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Wall Street traders believe the main reason for the sharp decline in U.S. stocks is the liquidation of hedge funds, with the market expecting multiple funds to face complete liquidation

In response to the sharp decline in U.S. stocks yesterday, most traders and analysts on Wall Street believe that the main reason is not a deterioration in fundamentals, but rather the liquidation by hedge funds. Noel Smith, Co-Chief Investment Officer of Kai Asset Management, stated: "It is extremely rare to see such a decline without significant market news. It smells like liquidation."In addition to the report last night by Bloomberg that multi-strategy hedge fund Walleye Capital will streamline its internal long-short equity business, the market generally expects several funds to be undergoing complete liquidation, or that the pods (independent investment teams) within multi-strategy funds are being forced to close positions or liquidate.According to a list released this morning by the well-known financial research community Special Situations, several hedge funds are facing difficulties, including Axebrook, Walleye, Engineers Gate, Lone Pine, Millennium internal pod, Verition pod, and Samlyn, mainly involving large redemptions, shutting down internal teams, or changing PMs.It is worth mentioning that during the major turbulence in the U.S. stock market in July this year, the AI hedge fund Situational Awareness also encountered a similar incident, with fund assets shrinking by 67%, and subsequently reached an emergency exit deal with Citadel, selling most of its publicly traded stock holdings at a discount.

first_img Goldman Sachs restricts traders and bankers from using certain AI programming tools

According to Bloomberg, Goldman Sachs has restricted most employees from using advanced AI tools aimed at programming after evaluating production efficiency and risk management, leading to dissatisfaction among some employees. Internal guidelines were updated in October, and bankers had previously been able to use Anthropic's Claude Code and Microsoft's GitHub for several months, but the scope of these tools has now been narrowed to engineers.Sources say that some traders had used these tools to accelerate monitoring of client trading flows, modeling market changes and positions, as well as creating text and graphic content, and this restriction has left them feeling dissatisfied. Goldman Sachs' Chief Information Officer Marco Argenti stated in July that non-technical personnel such as traders and bankers had developed solutions using AI tools, which were then handed over to the company's approximately 12,000 engineers for improvement.Goldman Sachs spokesperson Nick Carcaterra stated that the company provides employees with certain AI tools to determine applicable scenarios in different businesses; after evaluating factors such as production efficiency and risk management during the trial period, the tools will be given to the most suitable personnel for long-term use. Additionally, sources indicated that the latest directive does not apply to strats who are simultaneously engaged in trading, quantitative research, and software engineering. Earlier this year, Goldman Sachs also restricted employees in Hong Kong from using Anthropic's Claude.

Analysis: BTC traders have realized a price increase again, and the short to medium-term cost structure remains relatively positive

CryptoQuant certified analyst Trader_Gemini stated that the Trader On-chain Realized Price has risen again, currently becoming an important reference indicator for observing the subsequent trend of BTC. This indicator reflects the average acquisition price of BTC that last transferred in the past 1 to 3 months and can be used to measure the average holding cost of recent market participants. Currently, the trading price of BTC is in the low range of $80,000, while the realized price for traders has risen to the mid-range of $70,000, indicating that the current price of BTC is still above the recent average cost for traders.From the current structure, recent market participants are generally still in a state of unrealized profit, and the short to medium-term cost structure remains relatively positive. Historically, when the market is in an upward phase, the realized price for traders often provides support when BTC retraces close to that level. If the price can hold above this cost line, it indicates that the holding cost for recent participants may still provide support for the market; conversely, if BTC falls below this level, some traders in an unrealized loss state may sell when the price rebounds close to their cost, turning that position from support to resistance.In addition, Trader_Gemini also reminded to pay attention to the Upper Band of the indicator. Historically, when BTC prices approach the upper band, it is often accompanied by increased profit-taking pressure, which may lead to a short-term pullback. Therefore, if BTC continues to rise, the market reaction near the upper band is worth close observation; if BTC experiences a pullback, attention should be paid to whether the realized price for traders can provide effective support. Trader_Gemini emphasized that the upper band does not necessarily mean the market will peak, and the realized price for traders does not guarantee that BTC will rebound; neither should be viewed as automatic triggers for trading but rather as reference indicators for judging at what price recent market participants may change their behavior. Currently, BTC is still operating above the realized price for traders, and the overall cost structure remains positive; if a deeper adjustment occurs later, whether this indicator can continue to provide support will become an important observation point.
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