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This week will see several important events and data. On Monday, the Bank of Japan will release the summary of opinions from the July monetary policy meeting. On Tuesday, the Reserve Bank of Australia will decide on interest rates and hold a press conference. On Wednesday, the United States will release the July CPI data and EIA crude oil inventory. On Thursday, the UK and Eurozone will publish various economic data, and JD.com and Tencent will release their financial reports. On Friday, France and the Eurozone will release CPI and GDP data, and a new round of pricing adjustments for domestic refined oil will begin.

The U.S. unemployment rate and non-farm data for July will be released at 20:30 Beijing time tonight. Institutions forecast the U.S. July non-farm employment population as follows:Vanguard: +10,000; Berenberg Bank: +40,000; Scotiabank: +50,000; Moody's Analytics: +50,000;CIBC: +63,000; Deutsche Bank: +65,000; Nordea Bank: +65,000; UBS Group: +70,000;TD Securities: +70,000; Danske Bank: +70,000; Morgan Stanley: +70,000; HSBC Holdings: +70,000;Société Générale: +75,000; ING: +75,000; Bank of Montreal: +75,000; Goldman Sachs Group: +75,000;JPMorgan Chase: +75,000; Daiwa Capital: +75,000; Westpac Banking: +75,000; Standard Chartered Bank: +75,000;Panasonic Macro: +75,000; U.S. Bank: +75,000; Imperial Commercial Bank: +75,000; High-Frequency Economics: +78,000;Sumitomo Mitsui: +78,000; Oxford Economics: +80,000; Commonwealth Bank of Australia: +80,000; Bank of America Merrill Lynch: +80,000;ANZ Bank: +80,000; Lloyds Bank: +80,000; National Westminster: +85,000; Capital Economics: +90,000;Wells Fargo: +95,000; Barclays Bank: +100,000; Deutsche Bank: +100,000; Société Générale: +105,000;Citigroup: +115,000; Mizuho Securities: +115,000; Nomura Securities: +130,000; Reuters expectation: +80,000.

According to Jinshi reports, multiple important economic data and events will be released this week. On Monday, China's July Manufacturing PMI and the U.S. June Construction Spending Month-on-Month will be announced; on Tuesday, attention will be on the U.S. June Trade Balance and JOLTs Job Openings; on Wednesday, the U.S. ADP Employment Change and ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI will be released; on Thursday, Switzerland's unemployment rate and the U.S. Initial Jobless Claims will attract attention; on Friday, key data including the U.S. July Unemployment Rate and Non-Farm Payrolls will be announced. In addition, SpaceX's financial report will be released after the U.S. stock market closes on Tuesday.

Coinbase CEO Brian Armstrong tweeted in response to the viewpoint "If you're in the cryptocurrency space, turn to AI," stating that this is a flawed way of thinking and a zero-sum game mentality. Brian Armstrong emphasized that cryptocurrency is a universal technology, an infrastructure, just like electricity or the internet. It does not compete with the next hot technology because it supports the latter. It is "both-and," not "either-or." Artificial intelligence, as a major trend, does not diminish the importance of cryptocurrency. On the contrary, it makes cryptocurrency even more important.AI agents require their own financial infrastructure, and ultimately their daily trading volume will far exceed the total of all human trading volumes. They cannot open bank accounts, cannot wait three days to receive remittances, and they cannot reside in just one country. They need real-time programmable money (which is exactly what cryptocurrency is). Agents need to hold funds and make payments themselves. Coinbase was the first to launch the x402 protocol, Base, and USDC, which now support the vast majority of payments for agents. Agents will also participate in trading and act as financial advisors. They will raise or borrow funds for ongoing new projects. They will also save users from the tedious tasks of tax planning, portfolio rebalancing, and bill payments.

The recent voting results of the ENS DAO, which governs the Ethereum Name Service, have sparked controversy within the community, as some members pointed out.In the latest on-chain vote, ENS founder Nick Johnson cast approximately 3.26 million votes against the proposal to extend the security committee's term for two years. This proposal had previously passed a Snapshot community vote, but the on-chain execution proposal did not receive support.As the controversy escalated, some community members expressed concerns about the degree of decentralization in the ENS DAO governance mechanism. However, there are also viewpoints suggesting that this incident reflects more on the distribution structure of governance tokens rather than a failure of the protocol itself.

According to Reuters, GameStop (GME) stated that despite eBay (EBAY) rejecting its acquisition offer of approximately $56 billion in cash and stock in May, the company will continue to push forward with the acquisition plan and will soon release detailed strategic logic and operational integration plans. GameStop CEO Ryan Cohen previously argued that the reason for acquiring eBay is that the merged company would become a stronger competitor to Amazon.Meanwhile, GameStop disclosed that the adjusted EBITDA for the fiscal year 2026 is expected to exceed $600 million, a significant increase from $345.4 million in the fiscal year 2025.

According to Jinshi reports, the Federal Reserve has lowered its GDP growth and unemployment rate forecasts for this year, significantly raised the PCE and core PCE inflation expectations for this year and next, and also raised the federal funds rate expectations for the next three years.

According to Jinshi reports, foreign media analysis points out that nearly half of the Federal Reserve decision-makers no longer believe that merely maintaining stable borrowing costs can drive the inflation rate back to the target level of 2%. The latest dot plot from the Federal Reserve shows that decision-makers' views on the interest rate path have shifted towards concerns about rate hikes, with some individuals convinced that the Federal Reserve will need to raise rates. Predictions indicate that the year-on-year increase in the PCE price index is expected to reach 3.6% by the end of the year, the core PCE price index will reach 3.3%, and the unemployment rate will remain at 4.3%.

According to Jinshi reports, analyst Matthew Weller believes that FOMC Chairman Kevin Walsh's first Federal Reserve meeting is expected to keep interest rates unchanged, but the Summary of Economic Projections (SEP), the "dot plot," and the content of the press conference may significantly reshape the market's expectations for the future path of interest rates. The dollar index DXY 99.5 is seen as a key "watershed," which may determine the technical trend of the dollar this week and in the longer term.

The cryptocurrency trading platform SuperEx announced that it will officially launch the ASTSUSDT and RDWUSDT U-based perpetual contract trading pairs today at 12:00 Beijing time (04:00 UTC). It is reported that the above contract trading pairs support full position, isolated position, and split position modes, and users can trade through its web and APP platforms.

In response to community users claiming that Binance Square "if you stay still for just 1 hour, your account will be banned," He Yi posted a response stating: "It is an issue with the live broadcast risk control strategy of the Square. Previously, we encountered some accounts that had no sound and no trading, running all day, so it automatically scans some live broadcasts that have no activity."He Yi added that they will resolve such issues.

According to Jinshi reports, Federal Reserve official Kashkari stated that the longer the war lasts, the greater the inflationary pressure will be. In some cases, the Federal Reserve may need to raise interest rates to address this challenge.

According to Jinshi reports, ECB Governing Council member Lane stated that if the impact of inflation lasts for a longer period, the European Central Bank will consider raising interest rates.

According to Jinshi reports, Federal Reserve's Goolsbee stated that the longer high inflation persists, the more deeply it will become entrenched in the economy.

According to Jinshi reports, Federal Reserve Chairman Powell stated that the higher GDP forecast reflects confidence in productivity.

According to Jin Shi reports, the Federal Reserve FOMC released economic forecasts, expecting the median core PCE inflation expectations at the end of 2026, 2027, and 2028 to be 2.7%, 2.2%, and 2%, respectively. In contrast, the expectations in December were 2.5%, 2.1%, and 2%.

According to Jinshi reports, Federal Reserve officials stated that they will continue to raise interest rates if the objective possibility of achieving economic and price forecasts improves.

Japanese Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda: If the economic and price trends align with our forecasts, the Bank of Japan expects to continue its pace of interest rate hikes. (Jin Ten)

According to analyst @alicharts, historically, Bitcoin's major cycles follow a surprisingly consistent rhythm in both time and depth:It takes about 1064 days from the market bottom to the top;It takes about 364 days to drop from the highest point to the next lowest point;@alicharts infers that if this pattern continues, Bitcoin is currently within a 364-day adjustment window, suggesting that its bottom may occur around October 2026, with a potential bottom price of around $37,500.

According to CoinDesk, a study by the prediction market platform Kalshi found that prediction markets outperform Wall Street consensus expectations in inflation forecasting. Over a data span of 25 months, their average error was 40% lower than the consensus forecast.The study pointed out that the advantage of prediction markets lies in their aggregation of diverse information from numerous traders based on economic incentives, creating a "wisdom of the crowd" effect that allows for a more responsive reaction to changing environments. These findings suggest that market-based predictions can serve as a valuable supplementary tool for institutional decision-makers, especially during periods of high uncertainty.Kalshi found that by comparing inflation forecasts on its platform with Wall Street consensus expectations, market-based traders had higher accuracy in predictions than traditional economists and analysts during the 25-month observation period, with this advantage being particularly pronounced during economic fluctuations.Specifically, the study found that from February 2023 to mid-2025, the prediction market's estimates of year-over-year changes in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) had an average error 40% lower than the consensus forecast. When actual data deviated significantly from expectations, the advantages of prediction markets became even more pronounced, with accuracy exceeding consensus expectations by as much as 67%.