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Next week, the U.S. non-farm payroll and core PCE will be announced, and Micron will release its earnings report after the market closes on Wednesday

Next week's macro data focus will be on Friday's U.S. non-farm payroll report, including non-farm employment population, unemployment rate, and average hourly wage, which are directly related to the Federal Reserve's interest rate path and are important employment data ahead of the October monetary policy meeting. According to Beijing time, on Wednesday at 20:15, the U.S. September ADP employment figures will be released, and at 20:30, the U.S. August core PCE price index year-on-year will be announced; on Thursday at 20:30, the number of initial jobless claims in the U.S. for the week ending September 26 will be released, and on Friday at 20:30, the U.S. September seasonally adjusted non-farm employment population and unemployment rate will be published.Regarding officials' speeches, on Thursday at 16:00, Bank of England Governor Bailey will speak, and at 21:30, European Central Bank President Lagarde will speak. Starting from early Wednesday, Federal Reserve officials will have a series of public activities; 2027 FOMC voting member and Chicago Fed President Goolsbee, along with 2028 FOMC voting member and St. Louis Fed President Bullard, will speak in succession, and FOMC permanent voting member and New York Fed President Williams will deliver a keynote speech at the University at Buffalo. On Thursday, Federal Reserve Governor Cook, Minneapolis Fed President Kashkari, and Richmond Fed President Barkin will speak in turn, and on Friday, Williams and Dallas Fed President Logan will still have public activities. In terms of U.S. stocks, Micron will release its earnings report after the market on Wednesday, and Nike will announce its latest quarterly earnings report on Thursday, with both companies corresponding to storage chips and consumer demand.

The mastermind behind the armed robbery of a cryptocurrency practitioner in Singapore was sentenced to 12 years and 11 months in prison and received 24 lashes

According to the United Morning News, seven Malaysian gangsters targeted players attending a poker game, breaking into a luxury private residence in Bukit Timah late at night, armed and stealing over 4.9 million dollars, quickly splitting into two groups to escape Singapore. Six of them pleaded guilty in the High Court on Monday (September 14), with the two masterminds sentenced to 12 years and 11 months in prison, 24 strokes of the cane, plus a fine of 4,000 dollars.In court, it was revealed that the masterminds, Wu Wentong (30 years old) and Huang Zhishan (35 years old), learned from a friend who had previously attended the poker game that the house often held poker games at night. After scouting the location, they discovered that the front door of the house would not be locked during the game. Wu Wentong and Huang Zhishan then recruited five other accomplices, specifically coming to Singapore to commit the crime. This armed robbery occurred around 2 a.m. on April 18, 2024, at a residence in the upscale Alper Wang Garden area, where 11 men and women were playing poker in the living room.According to the case details, around March 2024, Wu Wentong and Huang Zhishan decided to rob the poker players at the house due to financial issues. They knew that they could not carry out such a large-scale robbery with just the two of them, so they contacted Hamidun, who runs a private security company and provides debt collection services, to help gather a team, promising a reward of 1.5 million ringgit (approximately 470,000 Singapore dollars). After the group succeeded, they left in a multi-purpose vehicle, splitting into two groups to leave Singapore via the Tuas and Woodlands checkpoints. At the same time, several players in the private residence managed to free themselves from their restraints and reported the robbery to the police. With the assistance of the Royal Malaysia Police, the six defendants were arrested between late April and November 2024 and were extradited to Singapore for prosecution. The police have since recovered virtual currency worth 1.69 million dollars, while the remaining funds and property are still missing.

Harmony plans to shut down the mainnet and migrate ONE to Ethereum, shifting towards AI video remixing business

Harmony has released two proposals to comprehensively shut down the mainnet launched in 2019, migrate the native token ONE to Ethereum, and shift towards an AI video "mashup economy" business. The team stated that the threats posed by national-level attackers and AI entities are the reasons for proposing the network shutdown plan.The migration plan proposes to take a snapshot of user wallets, staking delegations, validator rewards, smart contracts, and tokens within centralized exchanges at the last block of the network, airdropping new ONE to the same wallet addresses on Ethereum, with holders not needing to actively claim; delegated stakes and unclaimed rewards will be airdropped to their respective governance vaults. The total supply of ONE and the issuance rate will remain unchanged, with newly issued tokens intended for the new business and feedback from governors being considered.Multi-signature wallets, liquidity pools, and on-chain applications cannot be migrated. The team urges users to exit all smart contracts by September 10, 2026, and plans to publicly disclose token contracts, snapshot calculations, and airdrop scripts for auditing. Validators can stop running nodes starting from September 10 at 22:00 Beijing time. The team plans to compensate for the difference in issuance rewards between node shutdown and the final block of the network, establishing a one-time compensation pool of $1.372 million, to be paid in four quarters to validators and their delegators who timely shut down, sign agreements, retain stakes, and serve as governors of the new project.The new business will open up prompts and materials for users to create secondary content, with AI entities expanding video stories, and will recruit operators responsible for video generation, distribution, and content review. Harmony plans to subsidize GPU hardware in the first year and promote demand for video generation, with operators required to stake tokens to earn rewards based on service online time. The team plans to help operators generate up to $1 million in total revenue in the first year, provided they meet staking and online rate requirements; promoters can initially earn a 30% ongoing commission from each $10 monthly subscription they recommend. Both proposals are non-binding and the plans may still be adjusted.

QCP Capital: BTC Enters Non-Farm Payroll Data Window

QCP Capital's market weekly report shows that after Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh's speech in Jackson Hole, the probability of a rate hike in September rose from 35% to 70%. BTC fell approximately 2.5% in a single day, and after nine consecutive days of net inflow, the ETF recorded a net outflow of $202 million. However, the dollar failed to maintain a hawkish pricing, with the DXY falling below 99.5, and gold, silver, and BTC all regained their losses.On the Treasury side, on September 9, the first long-end liquidity support operation will be launched, with the purchase limit raised to at least $4 billion (previously $2 billion). The yield on the 30-year Treasury bond auction on August 30 was reported at 5.216%, the highest since 2001, and the market will closely monitor whether this operation can effectively improve long-end liquidity.In terms of inflation, July PCE was reported at 3.7% (core 3.3%), CPI at 3.4% (core 2.5%), and Brent crude oil rose about 10% in a week due to attacks in the Strait of Hormuz and a force majeure event in Qatar LNG, with inflationary pressures continuing. Waller stated that if the data continues to trend as it has over the next two weeks, it would support a pause in rate hikes. Coupled with the ADP employment data showing only 38,000 jobs added (the weakest since January), the probability of a rate hike in September has fallen to 45-50%.
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