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Chi Lo, a strategist at Societe Generale, stated that although the market expects two more rate hikes, it is unlikely that the Federal Reserve's rate hike in September will mark the beginning of a new tightening cycle similar to that of 2022 to 2023. Instead, this may signal the start of preventive rate hikes aimed at bringing inflation back to target levels by reversing last year's three rate cuts.He noted that further rate hikes will not alleviate external shocks such as war and energy price inflation, but they will ease financial market concerns about the Federal Reserve's anti-inflation credibility. The Federal Reserve cannot continue to ignore recurring shocks or those that fail to dissipate as expected. By slowing down activity in other areas of the economy to curb inflationary pressures, further rate hikes may also carry the risk of pushing the economy into stagflation.

Trader degentrading (@degentradingLSD) pre-market analysis shows the following major signals in the current market:Macroeconomic Level: The 10Y yield has risen to 5.2%, and the 30Y has risen to 5.5%, approaching historical highs; the South Korean stock market opened down 2.5%, with the memory and semiconductor sectors (SK Hynix, Samsung, MU, SNDK) generally down 2% to 5%. It is expected that price movements will continue to fluctuate before MU's earnings report is released.New Cloud Computing: The investment payback period for computing projects is now less than a year, and market perceptions are changing. It is expected that the new cloud sector will undergo rapid revaluation, and the issue of power bottlenecks is also receiving increasing attention.Tech Stocks: META is weak pre-market, focusing on buying at the 690 support level or opportunities for breaking historical highs. If the large-scale data center sector breaks through as a whole, META, MSFT, and others will face paradigm-level repricing.Cryptocurrency Market: Mainstream coins and altcoins are generally weak, with BTC possibly testing the 82K support level; last week, TAO and DOGE were reduced, and CRDO was taken for profit to release risk capital. During the KBW period, crypto sentiment is usually somewhat positive, and this week's strategy focuses on finding short-term bullish opportunities.

According to a report by South Korea's Small and Medium Business News on September 28, industry insiders stated that SK Hynix has initiated the foundational engineering required for establishing a semiconductor factory in the Tohoku region of Japan. One insider mentioned that it is still unclear whether the project will be an independent factory or a joint venture with Kioxia, but local groundwork is underway, and SK Hynix has also requested domestic component suppliers in South Korea to expand their supply.The report noted that as of a month ago, SK Hynix's stance on building a memory semiconductor factory in Japan was still "under research," and they stated that "there are no specific decisions." In response to this news, SK Hynix indicated that the Japanese memory semiconductor factory is still in the research phase, with no further advancements at this time.The report also mentioned that SK Group Chairman Chey Tae-won stated in August this year that they are studying the establishment of a joint venture memory semiconductor factory in Japan, with the Tohoku region subsequently seen as a strong candidate. The Tohoku region of Japan and Iwate Prefecture have gathered semiconductor and material component companies such as Kioxia's Kitakami factory, Japan Semiconductor, Ancor Technology, Denso, and Tokyo Electron.

The Hong Kong Accounting and Financial Reporting Council (AFRC) announced the signing of a new Memorandum of Understanding with the Hong Kong Securities and Futures Commission, expanding regulatory cooperation beyond the oversight of financial reporting and related auditing work of listed entities.This includes the financial and compliance reporting of licensed corporations, SFC-licensed virtual asset service providers, SFC-recognized funds, and registered open-ended fund companies, as well as the related auditing and assurance work conducted by their auditors.

Cryptocurrency mining company Riot Platforms announced that it has fully repaid a $200 million credit line from Coinbase and released over 5,800 Bitcoin collateral to reduce leverage risk.

Next week's macro data focus will be on Friday's U.S. non-farm payroll report, including non-farm employment population, unemployment rate, and average hourly wage, which are directly related to the Federal Reserve's interest rate path and are important employment data ahead of the October monetary policy meeting. According to Beijing time, on Wednesday at 20:15, the U.S. September ADP employment figures will be released, and at 20:30, the U.S. August core PCE price index year-on-year will be announced; on Thursday at 20:30, the number of initial jobless claims in the U.S. for the week ending September 26 will be released, and on Friday at 20:30, the U.S. September seasonally adjusted non-farm employment population and unemployment rate will be published.Regarding officials' speeches, on Thursday at 16:00, Bank of England Governor Bailey will speak, and at 21:30, European Central Bank President Lagarde will speak. Starting from early Wednesday, Federal Reserve officials will have a series of public activities; 2027 FOMC voting member and Chicago Fed President Goolsbee, along with 2028 FOMC voting member and St. Louis Fed President Bullard, will speak in succession, and FOMC permanent voting member and New York Fed President Williams will deliver a keynote speech at the University at Buffalo. On Thursday, Federal Reserve Governor Cook, Minneapolis Fed President Kashkari, and Richmond Fed President Barkin will speak in turn, and on Friday, Williams and Dallas Fed President Logan will still have public activities. In terms of U.S. stocks, Micron will release its earnings report after the market on Wednesday, and Nike will announce its latest quarterly earnings report on Thursday, with both companies corresponding to storage chips and consumer demand.

Onchain Lens, an on-chain data analysis platform, reported that Hyperliquid has repurchased and burned 10,400 HYPE in the past 24 hours, with a volume-weighted average price of $91.97, corresponding to a value of approximately $956,800.Data shows that Hyperliquid has cumulatively burned 48.96 million HYPE, with a statistical value of approximately $4.48 billion, accounting for 4.90% of the maximum supply. Its revenue in the past 30 days is $58.27 million.

According to CoinGlass data, the Coinbase Bitcoin Premium Index has recorded negative values for four consecutive days, with the latest at -0.0082%, as purchasing power in the U.S. market has once again fallen into a slump.Previously, on August 24, the Coinbase Bitcoin Premium Index reappeared with a positive signal for the first time since May 19, reporting 0.0052%, temporarily ending the historically longest negative premium period of 97 days. The Coinbase Bitcoin Premium Index is used to measure the price difference of Bitcoin between Coinbase Pro and Binance. A sustained negative index typically indicates that Coinbase's pricing is relatively low, which may reflect weak buying interest or significant selling pressure in the U.S. market, but it is not advisable to directly conclude that institutional funds are flowing out based solely on this indicator.

According to documents submitted by Riot Platforms to the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), the company voluntarily repaid all outstanding loans and accrued interest to Coinbase Credit on September 21, and terminated the previously established credit line of $200 million, without incurring any early termination fees or penalties.The loan had previously been fully drawn by Riot, with a fixed annual interest rate of 6.15%, and an original maturity date of April 20, 2027. As of June 30, Riot had pledged 5,821 BTC as collateral for the loan, valued at approximately $340.7 million, accounting for about 51% of the total BTC held by the company at that time; with the loan repayment, Coinbase's security interest in the related collateral assets was simultaneously released. Riot initially obtained a $100 million Bitcoin collateral loan in April 2025, increasing the limit to $200 million the following month. This repayment occurred approximately 7 months ahead of the revised maturity date.

According to Hyperliquid News data, the Hyperliquid assistance fund has repurchased and destroyed over 47.5057 million HYPE, with a purchase cost of approximately 1.321 billion dollars, and at the current price, it is valued at about 4.366 billion dollars.

According to Cointelegraph, the Internal Revenue Service (IRS) in the United States has stipulated that for transactions in 2025, brokers generally need to report the sales income from digital assets, but in most cases, they do not need to report the cost basis, and taxpayers still need to calculate their gains and losses themselves; starting from 2026, brokers will need to report the cost basis for eligible digital assets. The IRS also emphasized that even if a taxpayer does not receive a 1099-DA, they still must report income and gains and losses related to digital assets.During the first tax season applying the 1099-DA reporting rules for cryptocurrency assets in the United States, some investors are facing issues such as missing transaction data and difficulties in verifying cost basis. A survey conducted by Awaken Tax in August among 1,000 U.S. cryptocurrency investors showed that 21% of respondents who have filed or plan to file for an extension are still waiting for exchanges or cryptocurrency platforms to provide the necessary information; about 20% indicated that their 1099-DA form information is incomplete or are unsure whether it accurately reflects their trading situation.

According to a report released by Spartan Capital, Robinhood Chain will launch its mainnet on July 1, 2026. By the end of August, the on-chain DEX trading volume had risen to $1.5 billion, with a TVL increasing to $711 million, and on-chain gas revenue in August reached $6.6 million.The report shows that most of the trading volume in August came from Uniswap, with a single-day on-chain fee reaching $2.1 million on August 31. Robinhood is responsible for running the sequencer and receives about 90% of the on-chain fees. After deducting Ethereum settlement costs and the 10% licensing fee paid to Arbitrum DAO, the net income for August was approximately $6 million. Regarding Robinhood Earn, users deposit USDG and borrow through Morpho, with the deposit scale increasing from $9.5 million on July 1 to $456 million on August 31, accounting for 68% of Robinhood Chain's TVL at the end of the month. Users can earn an estimated annualized yield of about 7%, while the yield on the loan side was approximately 3.7% at the end of August, with the difference subsidized by reward funds provided by Morpho and its lending partners.Meanwhile, the Meme ecosystem of Robinhood Chain is growing rapidly. By the end of August, over 340,000 tokens had been issued on-chain, with application layer transaction fees reaching $114 million in August. The report states that the trading volume of Meme and tokenized stock trading pairs is also growing rapidly, with the trading volume of Meme tokens paired with Robinhood Stock Tokens reaching $518 million in August. The report points out that the current trading activity on Robinhood Chain is still mainly driven by crypto-native users, and Robinhood's own 27 million funded accounts have not yet been migrated to the chain on a large scale. The gas subsidies in the Robinhood wallet will continue until September 29, and the Earn yield is also planned to be gradually reduced.

The Central Bank of Brazil issued resolutions No. 588 and No. 589, requiring virtual asset service providers (VASP) to report self-custody wallet transactions that amount to or exceed $10,000, and to strengthen anti-money laundering and counter-terrorism financing regulations.Resolution No. 588 stipulates that relevant transaction data will be submitted to the Financial Activities Control Council (COAF). This agency may compile transactions based on this data and establish a self-custody address database to record the asset status of Brazilian users holding cryptocurrencies through authorized centralized exchanges. Resolution No. 589 prohibits conducting business with virtual asset service institutions or entities operating in Brazil without authorization. The new regulations will take effect on October 1, 2026, and currently, only 5 VASPs have applied for licenses to operate in Brazil.

According to three informed sources, the real-world asset tokenization platform Ondo Finance was recommended to potential buyers after founder and CEO Nathan Allman passed away this year. Two sources stated that the relevant contacts occurred after Allman died on May 25. However, it remains unclear who is driving the sale of Ondo Finance.In early August, Allman's estate management filed a lawsuit against Ondo's acting CEO Ian De Bode, accusing him of illegally seizing control and funds of the company, leading to a fierce battle for corporate control. Allman, who died at the age of 32 without a will, left uncertainty regarding the ownership of his controlling shares and a large number of ONDO tokens. After the probate process, his estate was awarded to his parents, Kathleen Allman (77) and Lawrence Allman (82). According to the current court order, De Bode continues to serve as CEO and is responsible for daily operations, but he is not allowed to make significant changes to the company until the control dispute is resolved. One informed source stated that the escalating control litigation is likely to put any sale plans on hold.An Ondo spokesperson denied that the company was seeking buyers, stating that the claims regarding a potential sale are completely false, and that no one in the company has pushed for a sale, participated in sale negotiations, or requested others to do so on their behalf. Ondo was founded in 2021 by former Goldman Sachs executives, is headquartered in New York, and offers tokenized U.S. Treasury bonds and stocks, with product scale exceeding $3.8 billion.

Arbitrum announced a per-transaction priority bidding mechanism to replace the original Timeboost mechanism.According to the disclosed allocation plan, 97% of the revenue generated from priority fees and paid Fast Feed subscriptions will be allocated to the DAO treasury, while the remaining 3% will be distributed to the Arbitrum Developer Guild.

The Federal Reserve's Paulson stated that the inflation report in September prompted the interest rate hike.

Axios reported that allies of Trump are attacking Dario Amodei, the CEO of the artificial intelligence company Anthropic, as a representative of the "doomsday" narrative surrounding artificial intelligence and one of the founders of the effective altruism movement. Sources say that during the midterm elections, allies may target Anthropic when countering his warnings about AI safety; due to his political stance and concerns about AI safety, he is seen as an easy target. This is concerning for investors as the company is preparing for an anticipated record-breaking initial public offering.The report states that a memo began circulating internally within the White House this week, attempting to portray effective altruism as a fringe, cult-like group detached from mainstream America, with Axios claiming to have obtained the document. The memo was written by a Trump political advisor not currently employed by the White House, stating that effective altruism "has established a doomsday pipeline for artificial intelligence," placing Amodei at the foundational position of the movement, while also mentioning his sister, Daniela Amodei, president of Anthropic, referring to these connections as "Anthropic nodes." A source close to the government said that Amodei embodies an ideology and globalist innovation path that contradicts the president's "America First" agenda.Anthropic has been distancing itself from effective altruism. Daniela Amodei stated in a 2025 Wired report that she does not agree with the term. Dario Amodei has insisted in interviews that he is not a member of the movement and has promoted the benefits of artificial intelligence.