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According to monitoring by Catcher Predict, in the event of "Bitcoin breaking through on July 13" in the prediction market Polymarket, the winning probability of the sub-market "62,000" for the "Yes" option has experienced significant fluctuations, soaring from 71.45% an hour ago to the current 96.05% (a fluctuation of 24.6%). Please note the impact of related breaking news.

According to Coinglass data, if BTC breaks through $65,432, the cumulative short liquidation intensity on mainstream CEX will reach $1.896 billion. Conversely, if BTC falls below $59,652, the cumulative long liquidation intensity on mainstream CEX will reach $1.074 billion.

According to SoSoValue data, as of 8 AM Eastern Time on July 13, 2026, the total net sell-off of Bitcoin by global listed companies (excluding mining companies) in the past week was $85.45 million, a decrease of 908.42% compared to last week.Strategy (formerly MicroStrategy) and the Japanese listed company Metaplanet did not purchase Bitcoin last week.In addition, two other companies purchased Bitcoin last week. Brazilian Bitcoin company OrangeBTC announced on July 13 that it bought 8 Bitcoins at a price of $62,100, bringing its total holdings to 3,912 Bitcoins; asset management company Strive announced on July 13 that it spent $1.15 million to purchase 18 Bitcoins at a price of $64,028, bringing its total holdings to approximately 19,900 Bitcoins.As of the time of publication, the total amount of Bitcoin held by the global listed companies (excluding mining companies) in the statistics is 1,139,635 Bitcoins, a decrease of 0.19% compared to last week, with a current market value of approximately $7.138 billion, accounting for 5.7% of Bitcoin's circulating market value.

According to Coinglass data, in the past 24 hours, the total liquidation across the network was $270 million, with long positions liquidated at $214 million and short positions liquidated at $55.68 million. Among them, Bitcoin long positions were liquidated at $68.54 million, Bitcoin short positions at $10.73 million, Ethereum long positions at $38.64 million, and Ethereum short positions at $27.05 million.In addition, in the last 24 hours, a total of 69,788 people were liquidated globally, with the largest single liquidation occurring in Hyperliquid - XYZ:SKHX-USD worth $4.8618 million.

Strive CEO Matt Cole posted on the X platform stating that the company purchased an additional 18 BTC last week, with a total value of approximately 1.2 million dollars, at an average purchase price of about 64,028 dollars/BTC. The company's total Bitcoin holdings have increased to 19,900 coins.

According to SEC filings, Strategy sold approximately 4.82 million shares of MSTR stock through the ATM (At-the-Market) program during the week ending July 12, raising a net amount of approximately $466.7 million.During the same period, Strategy did not make any Bitcoin purchases, maintaining its holdings at 843,775 BTC, with a total cost of approximately $63.69 billion based on an average purchase cost of $75,476. Additionally, Strategy disclosed that the company did not conduct any stock buybacks from July 6 to July 12, and as of July 12, cash reserves were approximately $3 billion.

According to QCP Capital, it has been 12 days since the US and Iran signed a memorandum of understanding, and both sides experienced military conflicts again over the weekend, each accusing the other of violating the 60-day ceasefire agreement, putting pressure on the prospects for the second round of negotiations. Oil prices remain around $70, but if supply recovers slower than expected, there is still an upward risk for oil prices.In the cryptocurrency market, the implied volatility of BTC and ETH continues to rise, with increased demand for BTC put options in the $55,000-$58,000 range expiring in July. There has been a continuous net outflow from spot ETFs, concerns related to Strategy, and the pressure from the US stock market has weighed on market sentiment. However, there was also a significant buying interest in BTC call options at $64,000 expiring on the 17th. This week, the market will focus on Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh's speech at the ECB forum, as well as the ISM Manufacturing PMI and US non-farm payroll data. Given the low liquidity ahead of the holiday, market volatility is expected to remain high.

According to the latest "Bitcoin Weekly Market Pulse" report published by glassnode, although BTC has rebounded after a recent sell-off, this round of increase is still closer to a "volume contraction recovery." The report shows that the weekly spot trading volume decreased by 21.5% to $4.1 billion, and the spot CVD turned from positive to negative at -$58.8 million, indicating that the breadth of market buying remains weak.In terms of institutional funds, the weekly net inflow of the US spot BTC ETF has recovered to $161.3 million, but ETF trading volume still decreased by 11.97% to $8.4 billion. On-chain data shows that the number of active addresses decreased by 7.6% to 599,000, on-chain transfer volume decreased by 16.1% to $4 billion, and total fees decreased by 13.9% to $168,400, indicating that on-chain activity continues to weaken.In terms of derivatives, the futures funding rate increased by 13.4% to $1.9 million, but the perpetual contract CVD plummeted by 81.7% to $83.9 million; at the same time, the options market 25-Delta Skew rose to 18.87%, indicating that investors still maintain strong demand for downside protection during the rebound process.

After Metaplanet (3350.T) completed the acquisition of Siiibo Securities, it launched Metaplanet Securities, providing BTC-backed credit instruments for Japanese investors.BTC-backed credit is on the rise.

The South Korean stock market continues its downward trend for nearly a week, once again experiencing a circuit breaker led by Samsung and SK Hynix. The continuous decline in the stock market seems to have started to deter South Korean retail investors, with a noticeable phenomenon of funds flowing back into the cryptocurrency market.According to Coingecko data, the largest CEX in South Korea, Upbit, has a trading volume of $4.12 billion in the last 24 hours, an increase of 436%. The top 5 cryptocurrencies by trading volume on this CEX are: Bitcoin, XRP, ETH, T, and BLAST.

The total amount of U.S. national debt surpassed $39 trillion in mid-March, with public debt exceeding $31 trillion. The Congressional Budget Office projects that the deficit for fiscal year 2026 will reach $1.9 trillion, and public debt will rise to $56 trillion by 2036.Senator Cynthia Lummis is promoting the BITCOIN Act, which aims to require the U.S. Treasury to purchase up to 1 million BTC within 5 years and hold them for at least 20 years, with no official purchase confirmation yet. On June 16, Cynthia Lummis stated that her model estimates that the holdings could reduce U.S. national debt by one-third to one-half, and she expects the Treasury to begin purchasing Bitcoin by the end of 2026.

According to Lookonchain monitoring, a trader opened a 20x leveraged short position of 30,000 ETH, worth $53.49 million; this trader previously closed 3 long positions in BTC, ETH, and SOL, all of which were profitable, with a total profit of $444,000.Another trader opened a 10x leveraged long position of 30,000 ETH, worth $53.49 million; this trader has closed 8 trades, of which 6 were profitable, with a win rate of 75%, and a total profit of $3.1 million.

According to Coinglass data, if BTC breaks through $65,874, the cumulative short liquidation intensity on major CEX will reach $1.153 billion. Conversely, if BTC falls below $60,216, the cumulative long liquidation intensity on major CEX will reach $485 million.

According to SoSoValue data, last week's trading days (Eastern Time from July 6 to July 10) saw a net inflow of $197 million into Bitcoin spot ETFs.The Bitcoin spot ETF with the highest net inflow last week was Blackrock ETF IBIT, with a weekly net inflow of $292 million, bringing IBIT's historical total net inflow to $60.29 billion. Following that was Grayscale Bitcoin Trust BTC, with a weekly net inflow of $95.084 million, currently having a historical total net inflow of $2.49 billion. The Bitcoin spot ETF with the highest net outflow last week was Grayscale Bitcoin Trust GBTC, with a weekly net outflow of $108 million, currently having a historical total net outflow of $27.28 billion. As of the time of publication, the total net asset value of Bitcoin spot ETFs was $77.42 billion, with an ETF net asset ratio (market value as a percentage of Bitcoin's total market value) reaching 6.05%, and the historical cumulative net inflow has reached $51.28 billion.

According to Gate market data, BTC/USDT is currently priced at $63000, with a 24-hour decline of 1.66%.

An independent home miner mined Bitcoin block 957382 using a portable Bitaxe device through Public Pool, receiving a total block reward of 3.1382 BTC, which includes a block subsidy of 3.125 BTC and approximately 0.0132 BTC in transaction fees, valued at around $200,000 at the time.The device has an average hash rate of 995.2 GH/s and submitted the winning share after running for about 8 hours. Bitaxe is an open-source single-chip Bitcoin miner based on the Bitmain BM1370 chip, with the Gamma series having a default hash rate of about 1 to 1.3 TH/s, a power consumption of 15 to 21 watts, and typically sells for $60 to $150.

According to Coinglass data, the current whale holdings on the Hyperliquid platform are 5.15 billion USD, with long positions at 2.506 billion USD, accounting for 48.67% of the holdings, and short positions at 2.644 billion USD, accounting for 51.33% of the holdings. The profit and loss for long positions is -39.0339 million USD, and for short positions is -61.1665 million USD.Among them, the whale address 0x082e..88 has taken a 5x full position long on HYPE at a price of 38.6755 USD, currently showing an unrealized profit and loss of 39.0282 million USD.

According to monitoring by Catcher Predict, in the event of "Bitcoin breaking through on July 13" in the prediction market Polymarket, the probability of the "Yes" option in the sub-market "64,000" has experienced significant fluctuations, plummeting from 59.5% an hour ago to the current 39.5% (a fluctuation of 20%). Please note the impact of related breaking news.

According to Caixin, the case involving Qian Zhimin and 60,000 bitcoins held a three-day hearing from July 7 to 9, 2026. In the next phase, the focus of the case will gradually shift to evidence and tracing of assets, with substantive hearings expected to begin gradually after October this year.The court will focus on: 1. How the RMB investment funds entered Lantian Ge Rui and related accounts; 2. How the funds were gathered, transferred, and exchanged; 3. Which funds have a provable connection to the bitcoins seized in the UK; 4. The losses, repayments, and existing compensation situations of each applicant; 5. What specific property relationship exists between individual investors, Lantian Ge Rui, and the bitcoins involved in the case. Analysts believe that after the legal dispute was applied in July this year and the judge made a ruling, the case will gradually shift from "what law to judge by" to "whether the evidence can prove the rights."

According to on-chain analyst Yu Jin's monitoring, the ETH/BTC exchange rate has recently rebounded from 0.02524 to 0.02855. A certain whale specializing in ETH/BTC exchange trading exchanged 13,708 ETH for 393.4 BTC half an hour ago, worth 25 million USD, shorting the ETH/BTC exchange rate, with a transaction rate of 0.02855.This whale is a coin-based trader; if the exchange rate falls, they can exchange back for more ETH. Over the past six months, through multiple exchange rate trades, they have increased their coin-based holdings by 6,475 ETH, worth 11.78 million USD.