BTC $68,734.88 -6.66%
ETH $1,925.73 -6.00%
BNB $632.41 -6.46%
XRP $1.00 -3.68%
SOL $78.26 -5.55%
TRX $0.3106 -2.06%
DOGE $0.0633 -5.57%
ADA $0.1675 -2.87%
BCH $215.87 -5.85%
LINK $9.69 -3.96%
HYPE $70.31 -2.28%
AAVE $110.23 -6.83%
SUI $0.7708 -5.46%
XLM $0.1423 -2.91%
ZEC $897.29 -8.31%
AAPL $356.62 +0.09%
AMZN $267.98 +0.60%
GOOGL $300.18 +1.68%
MSFT $521.15 -0.04%
META $624.97 -0.56%
NVDA $163.86 +1.90%
TSLA $398.42 +2.98%
SNDK $919.00 -3.36%
INTC $60.91 +0.58%
SPCX $140.27 +0.51%
MU $792.43 +0.63%
AMD $574.41 +2.35%
BTC $68,734.88 -6.66%
ETH $1,925.73 -6.00%
BNB $632.41 -6.46%
XRP $1.00 -3.68%
SOL $78.26 -5.55%
TRX $0.3106 -2.06%
DOGE $0.0633 -5.57%
ADA $0.1675 -2.87%
BCH $215.87 -5.85%
LINK $9.69 -3.96%
HYPE $70.31 -2.28%
AAVE $110.23 -6.83%
SUI $0.7708 -5.46%
XLM $0.1423 -2.91%
ZEC $897.29 -8.31%
AAPL $356.62 +0.09%
AMZN $267.98 +0.60%
GOOGL $300.18 +1.68%
MSFT $521.15 -0.04%
META $624.97 -0.56%
NVDA $163.86 +1.90%
TSLA $398.42 +2.98%
SNDK $919.00 -3.36%
INTC $60.91 +0.58%
SPCX $140.27 +0.51%
MU $792.43 +0.63%
AMD $574.41 +2.35%

sweep

All
Article
Flash

The Democratic Party's sweeping victory in Congress raises concerns about AI regulation, leading to a sell-off in U.S. tech stocks

After the Democratic Party won the midterm elections, U.S. stocks surged significantly on Wednesday, but as investors continued to pull out of tech stocks for the second consecutive trading day, the Nasdaq Composite Index plummeted on Thursday. The tech-heavy Nasdaq fell by 3.3%, and the S&P 500 Index dropped by 1.9%. The Dow Jones Industrial Average decreased by 489 points, a decline of 0.9%. Although stocks like Chevron and Johnson & Johnson rose, it was not enough to offset the drag on the Dow from the tech stock sell-off. AI-related stocks, especially those in the chip industry and data centers, fell for the second day in a row.According to Gate market data, AMD (AMD.O) fell by 12%, Micron Technology (MU.O) dropped by 9%, SK Hynix (SKHY.O) decreased by 8.8%, and Nvidia (NVDA.O) fell by 5%. The Philadelphia Semiconductor Index plummeted by 8%, reaching a new low since April 20. The Nasdaq Composite Index has dropped more than 10% from its closing record high set on October 6.Investors are concerned that the Democratic Party controlling both houses of Congress and winning key gubernatorial elections may lead to more regulation of AI infrastructure development across the United States.Jordan Watson, portfolio manager at Tandem Investment Advisors, stated that the stock market surge and the trend of funds pulling out of AI stocks may only be a temporary phenomenon. However, as investors digest the election results and their potential policy impacts, the market may face more volatility.

JPMorgan Chase: The probability of the Democratic Party sweeping both houses is 66%, while the Republican Party maintaining control of both houses is most beneficial for the U.S. stock market

JPMorgan conducted a scenario analysis on four potential congressional power combinations following the U.S. midterm elections. Among them, the probability of the Democratic Party winning control of both the House and Senate is the highest at 66%; the Republican Party's chance of retaining both chambers is only 7%, but this corresponds to the largest expected increase in the S&P 500 index among the four scenarios. In the scenario where the Democratic Party controls both chambers, the S&P 500 index could drop by 0.25% or rise by 0.5%. Concerns about stricter AI regulations and restrictions on data center construction may trigger a sell-off in AI concept stocks.JPMorgan believes that even if legislation restricting the development of the AI industry is passed by Congress, it would be difficult to gather enough votes to override Trump's presidential veto. Therefore, it suggests that traders consider buying during pullbacks in tech stocks. Fiscal deficit spending may decrease, and long-term U.S. Treasury yields could face downward pressure. Some corporate executives associated with Trump's political donations may face greater risks of congressional investigations. The probability of the Democratic Party controlling the House and the Republican Party controlling the Senate is 26%, with the S&P 500 index expected to rise by 0.5% to 1%. The market may welcome the legislative stalemate brought about by the distribution of power, leading to a potential decline in long-term U.S. Treasury yields, although some companies and their leaders may still face congressional inquiries.In the scenario where the Republican Party retains both chambers, the S&P 500 index is expected to rise by 1% to 1.25%. The market would not have to immediately face new congressional regulatory risks, and the additional policy pressures on tech companies would also be relatively limited; however, fiscal deficit spending may further increase, pushing long-term U.S. Treasury yields higher, and Trump may continue military actions against Iran. The probability of the Republican Party controlling the House and the Democratic Party controlling the Senate is 1%, with the S&P 500 index expected to rise by 0.25% to 0.75%. A split Congress could lead to more intense budget battles, potentially resulting in a federal government shutdown, and the Democratic Party could still conduct congressional investigations after gaining control of the Senate.
app_icon
ChainCatcher Building the Web3 world with innovations.