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sustainability

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Huobi HTX Chief Analyst Cloud: Bitcoin's rebound has seen spot buying support, and its sustainability depends on ETF inflows and leverage temperature

Huobi HTX Chief Analyst Cloud stated that Bitcoin quickly rebounded after hitting the bottom under the dual pressure of interest rate hikes and the obstruction of the Clear Act, with a weekly increase of about 16%, rising to $87,307 during trading on September 21 (Huobi HTX spot price), reaching a new high since January. This round of increase is driven by three forces: the net inflow of about $1 billion into the U.S. spot Bitcoin ETF on September 21, the largest single day of the year; short positions being liquidated for about $650 million within 24 hours; and falling oil prices leading to a cooling of inflation expectations. Compared to last week's rebound, which was mainly driven by passive replenishment, this week saw a relay of spot buying.Whether the trend can continue depends on two points: whether ETF inflows can shift from a single-day pulse to a continuous trend, and whether leverage can be maintained at a non-overheated level. Currently, the funding rate is about 0.01%, in a neutral range, but the open interest of Bitcoin contracts has risen above $61 billion. If the capital weakens, high leverage will amplify the pullback. Market sentiment has entered an extreme greed zone, which historically has often been a precursor signal for short-term trend reversals. Technically, $87,500 is the resistance above, while the first support zone is between $84,000 and $85,000. The trend has conditions for continuation, but the highest risk of short-term volatility also occurs during the hottest phase of sentiment.Note: The content of this article is not investment advice and does not constitute any offer, solicitation, or recommendation of investment products.

Bitget Research Institute: Capital inflow shows sustainability rather than speculation

Bitget Research Institute's Chief Analyst Ryan Lee stated in the latest market outlook that the expansion of stablecoin supply and net inflows into ETFs continue to attract traditional financial capital into the market, becoming a major driving force in the current crypto market. He pointed out that more importantly, this round of capital inflow is showing sustainability rather than speculation, indicating that the market is moving towards a more mature development stage. December will be a key macro window period, as the end of the government shutdown and interest rate adjustment policies will set the tone for the market.In addition, during a recent live broadcast hosted by Bitget, several guests shared their latest judgments on the market. Guest "Wang Bu Ai" stated that the U.S. government shutdown is expected to end in the short term, which will boost market confidence and drive capital back into the market. He noted that the macro trends of this cycle can be referenced against the situation during Trump's first term, where after the government shutdown ended, the U.S. experienced quantitative easing and interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, significantly enhancing market liquidity. Given that the midterm elections are approaching next year, Trump will undoubtedly take measures to stimulate the U.S. economy to consolidate his voter base.Guest "Bi Du" pointed out that the recent mismatch in on-chain liquidity has intensified, with the utilization rates of mainstream lending pools generally nearing their limits. In the medium term, investors can moderately allocate to high-quality DeFi protocols that have been unfairly punished. Additionally, attention can be focused on mainstream public chains such as BTC, ETH, and SOL, as well as the short-term rebound potential of popular themes like AI and Memecoins. Overall, the market is still in the "liquidity defense + sentiment game" stage, and a trend-driven market has not yet been established. The current strategic focus should be on maintaining liquidity, avoiding systemic risks, and patiently waiting for trust to be rebuilt and the main trend to be confirmed.Guest "30 Has Retired" believes that from a long-term perspective, the current market is in a stage of transitioning between bull and bear markets. In the short term, the market is still primarily in a rebound trend, mainly driven by the confidence boost from the U.S. government resuming operations and the favorable expectations surrounding the interest rate cut cycle. He added that his common method for trend judgment is to observe changes in the MACD indicator to assess the market direction.
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