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hot_img Counterpoint: If the United States bans imports of Chinese optical modules, it will backfire on domestic cloud vendors rather than just Chinese suppliers

According to Counterpoint Research analysis, if the proposed import ban on Chinese optical modules by the Federal Communications Commission (FCC) in the United States is implemented, it will primarily impact American cloud providers rather than Chinese suppliers. InnoLight leads the global data center optical module revenue with approximately 27% market share, while Coherent ranks second with about 17%. Chinese manufacturers collectively account for about two-thirds of the global unit supply and approximately 60% of the optical communication module revenue.The analysis points out that Western suppliers like Coherent and Lumentum lack sufficient cleanroom capacity, automated packaging infrastructure, and yield scale in the short term, making it impossible to fill the capacity gap left by Chinese manufacturers within 12-24 months. This could lead to delays in AI cluster deployments by several quarters and increase material costs for cloud providers. At the same time, Chinese module manufacturers rely on high-end 800G/1.6T module revenue from North American hyperscale customers for over 90%, but have achieved partial capacity relocation by establishing factories in Thailand.Counterpoint emphasizes that the optical module supply chain is a highly interdependent system. Chinese manufacturers heavily procure DSP chips from Broadcom and Marvell, as well as lasers and optical chips from Lumentum, Coherent, and Mitsubishi Electric. A forced separation would disrupt the entire ecosystem.

hot_img DeepSeek V4 Flash's weekly call volume exceeds 70 trillion tokens, ranking first in the world, with four out of the top five domestic models

According to data from the multi-model aggregation platform OpenRouter, from July 27 to August 2, DeepSeek V4 Flash topped the global AI large model usage ranking with a call volume of 7.22 trillion tokens. Data from the open-source platform OpenCode shows that this model alone processed 8 trillion tokens on August 1. Four out of the top five positions are occupied by Chinese large models: Xiaomi's MiMo-V2.5 (5.1 trillion), Tencent's Hunyuan Hy3 (5.01 trillion), and another DeepSeek V4 Flash model (3.45 trillion) ranked second to fourth, while OpenAI GPT-5.6 Luna (2.99 trillion, a month-on-month increase of 738%) ranked fifth.The total call volume of Chinese large models last week reached 28.13 trillion tokens, surpassing the United States for 14 consecutive weeks, firmly holding the top position globally. The previously highly anticipated Kimi K3 fell out of the top ten this week, ranking 12th. It is noteworthy that free models are capturing an increasing share of traffic, with some models experiencing month-on-month growth exceeding 50%. Analysis indicates that domestic models have shifted from price competition to relying on inference performance and stable service capabilities, but companies like OpenAI and Anthropic continue to iterate, accelerating the internal competition and the pace of product iteration will determine user retention capabilities.

hot_img National Development and Reform Commission: The global download volume of domestic large models has surpassed 10 billion times, which will accelerate the legislative process of the "Artificial Intelligence Law."

Jiang Yi, Director of the Policy Research Office of the National Development and Reform Commission, stated at a press conference on July 31 that in the first half of the year, China's pace of independent innovation in artificial intelligence has accelerated. Domestic companies such as Deep Exploration and Dark Side of the Moon have successively released open-source large models with parameter scales reaching "trillion" levels, and the global download volume of domestic large models has surpassed 10 billion times. The next step will focus on strengthening research and development in cutting-edge areas such as the basic theory of large models, training and inference efficiency, multimodality, and intelligent agents, and accelerating the layout and construction of national artificial intelligence application pilot bases, while vigorously cultivating intelligent derivative enterprises.Jiang Yi pointed out that there will be a coordinated approach to high-quality development and high-level security, accelerating the legislative process of the "Artificial Intelligence Law", constructing a "development---regulation---security" closed-loop system, establishing and improving technical monitoring, risk warning, and emergency response mechanisms, and adhering to the development concept of "human-led, for human use, and benevolent to humanity," actively responding to the impact of artificial intelligence on economic operation and employment distribution.

hot_img Domestic immersion DUV lithography machines have started small batch production, with plans to deliver about 5 units this year

According to a report by The Information citing informed sources, a Shanghai state-owned company whose name has not been disclosed has begun producing domestically-made immersion DUV lithography machines, planning to manufacture about 5 units this year and increase to about 20 units by 2027. The first batch of equipment will be delivered to major foundries such as SMIC, Hua Hong Semiconductor, and ChangXin Technology, but the equipment still needs to undergo verification for accuracy, stability, and production line compatibility, a process that may take several months or even longer.Currently, most components of the equipment come from domestic sources, but some key parts still rely on Japan, and the performance and manufacturing quality lag behind ASML. In comparison, ASML is set to deliver about 131 immersion DUV lithography machines as early as 2025. Although domestic equipment has made the leap from prototype testing to small-scale production, there is still a significant gap before it can replace ASML on a large scale. Previously, Reuters reported that the U.S. is considering tightening restrictions on the export of lithography equipment to China and on maintenance services in China, and the delivery of domestic equipment coincides with this backdrop.

hot_img Academy of Social Sciences Expert: Changxin Technology's overseas on-chain transactions may weaken the domestic capital market's dominance in pricing technology assets

According to Caixin, Zhao Yao, a special researcher at the Payment and Clearing Research Center of the Financial Research Institute of the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, stated that recent offshore digital asset platforms have launched on-chain trading products around Chinese technology companies such as Changxin Technology. This indicates that global digital financial platforms are creating trading exposure around high-quality Chinese technology assets, organizing price expectations, trading liquidity, and cross-border capital entry in advance. Although these products do not correspond to A-share equity, they are synthetic perpetual contracts or pre-market perpetual contracts settled in stablecoins such as USDC and USDT. However, if offshore platforms take the lead in forming a continuous trading market for technology assets, it may weaken the pricing dominance of domestic capital markets over technology assets.Zhao Yao suggested accelerating the construction of digital financial infrastructure for the renminbi, promoting the coordinated development of tokenized deposits by commercial banks, wholesale CBDC, and tokenization of technology assets, and exploring pilot projects for technology asset tokenization in Hong Kong to enhance the capital organization capability and international pricing power of the renminbi in global technology financial competition.

Domestic storage chip leader Changxin Technology is open for subscription today, with the new share allotment rate soaring, possibly ushering in a "sunshine" market

The domestic DRAM storage chip leader Changxin Technology (688825) has officially opened for new stock subscription. Due to the large issuance scale, this new stock offering has rarely seen a "sunshine market" trend. Institutions predict that the online winning rate will soar to 0.3% to 0.7% (with a neutral expectation of about 0.45%), reaching 10 to 20 times that of ordinary Sci-Tech Innovation Board new stocks. Calculations show that the probability of winning for a single account with an average market value of 200,000 in the Shanghai market is as high as about 18%, and theoretically, an average market value of 1 million can reliably secure 1 winning ticket.The issuance price of the stock is 8.66 yuan per share, and to secure one winning ticket (500 shares), a payment of 4,330 yuan is required. The official winning rate and results will be disclosed on July 17 and July 20 (Monday) respectively, and winners must ensure sufficient funds in their accounts by 16:00 on the 20th. Various institutions have given a neutral expectation, as Changxin Technology's market value is expected to reach 2 trillion to 3 trillion yuan after listing, with the profit margin for a single winning ticket expected to be around 20,000 yuan.If Changxin Technology fully exercises the green shoe mechanism, the total fundraising amount will reach 66.607 billion yuan, setting a new record for the largest IPO on the Sci-Tech Innovation Board, and it will also become the third largest IPO in A-share history. Financial data shows that the company has fully turned a profit, with expected operating revenue in the first half of 2026 reaching 110 billion to 120 billion yuan, and net profit attributable to the parent company reaching 50 billion to 57 billion yuan. The total amount of this strategic placement exceeds 14.4 billion yuan, successfully attracting social security funds, pension funds, as well as 30 major industry terminal giants such as Alibaba Cloud, Tencent, Meituan, and Xiaomi.

first_img Key components surge in price, PC brands accelerate the introduction of domestic storage from Changchun and Changxin to reduce costs

According to the Industrial and Commercial Times, due to the soaring prices of key components such as memory and SSDs, the cost pressure for configuring high-capacity storage in mainstream laptops has greatly increased. Cost-effective mainland Chinese memory and storage components are gradually penetrating the PC supply chain, with brands such as Lenovo, ASUS, MSI, Gigabyte, Acer, and even the American brand Apple accelerating the certification, introduction, or platform tuning of related products.The report pointed out that Lenovo has expanded its use of mainland components this year, and recently flagship laptop models equipped with Yangtze Memory Technologies (YMTC) SSDs have appeared on North American cross-border e-commerce platforms. The American brand Apple is also reported to be negotiating with the U.S. government to procure Changxin Memory Technologies (CXMT) memory to cope with the rising prices. In terms of Taiwanese board manufacturers, MSI recently announced that it is the first to complete the verification and tuning of Changxin Memory DDR5 chips on the AMD platform at DDR5-8000+, while Gigabyte has also adopted Changxin Memory chips in some motherboard models. ASUS and Acer have introduced memory modules from mainland manufacturers such as BIWIN through their own brand memory certification or OEM models.Industry analysts believe that although the short-term imbalance in supply and demand for storage has prompted non-mainland brands to accelerate related certifications, due to the limited production capacity of mainland manufacturers, brand Taiwanese manufacturers still emphasize that Korean original manufacturers with long-term contracts remain the main supply partners at present.

Goldman Sachs released a report on China's AI computing power, predicting that by 2026, the market share of domestic chips will exceed 50%

According to the Goldman Sachs report on "China's AI Computing Power" disclosed by P Equity Research, China is accelerating the construction of a national computing power network, with related infrastructure projects expected to attract 7 trillion yuan in investment by 2026. In the next five years, investment in data centers is projected to reach about 2 trillion yuan. Currently, funds and technology are being massively transferred to western computing power hubs, while data centers in first-tier cities are transforming to focus on ultra-low latency computing, edge nodes, and AI inference. Although GW-level clusters with over 100,000 chips remain scarce domestically, in typical GW-level computing power parks, workloads are primarily composed of inference, which accounts for more than half, as well as training and full-stack R&D.The report predicts that by 2026, the market share of domestically produced AI acceleration chips is expected to exceed 50%. Among them, Huawei and Alibaba's Pingtouge lead the domestic camp with shares of 20% and 7%, respectively, but Nvidia currently maintains overall market dominance with a 55% share. In terms of cost and performance, domestic chips have capital expenditures on IT power consumption that are 40% to 50% lower than imported chips, but due to performance gaps, their capital expenditures per unit of computing power are 2 to 4 times that of imported chips, and the computing power generated per unit of power consumption is only 10% to 30% of that of imported chips. Additionally, the daily average token output of Huawei's 910B/910C servers is about one-sixth to one-third of that of Nvidia's H800, resulting in significantly lower API profit margins based on that hardware compared to peers using Nvidia hardware.
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