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first_img Kerman Kohli: The bottleneck of computing power financing lies in credit

Cryptocurrency researcher Kerman Kohli published "Compute Financing" on Substack on October 19, 2026, discussing financing for computing power construction. He believes one of the main bottlenecks is capital, especially credit: early expenditures mainly come from balance sheet cash, followed by a shift to equity financing. The article cites Alphabet's $85 billion financing and Meta's fundraising through shareholder dilution, with the next step being the credit market.Kohli summarizes the current beliefs of creditors into three points, which he believes are incompatible: AI may be a bubble; the biggest risk is counterparty risk in purchase contracts; the underlying GPUs are not valuable and depreciate like ordinary hardware. He argues that demand is closer to infinite, stating that the demand for agentic AI is growing by about 2.5 to 5 times each year, with supply potentially doubling by the end of 2030. Memory is expected to sell out by 2027, with computing power commitments reaching trillions of dollars, and he mentions Jane Street's multi-billion dollar commitments, as well as the needs of pharmaceutical companies, research, military, and cybersecurity.Regarding efficiency, he states that when the cost of intelligence drops by 90%, the increase in usage is even greater, with a baseline exceeding 10 times, and he cites Jevons' Paradox.On the topic of purchasing, Kohli believes that computing power is more substitutable than real estate; when demand is strong, if someone withdraws their commitment, others will take over. He mentions that many creditors require 2 to 3 year contracts and down payments of 20% to 30%, sometimes as high as 50%, and locking in long-term discount contracts effectively shorts computing power for lenders. The article also states that computing power rental prices have risen by about 50% in the past 6 months and about 100% in the past year, with B300 supplies being tight. Regarding collateral, he notes that the A100 from 2020 is still operational and rented out until 2029, leading him to believe it has at least about 9 years of use value; the current price of B200 is about 50% higher than when it was released about two years ago, and a 6-year-old A100 is still worth about 25% of its value. He concludes that computing power will surpass real estate to become the largest asset class, and the scale of credit-supported computing power is currently just beginning.

first_img Pantera Junior Partner Jay Yu: Computing power may become a commodity asset

Pantera Capital Junior Partner Jay Yu published an article titled "The Rise of Compute Markets," stating that computing power and data center spending have become a trillion-dollar category, but GPU procurement is still mainly done through group chats, over-the-counter brokers, and bilateral agreements. He noted that the financialization of computing power is still in its early stages, constrained by SKU, time, and location, but could become a commodity asset similar to electricity or oil in the next 5 to 10 years. Jay Yu believes that the computing power market may form a "hardware-supplier-cluster" structure similar to the electricity "grid-operator-node," with new cloud vendors being structural shorts on GPUs, while on-demand platforms and application layers are longs.He mentioned that for every $100 spent on inference at the application layer, about $45 flows to the on-demand layer, about $50 flows to the new cloud or GPU layer, and about $5 flows to routing layers like OpenRouter. NVIDIA can be seen as the "central bank" of computing power, having announced support for up to 25% residual value. He also stated that physical delivery has a more enduring moat, and indices, cash-settled exchanges, and financing tools will subsequently emerge, with participants including SF Compute, Vast AI, Runpod, Compute Exchange, and others. The computing power market does not have mandatory price transparency requirements, and basis risk may be greater.

2025 Bitcoin Mining Trends: Hashrate Hits New High After Halving, Energy Arbitrage Drives Mining Company Migration

ChainCatcher news, according to Cointelegraph, Bitcoin enters its fifth era after the 2024 block reward halving, with the single block reward decreasing from 6.25 BTC to 3.125 BTC. Mining companies are responding to profit pressures through hardware upgrades, energy optimization, and regional migration. By May 1, 2025, the total network hash rate is expected to reach 831 EH/s, a 77% increase from the 2024 low of 519 EH/s, with a peak rising to 921 EH/s.The iteration of mining machines accelerates the energy efficiency competition, with Bitmain's Antminer S21+ achieving a hash rate of 216 TH/s and an energy consumption ratio of 16.5 J/TH, while MicroBT's immersion mining machine WhatsMiner M66S+ reduces energy consumption to 17 J/TH. TSMC and Samsung have already adopted 3-nanometer chip technology, with 2-nanometer processes soon to be implemented, driving continuous improvements in mining machine efficiency.Energy costs dominate the survival of mining companies, with the network difficulty rising to a historical high of 123T, and daily earnings per TH/s (Hashprice) dropping from $0.12 in April 2024 to $0.049 in the same period of 2025. The Omani government subsidizes electricity prices to maintain $0.05--$0.07 per kilowatt-hour, while semi-official projects in the UAE have electricity prices as low as $0.035--$0.045 per kilowatt-hour, attracting institutional-level mining operations. In the U.S., industrial electricity prices exceed $0.1 per kilowatt-hour, forcing mining companies to migrate to low-cost energy regions in Africa, the Middle East, and Central Asia.A Cointelegraph research report indicates that the growing demand for AI computing power, global regulatory adjustments, and breakthroughs in hardware technology will continue to impact the industry landscape over the next 12 to 18 months. Efficiency optimization has become a survival necessity, with only leading mining companies able to maintain competitiveness through energy arbitrage and equipment upgrades, while sovereign nations adopt strategies alongside institutional entry or reshape Bitcoin's position in the global financial system.
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