conflict

Ukrainian Foreign Minister Dmytro Kuleba stated during the trilateral talks between Ukraine, the United States, and Russia in Abu Dhabi that Ukraine proposed core demands such as easing tensions and implementing a ceasefire, and pushed for a meeting between the leaders of Ukraine and Russia. Kuleba believes that a direct meeting is expected to accelerate the end of the conflict. Ukraine submitted a ceasefire proposal regarding the Black Sea and energy sectors, awaiting a response from Russia.

During a press conference at the White House, U.S. President Trump stated that the conflict with Iran is moving towards a resolution, and that the U.S. currently sees no need to take military action against Iran. He emphasized that Iran will never be allowed to possess nuclear weapons, and there is absolutely no room for negotiation on this matter.

Some observers of the Federal Reserve believe that Trump's strong opposition from voters in the midterm elections may alleviate the political pressure faced by Federal Reserve Chair Waller, allowing him to reduce political interference and focus on controlling inflation. Voters have listed the cost of living as one of their top concerns, fundamentally changing the political landscape surrounding the Federal Reserve.Since Trump's re-election in 2024, he has been exerting pressure on the Federal Reserve and its interest rate decisions, repeatedly calling for rate cuts, supporting an unprecedented criminal investigation into the renovation of the Federal Reserve's office building, and attempting to remove a sitting Federal Reserve governor. Against this backdrop, Trump chose Waller to lead the Federal Reserve in May of this year, after Waller had unusually shifted to support rate cuts. This has raised concerns among Democrats, who fear that the new chair may have agreed to adjust monetary policy according to the president's wishes.Claudia Sahm, Chief Economist at New Century Advisors, stated that in fact, if the election results prompt Trump to end the conflict with Iran and abandon further tariff increases, the Federal Reserve may not need to raise interest rates again at all.

According to Catcher Predict monitoring, in the Polymarket prediction market for the event "NATO and Russia Military Conflict," the sub-market "December 31" option "Yes" has experienced a dramatic fluctuation in winning probability, dropping from 49% an hour ago to the current 17.5% (a fluctuation of 31.5%). Please note the impact of related breaking news.

According to Gate market data, the escalation of the Middle East conflict has led to a frantic sell-off of precious metals, with international spot gold falling below the 4,000 mark and Shanghai silver futures dropping over 6%.The Federal Reserve's interest rate decision is about to be announced, creating uncertainty in the precious metals market.

U.S. Treasury Secretary Mnuchin stated that U.S. President Trump is not expected to engage in any military conflict before the midterm elections. The diesel trade with Russia is beneficial for Americans, and we will utilize all legal authorities to conduct diesel transactions with Russia.

U.S. President Trump stated that U.S. officials spoke with mediators aimed at ending the U.S.-Iran conflict on September 28.Reports indicate that the U.S. and Iran are expected to hold talks again through mediators on the 28th or 29th. Iranian Foreign Minister Zarif and the Qatari mediators are currently in the U.S., and the discussions will focus on negotiating revisions to Iran's proposal to reopen the Strait of Hormuz within seven days, which was presented during the United Nations General Assembly.

According to a report by the Korean News Agency, the stock exchange transaction between Upbit's parent company Dunamu and NAVER Pay, a subsidiary of South Korean internet giant NAVER, may have uncertainties. Data disclosed by the Legislative Investigation Office of the Korean National Assembly indicates that the related transaction may simultaneously face the minimum shareholding ratio for subsidiaries stipulated by the Fair Trade Act, as well as the maximum shareholding ratio limit for major shareholders of virtual asset exchanges.Currently, NAVER Pay does not seem to belong to a holding company, but if it becomes a holding company in the future and includes the exchange as a subsidiary, there may be a situation where two conflicting shareholding standards apply simultaneously, necessitating an adjustment of the governance structure. The Korean Fair Trade Act stipulates that a holding company's shareholding ratio in listed subsidiaries must not be less than 30%, and for non-listed subsidiaries, it must not be less than 50%; for venture capital holding companies, it is 20%. Additionally, the second phase of discussions on South Korean virtual asset legislation also involves setting a shareholding limit for major shareholders of exchanges to reduce the concentration of control and the risk of conflicts of interest among specific shareholders.

According to a report by Yonhap News Agency, the stock swap transaction between Upbit's parent company Dunamu and a subsidiary of South Korean internet giant NAVER may have uncertainties. Data disclosed by the Legislative Investigation Office of the National Assembly of Korea shows that the related transaction may simultaneously face the minimum shareholding ratio for subsidiaries stipulated by the Fair Trade Act, as well as the maximum shareholding ratio limit for major shareholders of virtual asset exchanges.Currently, NAVER Pay does not seem to belong to a holding company, but if it becomes a holding company in the future and includes the exchange as a subsidiary, there may be a situation where two conflicting shareholding standards apply simultaneously, thus requiring adjustments to the governance structure. The Fair Trade Act of Korea stipulates that a holding company must hold at least 30% of the shares in listed subsidiaries and at least 50% in non-listed subsidiaries; for venture capital holding companies, the requirement is 20%. The second phase of discussions on South Korean virtual asset legislation also involves the maximum shareholding limit for major shareholders of exchanges to reduce the concentration of control and the risk of conflicts of interest among specific shareholders.

The Kremlin stated that Russian President Vladimir Putin had a phone call with U.S. President Donald Trump, which lasted for one hour. Trump focused on ending the Ukraine conflict as soon as possible, and both sides evaluated the visit of the U.S. envoy. Putin supported the restoration of U.S.-Russia relations and discussed prisoner exchange matters.

According to The Information, the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) is reviewing relevant rules to address potential conflicts of interest between prediction market exchanges and their affiliated trading companies.

According to a report by Reuters, on August 24 local time, a poll released by Reuters/Ipsos showed that public support in the United States for military action against Iran has fallen to its lowest level since the outbreak of the conflict, which has also kept President Trump's approval ratings at historically low levels.The four-day survey indicated that only 31% of Americans support military action against Iran, down from 37% in a March poll and 34% earlier in August.The report noted that the conflict with Iran has continued to damage Trump's public image. Two consecutive polls showed that only 33% of respondents approve of Trump's performance in the White House, the lowest level recorded for Trump since he took office in the Reuters/Ipsos poll.Additionally, about 83% of Americans expect that the conflict between the U.S. and Iran "will last a long time."The poll surveyed 1,215 American adults nationwide, with a margin of error of plus or minus 3 percentage points.

According to monitoring by Catcher Predict, in the "NATO and Russia Military Conflict Prediction" event on the prediction market Polymarket, the "Yes" option in the sub-market "October 31" experienced a sharp fluctuation in winning probability, dropping from 43% an hour ago to the current 23.5% (a fluctuation of 19.5%). Please note the impact of related breaking news.

According to Fortune, the Trump family is accelerating its entry into the prediction market space, with the Trump Media Technology Group developing a prediction market platform called TruthPredict, allowing users to trade prediction contracts related to significant events. The company has also launched the Truth API, providing Wall Street with quick data access to Truth Social content. Additionally, Donald Trump Jr., the eldest son of Trump, currently serves as a strategic advisor to Kalshi, and his venture capital firm 1789 Capital has invested in competitor Polymarket and joined the advisory board of Polymarket. This means the Trump family is simultaneously associated with the two major prediction market platforms, while the Trump Media Group is building its own prediction market business.Although there is currently no public evidence showing that Donald Trump Jr. or the Trump family is trading on government insider information, the potential conflicts of interest arising from the intertwining of presidential public information, market trading, and family business interests are drawing external attention. Federal agencies are still investigating whether former White House teleprompter operator Gabriel Perez used advance knowledge of Trump's speech content to trade in related markets on Kalshi. The team of Donald Trump Jr. and the Trump Media Technology Group have yet to formally respond to requests for comments regarding insider trading related to the prediction market.

According to Jinshi reports, affected by the dual impact of geopolitical conflicts and the strong El Niño disrupting global rainfall patterns, core agricultural costs such as crude oil and fertilizers are soaring, brewing a "perfect storm." A new round of global food inflation crisis may fully erupt from the end of this year to next year.

According to Jinshi reports, the latest 24-hour situation tracking of the Russia-Ukraine conflict shows that Ukrainian President Zelensky stated that the supply of Ukraine's air defense systems has decreased by two-thirds compared to last year. In the Kyiv region, 16 people have died, and the number of injured has risen to 36.The Russian Ministry of Defense claimed to have damaged three ships near Odessa and disrupted logistics hubs in Kyiv and its surrounding areas. In addition, French President Macron and European Commission President von der Leyen both stated that they would continue to increase pressure on Russia, with the latter also mentioning that an additional 1.4 billion euros would be allocated to Ukraine from the profits of frozen Russian assets.

According to Jinshi reports, U.S. President Trump stated that the progress of the Iran conflict is going very smoothly.

According to Jinshi reports, Abdullah Bandar Al-Etabi, an assistant professor of international affairs at Qatar University, stated that it is still too early to judge the direction of the situation following Trump's latest statement regarding Iran. Both sides have not shown any signs of easing their respective positions, and Iran has not softened its stance on the issue of the Strait of Hormuz, with the threat of a broader conflict still present.However, the latest developments have bought more time for diplomacy.