pullback

According to Binance spot data, the market has seen several tokens experiencing a rise and fall. DODO has dropped 7.13% in the last 24 hours, MOVR has decreased by 8.24%, PROM has fallen by 8.09%, and EDEN has declined by 9.76%.In addition, EUL has reached a new low today, with a drop of 6.87%. MTL and KAIA have both hit new lows for the week, with declines of 7.73% and 5.17%, respectively. LA has also reached a new low today, with a decrease of 6.66%.EDEN has slightly increased by 3.13% within 5 minutes, while TUT has slightly decreased by 3.06%.

Garrett Jin released this week's market report, characterizing the rebound in the South Korean market as a wide-ranging fluctuation rather than a new trend. SK Hynix rebounded continuously after retesting the 1.42 million won area, closing up 5.9% at 1,593,000 won. The KOSPI has risen 20% from the July low, entering a technical bull market, but foreign capital has not shifted to long-term holdings, and the drag from leveraged ETFs remains. Garrett Jin set the first profit-taking level at $1,150 (approximately 1.63 million won), with the next target at $1,300 (1.85 million won).Garrett Jin also noted that gold recorded its strongest weekly gain since January this week at +7.8%, priced at $4,388. The driving factors were a decrease of 23,000 in July non-farm payrolls and a moderate CPI that dampened September rate hike expectations. However, it is currently overbought in the short term, and a pullback could present an opportunity for incremental accumulation. Bitcoin has shown no response to the same macro-positive factors, remaining trapped between the support at $62,500 and resistance at $65,000-$70,000, with the bottom structure since $57,700 gradually being built. Garrett Jin will wait for the next buying opportunity after a pullback.Regarding SpaceX, Garrett Jin believes the recent performance is a classic case of "bad news fully priced in + short squeeze," with the unlocking itself becoming a washout rather than the starting point of a decline. However, the unlocking window has not yet ended, with an additional 319 million shares to be unlocked, approximately 700 million shares each in September and October. The current range up to $160 is a profit-taking zone rather than a high-entry zone.

According to Binance spot market data, the market has experienced significant fluctuations. BICO has risen by 12.65% in the last 24 hours and is showing signs of a rebound after hitting a low.At the same time, BIO, MMT, ESP, ROBO, and SNXXB have all shown a "high and then low" trend, with 24-hour declines of 5.15%, 7.75%, 14.15%, 20.07%, and 5.88%, respectively. In addition, GLWB, AXTIB, and IRENB have reached new lows today, with declines of 6.42%, 21.12%, and 8.36%, respectively.

The South Korean semiconductor sector experienced fluctuations during the trading session, with SK Hynix and Samsung Electronics' stock prices slightly retreating, but the related contract market remained active. According to Gate market data, SK Hynix (000660) reported $1002.56 during the session, down 0.21%; Samsung Electronics (005930) reported $162.15 during the session, down 0.64%. According to CoinGlass data, the SKHYNIX contract open interest reached $693 million, of which the SKHYNIX contract open interest on the Gate platform reached $131 million, ranking second in the entire network; the SAMSUNG contract open interest reached $45.2207 million, of which the SAMSUNG contract open interest on the Gate platform reached $6.19 million, also ranking second in the entire network.

According to Binance spot data, the market has experienced significant fluctuations. BICO has risen by 39% in 24 hours and has reached a bottom-rebound state.At the same time, PYR has fallen by 16.48% in 24 hours, showing a "high pullback" state. Other tokens such as AVA, PIVX, VANRY, XAI, ACX, and COOKIE have also shown a "high pullback" state, with declines ranging from 6.25% to 16.75%.In addition, CTSI and HEI have increased by 7.92% and 11.14%, respectively, both reaching a bottom-rebound state.

Bitcoin's recent volatility has nearly disappeared, but market risks have not been alleviated. Data shows that there has been no outflow of funds from the spot Bitcoin ETF, with a cumulative net inflow of approximately $754 million. However, the price of Bitcoin remains around $64,700, while the options market is focused on downside protection near $62,000 and $63,000.Market signals are showing divergence: on one hand, demand for spot ETFs is rebounding; on the other hand, derivatives traders are positioning themselves for a potential pullback, especially on the eve of the release of the latest U.S. employment data. However, from the overall position structure, the market still leans bullish. Bitcoin call options account for about 60.7% of total open contracts, indicating that investors' long-term expectations remain positive, although recent trading has been more concentrated on short-term risk hedging. Meanwhile, the cost of volatility protection is at a low level. The DVOL index from Deribit, which reflects the expected volatility of Bitcoin over the next 30 days, is currently around 35, a significant drop from the high of 90 earlier this year, indicating that the market believes the likelihood of significant volatility in the short term is limited.However, U.S. macro data could disrupt this balance. The market expects that non-farm payrolls in the U.S. will increase by about 97,500 in July, up from 57,000 in June, with the unemployment rate expected to remain at 4.2%. If the employment data is stronger than expected, it could push U.S. Treasury yields higher and strengthen expectations for Federal Reserve interest rate hikes; if the data is weak, it could lower yields but also exacerbate concerns about slowing economic growth. Currently, the Bitcoin market shows a pattern of "ETF funds supporting spot, options market guarding against declines," and potential risks in a low-volatility environment still need to be monitored. In a market with low participation and insufficient liquidity, even small changes in supply or demand could lead to significant price fluctuations.

According to Binance spot data, the market has experienced significant fluctuations. PUMP has risen by 25.96% in the last 24 hours, reaching a new high for the week.At the same time, both LAZIO and HOME have shown a "high and then low" state, with declines of 9.45% and 18.72% in the last 24 hours, respectively. TST and WAXP have hit new lows for today, with declines of 10.31% and 8.88%.In addition, SPCXB has reached the highest price of the day, with an increase of 9.79%. INTCB, QCOMB, and INTWB have also reached the highest price of the day, with increases of 11.5%, 7.77%, and 23.31%, respectively.

Bank of America (BofA) reiterated its "Buy" rating on Micron, with a target price of $1550, stating that the recent sell-off is an "enhanced buying opportunity." The bank expects memory prices to normalize starting in 2027-2028, but the fundamentals remain strong.Bank of America predicts Micron's earnings per share for fiscal year 2028 to be around $150, and in a pessimistic scenario, about $100, still well above the previous cycle peak of around $12.

CoinGlass's latest data shows that BTC is currently priced at $63,129.2, with a 24-hour decline of 0.43%. The total spot trading volume across the network is approximately $1.838 billion. Among them, Gate's BTC spot trading volume is about $212 million, ranking third in the network.As for ETH, it is currently priced at $1,863.23, with a 24-hour decline of 0.66%. The total spot trading volume across the network is approximately $763 million. Among them, Gate's ETH spot trading volume is about $105 million, also ranking third in the network. Meanwhile, the total contract trading volume for ETH across the network is approximately $24.138 billion, with Gate's ETH contract trading volume at about $2.228 billion, similarly ranking third in the network.From the latest trading distribution, the price adjustments for BTC and ETH within the day are relatively limited, and the trading heat of mainstream assets remains concentrated on leading platforms. Gate ranks in the top three for BTC spot, ETH spot, and ETH contract in three core trading indicators, indicating that its liquidity and trading activity in mainstream cryptocurrency trading remain at a high level.

The South Korean stock market fell sharply on Monday, with major chip stocks experiencing profit-taking after last Friday's record surge, while investors also reduced leveraged trading. Analysts indicated that this round of adjustment was mainly due to profit-taking after the previous surge and the exit of leveraged funds. In addition, the strengthening of the Korean won and news related to advancements in AI and semiconductor technology in China also increased market pressure.Data shows that last Friday, the South Korean stock market recorded its largest single-day gain, with the KOSPI rising by 18%, and the large foreign purchases were believed to be related to short covering. However, in early trading on Monday, global investors shifted to selling, with foreign investors selling more than 1 trillion won (approximately 698 million USD) in the South Korean stock market.

Dongfang Harbor Chairman Dan Bin expressed his views this morning, stating that in July, the chip sector experienced a sharp decline and massive leveraged liquidations, but in the grand AI cycle, such a level of correction is both a necessary path and a sign of market health.The market has yet to fully understand the infinite demand potential of AI as an "intelligent" product. Concerns about capital expenditures from giants have echoed the early story of Amazon AWS, but the opportunities in AI are far greater. Funds are flowing back from low-quality tech stocks to high-quality targets, confirming the judgment of a "return of the king" by the end of 2026. Storage chips still face cyclical risks and high volatility, so it is advisable to wait for technical repairs, with a more optimistic view on fundamentally solid companies like Nvidia, Broadcom, and TSMC, as funds will flow more towards quality application layers.On the other hand, the business of hyperscale cloud providers is accelerating growth, with a large backlog of orders and an increasing growth rate, indicating that the previous punishment of capital expenditures was a misjudgment, and these investments will translate into certain future revenues. Looking ahead to August, the Nasdaq's rebound is expected to continue until Nvidia's earnings report, and the tech sector's rolling adjustment is nearing its end, with funds accelerating back into high-quality tech stocks.In terms of specific sector operations, it is currently not advisable to blindly chase high prices in the chip and storage (memory) sectors. However, investors can adopt a short-term band trading strategy of buying on dips until the storage sector completely emerges from its bottoming pattern on a technical level.

According to Jinshi reports, CICC Research pointed out that since mid to late June, the global AI chain has shown a significant correction, especially in the South Korean market, which has performed the most dramatically, mainly due to the effects of high leverage, high congestion, and macro factors. Concerns about the AI bubble have intensified, similar to the situation before the burst of the tech stock bubble in 2000.CICC believes that market stabilization and a new round of increases depend on the digestion of high congestion and high leverage, the alleviation of expectations for Federal Reserve interest rate hikes, as well as new catalysts from earnings reports and the industry.

According to Binance spot market data, there is a divergence between bulls and bears in the market. RIF has increased by 9.47% in the last 24 hours and is in a state of rebound after hitting a low.At the same time, CHR, CVC, GTC, ICX, SUPER, FIDA, VIC, DYM, and CGPT are all in a "high and then low" state, with 24-hour declines of 5.69%, 5.31%, 9.85%, 5.31%, 5.15%, 5.78%, 5.47%, 6.67%, and 6.55%, respectively.

Wall Street investment bank TD Cowen has lowered the target price for Bitcoin treasury company Nakamoto Inc. (NASDAQ: NAKA), reducing the split-adjusted target price from $40 to $17, a decrease of 58%, but still maintaining a "Buy" rating. TD Cowen analysts stated that this adjustment is mainly due to the pressure on Nakamoto's highly leveraged capital structure from the decline in Bitcoin prices.Although the new target price still implies about a 275% upside from the current stock price of $4.65, the company's stock is highly sensitive to fluctuations in Bitcoin prices. TD Cowen expects Bitcoin to rebound to $100,000 by the end of 2026, which is about 25% lower than the historical high of $126,000 set last October. At the same time, the firm anticipates that Nakamoto will suspend further Bitcoin purchases before 2027.Analysts pointed out that Nakamoto's core value still comes from its Bitcoin assets, with the company currently holding 4,467 BTC, valued at approximately $290 million, ranking 22nd among publicly listed companies in terms of Bitcoin holdings. However, the company's debt and preferred stock financing structure have also compressed the asset value available to common stockholders. Recently, Nakamoto has completed several financial adjustments, including repaying approximately $45 million in debt, extending the principal of $105 million to June 2027, reducing financing costs, and approving a $25 million stock buyback plan. Additionally, the company has closed its previously operated medical clinic business and will focus on Bitcoin media, asset management, and consulting services in the future. Data shows that NAKA's stock price has fallen over 71% this year, while Bitcoin has declined about 26% during the same period. Market attention is shifting from "continuously purchasing BTC" to the asset-liability structure and financing capabilities of Bitcoin treasury companies.

Bloomberg ETF analyst Eric Balchunas pointed out in a recent report that the performance trajectory of gold ETFs over the past 22 years may provide important references for Bitcoin ETFs. Both gold and Bitcoin ETFs are packaged products centered around "non-yielding assets," lacking dividends, interest payments, or government backing, with prices primarily driven by investor sentiment.The report states that the leading gold ETF, GLD, once topped the list of the world's largest ETFs, then experienced a prolonged period of stagnation lasting about eight years, but each cycle's peak has gradually risen. Balchunas believes that Bitcoin ETFs may similarly undergo a repetitive cycle of "rapid ascent—sharp pullback—prolonged recovery," with peaks gradually rising with each cycle.

According to Jinshi, Torsten Slok, Chief Economist at Apollo Global Management, stated that if the sell-off of AI concept stocks intensifies, the recent rise of the dollar may face risks. He pointed out that international investors are actively positioning themselves in the AI theme, driving a record rolling net inflow of foreign capital into the U.S. stock market over the past 12 months, but most of these investors have not hedged against foreign exchange risks.If AI performance disappoints and leads to a decline in capital inflows, it will pose significant downside risks to the dollar.

Market data platform Deribit shows that as Bitcoin continues to decline in June, the options market set to expire this month has experienced a significant imbalance, with approximately $8.6 billion nominal value of BTC options in an out-of-the-money (OTM) state, facing the risk of expiring worthless.Data indicates that among the approximately $10.6 billion in open options contracts expiring on June 26, only about 20% are in-the-money (ITM), while the remaining 80% are currently at a loss. Analysts point out that this structural imbalance may trigger concentrated hedging adjustments by market makers and traders before expiration, thereby amplifying short-term market volatility.The current maximum pain price is approximately $74,000, which is about 14% higher than Bitcoin's current price of around $65,000. Theoretically, this price level means that the maximum number of options contracts will expire worthless, potentially creating an upward pull on prices as expiration approaches, although the effectiveness of this mechanism in the crypto market remains controversial.Additionally, the bullish and bearish structures in the options market are relatively close, with a Put/Call ratio of about 0.87, indicating increased divergence in market sentiment. Approximately $450 million in positions are concentrated in $60,000 put options, while $80,000 call options also form a key resistance level of about $406 million.Analysts believe that as the quarterly expiration approaches, concentrated exercising and hedging adjustments may become important driving factors for short-term price volatility, and Bitcoin may face a more intense directional choice window.

Analyst Darkfost stated that since Bitcoin reached its peak of $82,700 in May, it has now entered a correction phase, with a recent maximum cumulative decline of over 28%. After breaking below the psychological threshold of $60,000 a few days ago, this threshold has reignited concerns among market participants, including whales.As the pullback deepens, the activity of whales on the Binance platform has significantly increased—daily inflows to the platform have repeatedly exceeded 6,000 BTC, with a peak of over 8,000 BTC recorded in early June. Over the past month, whales have averaged a daily transfer of 3,200 BTC to Binance, compared to only 1,200 BTC at the end of April, an increase of over 160% in just a few weeks.Darkfost believes that this trend indicates that a large number of holders have increased their selling pressure during the recent decline, or at least their willingness to sell has significantly strengthened. Although whales are generally seen as more rational BTC investors, they are not completely immune to market pressures. In an environment where macro and geopolitical uncertainties remain high, some whales may choose to reduce their exposure and close positions to preserve capital and mitigate potential downside risks in the event of further market deterioration.