from consumer-grade X5R to high-end X6S/X7R specifications, resulting in a severe squeeze on the production capacity of mid-to-high capacity (1µF-22µF) consumer-grade MLCCs, with mainstream inventory days generally falling below 30 days. The overflow effect of production capacity has led channels, agents, and second- and third-tier customers to urgently pull goods, significantly increasing order visibility for Taiwanese and mainland suppliers, leading to rising prices, with agents raising prices by an average of 20-25%, and spot market prices have soared to 2-3 times the original price. TrendForce pointed out that the consumer-grade MLCC market currently shows a structural mismatch of "weak end demand, strong channel pricing."

According to Jinshi, Lloyd Chan, a senior foreign exchange analyst at Mitsubishi UFJ Bank, pointed out in a research report that the US dollar may gain support in the short term due to high US Treasury yields and the ongoing tense situation in the Middle East. He stated that this week's Federal Reserve decision is likely to become a key catalyst for the market. Although no policy changes are expected, the market's focus will be on the guidance from the Federal Reserve.In addition, Chan also mentioned that the issue of US tariffs is becoming a focus of market attention again.

According to TickerTrends tracking data, as of July, Anthropic's Annual Recurring Revenue (ARR) is approximately 74.1 billion dollars, while OpenAI is about 41.3 billion dollars, with a gap of approximately 32.8 billion dollars. Since the last reporting period, Anthropic has grown by 57.7%, and OpenAI has grown by 65.2%, with the latter's growth rate slightly faster.From the timeline perspective, Anthropic's tracked ARR rose from 10.2 billion dollars in January to 35.6 billion dollars in April, 69.6 billion dollars in June, and 74.1 billion dollars in July; OpenAI increased from 21.4 billion dollars in January to 33.0 billion dollars in May and 41.3 billion dollars in July. Anthropic still significantly leads in absolute revenue scale, but OpenAI's recent growth momentum is stronger.

Recently, market risk appetite has cooled, and high-valuation technology chip sectors are under significant pressure; in contrast, supported by expectations in infrastructure, manufacturing, and cyclical demand, industrial machinery-related assets have shown relative resilience. According to Gate platform data, ARM/USDT (Arm) is currently priced at $284.29, down 1.13% in the last 24 hours; CATG/USDT (Caterpillar) is currently priced at $892.11, up 0.16% in the last 24 hours; GEG/USDT (General Electric) is currently priced at $341.55, down 0.61% in the last 24 hours. In terms of performance, Caterpillar-related trading pairs have slightly strengthened, while Arm and General Electric-related trading pairs have fluctuated downwards, overall still showing a divergent pattern.

ARK Invest's funds collectively purchased 121,400 shares of SpaceX stock, valued at approximately $14.996 million; at the same time, they sold 97,300 shares of Robinhood stock, valued at approximately $10.351 million, continuing the recent trend of reduction.On the same day, ARK also purchased about $4.965 million worth of shares in electric aircraft company Archer Aviation. According to previous reports, SpaceX closed down over 6% yesterday, hitting a new low since its listing.

According to Blockworks Research data, on-chain consumption of tokenized collectible card games reached a historic high of $324 million in June 2026, an increase of over five times compared to approximately $50 million in the same period last year, while Bitcoin fell over 20% to a 21-month low, with spot ETFs recording a record outflow of $4.5 billion.Platforms like Collector Crypt and Courtyard store professionally rated physical Pokémon cards in vaults and issue corresponding NFTs. Users receive tokens backed 1:1 by real cards after purchasing random card packs, which can be traded, held, or redeemed for physical cards. According to Global Market Insights data, the global collectible card market size reached $9.2 billion.Pokémon became the best-selling toy brand in the United States in 2025, with sales reaching $2.5 billion, an 87% year-on-year increase. Collector Crypt has tokenized approximately $40 million worth of cards, purchasing about $2 million weekly, with around 30% of users ultimately redeeming for physical cards. According to Dune data, 5% to 8% of NFTs on Courtyard are destroyed weekly to redeem for physical cards.