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According to Coinglass data, the cryptocurrency Fear and Greed Index is currently at 14, up 1 point from yesterday. The average over the past 7 days is 14, and the average over the past 30 days is 15.

According to monitoring by Catcher Predict, in the "France vs Sweden - More Markets" event on the prediction market Polymarket, the "Yes" option for the sub-market "Will the match go into overtime?" experienced a sharp fluctuation in winning probability, dropping from 50% an hour ago to the current 23% (a fluctuation of 27%). Please note the impact of relevant breaking news.

According to monitoring by Catcher Predict, in the event "NBA Free Agency Market: Ayo Dosunmu's Next Team" on the prediction market Polymarket, the "Yes" option for the sub-market "Charlotte Hornets" has experienced a dramatic fluctuation in winning probability, soaring from 0.25% an hour ago to the current 43.35% (a fluctuation of 43.1%). Please note the impact of related breaking news.

According to Jinshi reports, European Central Bank President Lagarde stated that in the coming years we are more likely to face shocks that will cause inflation to deviate from the target.

According to The Block, Binance founder Zhao Changpeng stated that the MiCA license application submitted by Binance in Greece fully complied with regulatory requirements and was close to approval before being withdrawn, but ultimately the process was interrupted due to "external political factors."In an interview, Zhao Changpeng mentioned that several countries within the EU had expressed interest in the license, and there was even a certain degree of "competitive pursuit," but the regulatory progress was ultimately affected by non-regulatory factors, forcing the application to be withdrawn. Binance officially withdrew its application in Greece last week and stated that it would turn to other EU member states to continue pursuing MiCA authorization.In response to market rumors regarding his connections with high-level EU politicians, Zhao Changpeng stated that he had not seen any verifiable documents and only saw similar claims online, which he did not confirm. Zhao Changpeng also pointed out that the EU MiCA transition period will officially end on July 1, at which time platforms that have not obtained licenses must cease related services. Regulatory agencies in various countries have made it clear that they will not postpone enforcement, and they evaluate this outcome as a "lose-lose situation," using the regulatory processes in Japan and Singapore as examples to emphasize that compliance processes often require a longer period.Additionally, when discussing Strategy's STRC preferred stock product, Zhao Changpeng stated that its structure is "too complex" and expressed difficulty in fully understanding its mechanism, but emphasized that he does not comment on the credibility of its founder Michael Saylor, considering him a "staunch supporter of Bitcoin."

Regarding the digital credit capital framework announced by Strategy, the Ethereum treasury company BitMine (NYSE: BMNR) commented that this framework consolidates the structural relationship between capital markets and Bitcoin, which should enhance investor confidence in the Strategy approach.BitMine believes that investor concerns typically only arise during Bitcoin downturns; if the Bitcoin price were at $100,000, few would question the strategy. Therefore, Strategy needs to prove that it has enough capital to withstand downturn cycles; raising the capital buffer to over 26 months is a wise move. According to its calculations, since 2009, with a rolling period of 36 months, the probability of negative returns for Bitcoin is less than 0.8%, and a reserve size of 26 months is sufficient for Strategy to safely navigate such fluctuations.

According to The Block, influenced by the maturation of the crypto market and the rapid development of emerging technologies, several leading crypto venture capital firms are shifting their investment focus from the pure crypto sector to a broader "frontier technology" track, involving AI, robotics, fintech, and biotechnology.It is reported that Framework Ventures and Haun Ventures have recently raised $400 million and $1 billion funds respectively to support cross-domain layouts; Paradigm is planning to raise up to $1.5 billion for a frontier technology fund; and the former Binance incubator YZi Labs has also ventured into the fields of AI and biotechnology.Industry investors analyze that the core reasons for this strategic shift are the demand for capital deployment brought about by the expansion of fund sizes, the decrease in high-quality pure crypto projects, and the increasing integration of adjacent technologies such as blockchain and AI. Some venture capitalists predict that as cryptocurrencies gradually integrate into a broader technology ecosystem, the exclusive label of "crypto VC" may gradually fade, and the market will ultimately differentiate into large multi-strategy investment funds and a few vertical investors focused on digital assets. However, some institutions like a16z Crypto and Dragonfly still insist on deepening their investment strategies in the pure crypto sector.

Liquid Capital founder Yi Lihua posted that the current Bitcoin trend represents the third wave of decline since the peak of 1011. According to volatility theory and cyclical patterns, this may be the final major drop.Yi Lihua pointed out that the main influencing factors for this round of decline include the performance of the U.S. stock market and Strategy, while closely monitoring the Federal Reserve's response to CPI data to see if it will change interest rate cut or hike expectations, which could trigger a continued pullback in the U.S. stock market. Additionally, black swan or explosive events often occur at the tail end of past bear markets, which have not yet appeared and still require ongoing observation.He believes that based on Bitcoin's peak of $126,000, a 60% drop would bring it down to about $51,000, and a 66% drop would bring it down to about $43,000. Regardless of where the final bottom lies, July and August may be the last bottoming area of this cycle and the most noteworthy time window for bottom fishing in the next three years.

According to Coinglass data, the cryptocurrency Fear and Greed Index is currently at 17, up 3 points from yesterday. The average over the past 7 days is 17, and the average over the past 30 days is 16.

According to Coinglass data, the cryptocurrency Fear and Greed Index is currently at 14, an increase of 2 points from yesterday. The average over the past 7 days is 17, and the average over the past 30 days is 16.

According to official news, OpenAI has officially launched the preview version of the next-generation GPT-5.6 series models, including the flagship model Sol, the balanced model Terra, and the fast low-cost model Luna. GPT-5.6 introduces a brand new maximum reasoning effort and features a super strong mode that accelerates complex tasks through sub-agents.The flagship model Sol introduces the Ultra mode, which combines maximum reasoning intensity with sub-agent collaboration. In the Terminal-Bench 2.1 command line workflow test, Sol achieved a score of 88.8%, which increased to 91.9% in Ultra mode, surpassing GPT-5.5's 83.4% and Claude Fable 5's 88.0%. The mid-range model Terra performs close to GPT-5.5 while being priced at half, and the lightest model Luna is designed specifically for everyday automation tasks. Sol is priced at $5 per million input tokens and $30 for output, and it supports reducing secondary call costs by utilizing prompt caching.In terms of security, the security assessment confirmed that Sol did not exceed the critical thresholds of the Preparedness Framework cybersecurity. OpenAI has invested over 700,000 A100 equivalent GPU hours in automated red team exercises, equipping the entire series of models with a defense stack that includes rejection mechanisms, real-time abuse classifiers, and account-level audits. Although the current limited release follows the U.S. government's security framework, OpenAI emphasizes that it does not want a government-led access mechanism to become the long-term default model, as it would limit defenders' access to cutting-edge tools.

According to Cointelegraph, the Australian Securities and Investments Commission (ASIC) announced an extension of the temporary enforcement exemption period for digital asset businesses applying for an Australian Financial Services (AFS) license until September 30, 2026, extending the previous deadline of June 30 by three months.This extension also broadens the scope of the exemption, including digital asset businesses operating through authorized representatives or arrangements with licensed company intermediaries in the transitional protection period. ASIC stated that since the update of the digital asset regulatory guidelines in October 2025, approximately 30 license applications have been received.It is noteworthy that this extension is independent of Australia's "Digital Asset Framework," which was passed by Parliament in April this year and is scheduled to officially take effect on April 9, 2027. ASIC warned that businesses licensed under the current guidelines may still need to obtain additional authorizations after the new framework is implemented.

According to the Financial Times, due to the failure to obtain a license under the EU's Markets in Crypto-Assets Regulation, Binance will stop providing services to certain customers in the EU starting next week and has notified customers in Poland, Italy, Spain, and France to withdraw their funds.

Crypto KOL Ansem reiterated the long-term investment logic of Bitcoin, stating that despite previously holding a bearish stance, the current price level presents a good buying opportunity. He pointed out that the core narrative of Bitcoin as the hardest currency remains unchanged—it's not subject to government seizure, can be transferred across borders instantly, and is not affected by the long-term depreciation of the dollar, making it an ideal vehicle for long-term wealth storage. The performance of gold outpacing Bitcoin between 2024 and 2025 temporarily undermined the "digital gold" narrative, but he believes that as long as price momentum rebounds, market confidence can be restored.On a macro level, Ansem believes that with the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz and the expected easing of inflationary pressures, the Federal Reserve's hawkish stance may be nearing its peak, at which point both Waller and the Federal Reserve will have room to cut interest rates rather than continue raising them; the strength of the dollar and rising interest rates exert pressure on gold, but if profits from AI stocks flow into real estate, cash, and long-term value storage assets, both gold and Bitcoin will benefit; institutional investors like Paul Tudor Jones still show interest in Bitcoin.Previously, Ansem candidly admitted to being bearish on Bitcoin due to Saylor's (founder of Strategy) position risk, once believing that $60,000 would be hard to maintain, but he stated he is now responding to buy signals. He noted that the current price action has priced in the worst-case scenario of Saylor being forced to sell, and even if he truly needs to sell, it would not happen for at least six months. He concluded that Bitcoin is currently at the intersection of long-term historical support levels and the most pessimistic market sentiment he has observed, making entry at the beginning of Q3 a trading opportunity worth paying attention to.

According to Coinglass data, the cryptocurrency Fear and Greed Index is currently at 13, down 5 points from yesterday. The average over the past 7 days is 19, and the average over the past 30 days is 17.

Aptos Foundation announced that it has become one of the founding contributors to the Legal Context Protocol (LCP). LCP was initiated by ADR and launched in collaboration with organizations such as Google and Circle, aiming to provide verifiable legal terms, user authorizations, and dispute resolution standards for AI Agent autonomous trading scenarios, in order to enhance compliance and enforceability in the AI agent economy.

According to Jinshi reports, Russian Foreign Minister Lavrov stated that the sanctions during the Biden administration have been extended, and new sanctions measures have been introduced. In addition, the United States is selling weapons to Europe for use in Ukraine.

According to Onchain Lens monitoring, the whale "0xEe0" has withdrawn 40,000 HYPE (worth $2.48 million) from Gate again, and currently holds 537,212 HYPE, valued at $33.41 million.