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DWF Labs: Bitcoin spot ETF fund flows lag behind the market, making it difficult to predict future rises and falls

According to a report by Cointelegraph, DWF Labs pointed out in a research report released on Thursday that the daily capital flow of the U.S. spot Bitcoin ETF is difficult to predict for Bitcoin's subsequent trends, with investors more inclined to buy after price increases and withdraw during declines.The study covers 694 trading days since the launch of the U.S. Bitcoin spot ETF in January 2024: in 8 instances where the Bitcoin price fell by 15%, there were net outflows of ETF funds in 7 of those cases; while in all 9 instances where the price rose by 15%, there were net inflows of funds.DWF Labs concluded that ETF capital flows are more about confirming market trends rather than predicting them in advance. Data shows that the correlation coefficient of the day's ETF capital flow with the price changes of Bitcoin over the previous 5 trading days is 0.54, but the correlation coefficient with the price changes over the subsequent 5 trading days is only 0.03. From October 2025 to February 2026, the net outflow from Bitcoin ETFs was approximately $6.9 billion, and during the market decline from May to June 2026, the net outflow was about $8.2 billion.DWF Labs also noted that some ETF trades may involve buying fund shares while simultaneously shorting Bitcoin through futures on the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) as a hedging strategy, so the capital flow does not directly reflect investors' true bullish or bearish positions.

Gate's latest reserve report: total reserve scale rises to 8.688 billion USD, overall reserve coverage reaches 118.49%

According to the official announcement, Gate has released the latest reserve report. As of October 18, 2026, the total reserve size of the platform has risen to $8.688 billion, an increase of 5.7% compared to the previous period; the overall reserve coverage rate has reached 118.49%, consistently above the industry safety benchmark of 100%. This report covers 500 cryptocurrencies, demonstrating Gate's ample excess reserves, providing solid support for the platform to cope with market fluctuations, maintain liquidity, and buffer risks.In terms of core asset reserves, BTC user assets have grown to 21,156 coins, with the platform's reserve amount increasing to 25,727 coins, and the reserve coverage rate rising from 120.32% to 121.60%; ETH user assets have increased to 362,785 coins, with the platform's reserve amount growing to 449,042 coins, and the reserve coverage rate rising from 123.59% to 123.78%.Regarding stablecoins, the total user assets of USDT, USD1, GUSD, and USDC amount to approximately $1.497 billion, corresponding to a platform reserve of $1.746 billion, with a comprehensive reserve rate of 116.59%. Additionally, the reserve rates for major assets such as DOGE, GT, and SOL have reached 106.76%, 129.00%, and 102.51%, respectively, all exceeding the 100% safety line. From overall reserves to various core assets, Gate consistently maintains sufficient safety margins, providing robust protection for the safety of global user assets.

first_img On-chain intelligence platform Arkham launches Enterprise

On October 20, the on-chain intelligence platform Arkham announced the launch of Arkham Enterprise, positioned as a high-level analytical platform for professional workflows, with uses including asset tracking, risk scoring, case management, and transaction research. Arkham stated that the platform relies on the world's best tagging set, containing 3.9 billion attribution records, covering $18 trillion in on-chain transaction volume. On the same day, the company adjusted the features of the free platform and launched Enterprise Grants.The data update frequency for both the free and Enterprise platforms has been upgraded in sync. Previously, a large amount of data and tags were updated once a day; after the underlying infrastructure was rebuilt, transactions, new tags, and address balances have been changed to real-time updates, with new transactions appearing without needing to refresh the page. Most alerts supporting on-chain have reduced latency by about 80%, and the database load will also decrease. Tracer 2.0 has been rebuilt for professional on-chain investigations, allowing users to pull counterparties into a network graph from any address and track funds hop by hop; with the addition of bridge support, funds can be followed across supported chains in the same tracking. Visualizer 2.0 presents incoming and outgoing transactions, counterparties, and tokens in real-time through an interactive graph after pasting an address or entity.Enterprise also offers case management and risk scoring. The former allows investigation findings to be grouped by case and form structured records; the latter assesses the risk of addresses and entities based on Arkham attribution data, with indicators covering sanction exposure, mixer exposure, sources of funds, and the number of transaction hops between addresses and marked sources. The adjustments to the free version effective that day include: Tracer 2.0, transaction filtering, complete transaction history, creation of custom tags and entities, and the counterparty section of the browser page is only available to Enterprise users. Free users can view the most recent 100 transactions and retain and edit existing custom tags and entities; the free platform still includes all Arkham tags, Visualizer 2.0, prediction markets, block explorers, and tagging features. Enterprise Grants provide free access to Enterprise for select independent investigators, researchers, and public interest organizations.

first_img Richard Byworth: The next round of Bitcoin's rise is just a matter of time, as selling pressure reaches record lows

According to Bitcoin Magazine, Richard Byworth previously worked at Syz Capital, focusing his career on hedge fund structure design. In an interview with Bitcoin Magazine, he stated that the next round of Bitcoin's rise is just a matter of time.He pointed out that, based on data from on-chain analysis platforms like Glassnode, the current level of seller exhaustion has reached a historical high. Although the market does not exhibit an extreme bearish atmosphere, multiple on-chain indicators show that Bitcoin is strongly building a bottom. He mentioned that Bitcoin has been trading in the range just above $80,000 in recent weeks, and he believed that $58,000 was a bottom.Byworth also discussed Bitcoin yield strategies. He warned that using a covered call strategy during a bullish market could lead to significant losses of Bitcoin for investors, and advocated for earning low-volatility, market-neutral returns through basis trading collateralized by Bitcoin. He noted that Strive had bought three times the weekly issuance of Bitcoin in a single transaction within a week, believing that the next round of rise is just a matter of time.Regarding Bitcoin treasury companies, Byworth stated that the digital credit products designed by Saylor are putting pressure on the traditional bond market, as the yield on 10-year U.S. Treasuries is around 5.1% to 5.2%, and investors will see their returns eroded by the faster pace of currency depreciation. He mentioned followers like Strive and Metaplanet, and believes that Bitcoin could break its historical high again before the end of the year, and reaching $350,000 in about a year is not entirely impossible.
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