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The UK's FCA has released the final framework for cryptocurrency regulation, with a mandatory licensing system set to take effect in October 2027

According to The Block, the UK's Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) finalized a comprehensive crypto regulatory framework on Tuesday, with a mandatory licensing regime set to take effect on October 25, 2027. The framework covers prudential requirements, market abuse regulation, and stablecoin standards, applicable to crypto trading platforms, custodians, stablecoin issuers, lending and staking service providers, as well as certain DeFi companies with identifiable controlling entities.Businesses can apply for authorization between September 30, 2026, and February 28, 2027, and existing anti-money laundering registrations will not automatically convert. Regarding trading platform rules, the FCA requires UK-qualified crypto asset trading platforms to conduct due diligence, meet entry standards, and publish disclosure documents, while removing the previous exemption that allowed fungible crypto assets to list without disclosure documents. Market abuse rules cover insider trading and market manipulation.For stablecoins, the FCA has removed the obligation to forecast the redemption of reserve assets, allowed limited group internal custody arrangements, and lowered the K-SII capital ratio for stablecoin issuance from 2% to 1%. Crypto assets on qualified platforms will be subject to a uniform 40% net risk exposure requirement and a 40% counterparty default volatility adjustment. FCA's Director of Payments and Digital Finance, David Geale, stated that this framework is an important milestone for crypto regulation in the UK, providing regulatory certainty while allowing businesses to maintain innovation space.

The cryptocurrency market is under pressure due to intensified selling of tech stocks, with Bitcoin briefly falling to a new low since October 2024

According to the Financial Times, affected by the intensified sell-off of tech stocks, Bitcoin has fallen to a 20-month low, and market risk sentiment continues to weaken. Bitcoin briefly dropped below $60,000, with an intraday decline of up to 5.4%, reaching its lowest level since October 2024. Over the past two years, traders have regarded $60,000 as an important support level. This round of decline occurred after a sell-off of large tech stocks this week. Traders are betting that the U.S. central bank will respond to inflation by raising interest rates, which may suppress risk appetite and prompt investors to reassess overvalued assets and turn to relatively safe assets.In recent years, the correlation between crypto assets and stock movements has been high, but this relationship is currently under pressure. Bitcoin and Solana have fallen 32% and 47% respectively this year, and even a rebound in the stock market has not led to a significant recovery. Part of the reason is that retail investors' demand for cryptocurrencies has decreased, turning instead to chase the volatility of AI-related stocks. Gerry O'Shea, Global Market Insights Director at crypto asset management firm Hashdex, stated that as large public offerings and AI stocks become the market focus, market sentiment remains weak. Analysts currently do not believe there are significant catalysts in the crypto market.The U.S. capital markets are still digesting the world's largest IPO, SpaceX, which went public on Nasdaq earlier this month, with AI companies like OpenAI and Anthropic also expected to follow suit. Meanwhile, the important U.S. digital asset regulatory bill, the Clarity Act, remains stalled in the Senate, facing strong opposition from the banking sector and has not yet garnered enough bipartisan support.

Peter Brandt: Not optimistic about Bitcoin reaching a new high this year, expects to retest $60,000 in September or October

According to Cointelegraph, renowned trader and chart analyst Peter Brandt and prediction market users hold a pessimistic view on the prospect of Bitcoin reaching a new high in 2026. Peter Brandt stated, "I don't think Bitcoin will reach a new high in 2026; it may have to wait until the second quarter of 2027." He also added, "It's all speculation." The probability of Bitcoin returning to $120,000 in 2026 on Polymarket is only 15%.Regarding the low point of the year, Peter Brandt indicated that the $60,000 level on February 6 may not be the lowest of the year, predicting that it might retest that level or even "slightly lower" in September or October this year, at which point it will be the low point of the bear market cycle, initiating a new bull market. He also stated that his long-term logic regarding Bitcoin remains unchanged: "The story of Bitcoin is wealth storage; whether practicality can be built on Bitcoin may affect its price," and he mentioned that he holds a neutral or bearish stance on all other cryptocurrencies.Bitcoin analyst Willy Woo stated on March 17 that, from a liquidity perspective, Bitcoin has completed about "one-third of the bear market." SkyBridge managing partner Anthony Scaramucci also mentioned last week that Bitcoin is currently in the bear market phase of a four-year cycle, and pointed out that the established whale group that believes in the four-year cycle may create a self-fulfilling prophecy. In terms of sentiment, the spot Bitcoin ETF ended four weeks of consecutive net inflows, recording a net outflow of $296.18 million last week. The Crypto Fear and Greed Index reported 8 on Monday, remaining in the "extreme fear" range since March 20.
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