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BTC $79,073.64 -2.65%
ETH $2,221.65 -2.94%
BNB $673.26 -0.78%
XRP $1.44 -4.58%
SOL $89.28 -3.48%
TRX $0.3516 -0.97%
DOGE $0.1131 -1.94%
ADA $0.2610 -4.09%
BCH $424.65 -2.84%
LINK $10.05 -5.04%
HYPE $44.64 +1.88%
AAVE $92.76 -6.60%
SUI $1.09 -7.90%
XLM $0.1545 -5.95%
ZEC $516.20 -3.83%
BTC $79,073.64 -2.65%
ETH $2,221.65 -2.94%
BNB $673.26 -0.78%
XRP $1.44 -4.58%
SOL $89.28 -3.48%
TRX $0.3516 -0.97%
DOGE $0.1131 -1.94%
ADA $0.2610 -4.09%
BCH $424.65 -2.84%
LINK $10.05 -5.04%
HYPE $44.64 +1.88%
AAVE $92.76 -6.60%
SUI $1.09 -7.90%
XLM $0.1545 -5.95%
ZEC $516.20 -3.83%

yield

Analysis: Bitcoin is oscillating between favorable regulations and rising yields, with continuous outflows from ETFs putting pressure on prices

According to Decrypt, the price of Bitcoin remains around $80,350, with a short-term increase of only 0.8%, continuing to face pressure after multiple attempts to break through the $82,000 resistance level failed. This range is seen as a combined resistance level of the ETF cost line, the 200-day moving average, and the CME gap filling area. Although the U.S. CLARITY Act has passed the Senate Banking Committee, bringing positive expectations for crypto regulation, institutional funds continue to withdraw.Data shows that the net outflow of the U.S. spot Bitcoin ETF has decreased to an average of -$88 million per day over the past seven days, marking the largest outflow since mid-February. Analysts believe that this round of selling pressure is more about "profit-taking" rather than panic selling. On a macro level, rising U.S. Treasury yields have become a core source of pressure. The yield on the U.S. 10-year Treasury bond has risen to about 4.52%, reaching a 10-month high, while the April CPI has increased by 3.8% year-on-year, the highest level in three years, further delaying market expectations for a Federal Reserve interest rate cut.Analysts point out that geopolitical conflicts are driving up energy prices, exacerbating inflationary pressures, thereby weakening the appeal of risk assets. From an institutional perspective, some analysts believe that the current outflow of ETF funds is part of portfolio rebalancing rather than a trend-based withdrawal.The options market shows that Bitcoin faces significant resistance in the $82,000-$84,000 range, while $77,000 is a key support level. If the price falls below this range and leverage does not cool down, the market may enter a deleveraging phase, increasing the risk of a correction.

Analysis: The CLARITY Act could strengthen the position of the US dollar stablecoin, with Asia potentially gaining an advantage in the yield competition

The U.S. Senate Banking Committee recently advanced the Digital Asset Market CLARITY Act with a bipartisan vote of 15 to 9, marking a step forward in the regulatory framework for the U.S. crypto market. Research institution HashKey Group pointed out that if the bill is enacted, it will significantly enhance compliance certainty for institutional investors participating in the crypto market and strengthen the core position of the U.S. dollar stablecoin in the global digital financial system.Analysts believe that a clearer U.S. regulatory framework will encourage banks, asset management institutions, and sovereign funds to more widely adopt compliant stablecoins for cross-border payments, settlements, and fund management, especially with more evident demand in the Asian market. However, at the same time, the U.S. restrictions on "yield-bearing stablecoins" may create structural spillover effects. HashKey researcher Tim Sun stated that if the U.S. strictly limits the stablecoin yield mechanisms, capital may flow to the Asian market or indirectly seek higher yields through "wrapped products."The report noted that the Asian market (such as Hong Kong and Singapore) features active cross-border trade, frequent capital flows, and local currencies that are more susceptible to external shocks. In an environment of high U.S. dollar financing costs, U.S. dollar stablecoins will become an important liquidity tool. However, the analysis also emphasized that this competition is not a zero-sum game. As the CLARITY Act progresses, the global competitive focus may shift from "trading platforms and token issuance" to "stablecoin liquidity channels and control over financial infrastructure," meaning who can more efficiently connect U.S. dollar liquidity, regional assets, and compliant financial channels.
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