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CryptoQuant analyst Axel Adler Jr. released a report indicating that the MVRV ratio of long-term Bitcoin holders has compressed to 1.24, the lowest level in nearly three years. The cost basis for long-term holders has risen to $48,400, while the BTC price has fallen to $59,000, leaving an average profit of only 24% for long-term holders, with the gap to the cost basis narrowing to 19%.Meanwhile, the holdings of long-term holders have reached an all-time high, approaching 16.1 million BTC, and the selling indicators remain low, indicating that holders are not selling during price declines but are continuously absorbing supply. The analyst noted that when the MVRV approaches 1, historical cycles typically come close to a bottom, but currently, it has not yet entered the green surrender zone. Stronger bottoming signals will require the MVRV to enter the "extremely low area" and for prices to remain above the cost basis. The main downside risk is if the price falls below the $48,400 cost basis and selling activity surges simultaneously, which could trigger surrender behavior from the most steadfast holders.

According to SoSoValue data, last week's trading days (Eastern Time from June 22 to June 26) saw a net outflow of $1.79 billion from Bitcoin spot ETFs.The Bitcoin spot ETF with the highest net outflow last week was the Blackrock ETF IBIT, with a weekly net outflow of $1.303 billion, and the historical total net inflow for IBIT currently stands at $60.77 billion. Following that was the Fidelity ETF FBTC, with a weekly net outflow of $315 million, and the historical total net inflow for FBTC currently stands at $10.14 billion. The Bitcoin spot ETF with the highest net inflow last week was the Grayscale Bitcoin Trust BTC, with a weekly net inflow of $71.71 million, and the historical total net inflow for BTC currently stands at $2.38 billion.As of the time of writing, the total net asset value of Bitcoin spot ETFs is $72.82 billion, with an ETF net asset ratio (market value compared to total Bitcoin market value) of 6.08%, and the historical cumulative net inflow has reached $51.61 billion.

According to GMGN data, the market capitalization of the Solana ecosystem Meme coin ANSEM briefly surpassed $120 million, setting a new historical high, and has now fallen back to $110 million, with a 24-hour increase of 9.7 times and a 24-hour trading volume of $88.2 million.Yesterday, crypto KOL Ansem stated on social media that due to Pump.fun "refusing to distribute funds (airdrop)," he had to provide a "stimulus fund" to the "on-chain trenches" (referring to on-chain Meme coin traders).ChainCatcher reminds users: Most Meme coins have no real use cases and are highly volatile, please pay attention to asset protection and do not FOMO.

According to Cointelegraph, Swan CEO Cory Klippsten believes that the probability of Bitcoin reaching an all-time high in 2026 is only 10% to 15%.Cory Klippsten stated that some truly exogenous events must occur, and he believes that currently, it is unknown what events could cause the price of Bitcoin to double within the next six months.

CITIC Construction Investment Research Report points out that the following factors will determine the trend of the third quarter market: In terms of fundamentals, AI computing power remains at a high level of prosperity, with mid-year performance and overseas financial reports worth paying attention to. At the same time, since April, under pressure from the macro economy, the economic measures from the Politburo meeting in July are quite important; In terms of liquidity, external disturbances have increased, while internal conditions remain neutral; In terms of risk appetite, geopolitical events and the listing of industry giants will cause short-term fluctuations in the market. Considering the global tech stock correlation effect, major overseas computing powers such as Japan, South Korea, and the United States also need to be continuously monitored.In terms of industry allocation, although the logic of AI computing power remains unchanged, volatility has intensified. It is recommended to be cautious about chasing highs and to position during pullbacks; lithium batteries are expected to welcome a peak season, and energy storage demand continues to warm up, while new energy presents opportunities for phased valuation recovery; dividends are expected to rebound from oversold conditions, with relatively high cost-performance ratios. Key areas to focus on: banks, coal, public utilities, AI, optical modules, storage, chips, industrial metals, lithium battery materials (VC), etc.

According to Cointelegraph, in the wave of declines in technology stocks, cryptocurrency-related stocks have suffered particularly severe losses, with the divergence from the broader market continuing to widen. Coinbase (COIN) and Circle (CRCL) have fallen 69% and 72% from their respective historical highs, far exceeding the 48% to 57% pullback of mainstream tech stocks like Oracle, Salesforce, Netflix, and Palantir; in contrast, the S&P 500 index has only retreated 3.5% from its recent peak.On the fundamental side, Coinbase's first-quarter performance was significantly below Wall Street expectations, with a 21% quarter-over-quarter decline in revenue and a loss of $1.49 per share, while analysts had previously expected earnings of $0.27 per share. Bitcoin fell below $60,000 this week, down more than 54% from its October peak; Ethereum also dropped to around $1,500, down about 69% from last year's high, with market sentiment continuing to deteriorate.21Shares has lowered its 2026 cryptocurrency market expectations in its mid-year outlook report, believing that the performance of digital asset prices is significantly lagging behind the industry's fundamentals. The institution pointed out that institutional adoption is still deepening, with stablecoins, asset tokenization, and prediction markets maintaining strong development momentum, but the four-year market cycle of Bitcoin remains the dominant force in price trends. The report also acknowledged previous misjudgments—"the cycle of Bitcoin is evolving, but has not yet broken," retracting its earlier assertion that the four-year cycle was outdated.Analysts believe that the deep pullback in cryptocurrency stocks reflects the overall weakness of the digital asset market, the uncertainty of legislative progress in the U.S. cryptocurrency market structure, and the compounded pressure from the potential impact of AI technology on existing business models.

According to Jinshi, the panic index VIX briefly touched a two-week high, rising 1.42 points to 20.31.

Data shows that the daily trading volume of tokenized stocks issued on the Solana network has risen to $553 million, setting a new historical record.

The cryptocurrency trading platform Gate officially launched a new wealth management service system, Gate Wealth, aimed at ultra-high-net-worth individuals and institutional investors worldwide, providing private banking-level comprehensive services that connect Web3 and traditional finance. Gate Wealth integrates digital assets, fiat currency systems, and real-world assets (RWA) into a unified allocation framework, covering a diverse range of asset classes including cryptocurrency liquidity management, RWA fixed income assets, structured products, global stocks, ETFs, foreign exchange, metals, commodities, U.S. Treasuries, and primary market opportunities.Relying on a multi-jurisdictional compliance framework, an institutional-level liquidity network, and a professional research team, Gate Wealth offers 24/7 exclusive services, supporting large transaction execution, asset allocation, portfolio optimization, and dynamic rebalancing. In terms of building global financial service capabilities, Gate's entities have obtained or completed financial, payment, and virtual asset-related licenses, authorizations, or registrations in multiple core jurisdictions, providing a compliant foundation for Gate Wealth's cross-border asset allocation and multi-asset services.

According to Gate market data, the Nasdaq 100 index futures rose to an intraday high after the release of U.S. economic data.

According to Jinshi, the final value of the GDP price index for the United States in the first quarter is 3.6%, higher than the market expectation of 3.5% and the previous value of 3.5%.

According to Jinshi, the number of people continuing to apply for unemployment benefits in the United States for the week ending June 13 was 1.821 million, exceeding the market expectation of 1.8 million, with the previous value revised from 1.81 million to 1.8 million.

The Chief Information Security Officer of Slow Fog, 23pds, stated that researchers have exposed a high-risk vulnerability in CI/CD called Cordyceps, affecting the open-source repositories of major companies such as Microsoft, Google, Apache, and Cloudflare. Attackers do not need corporate accounts or any system permissions; they can simply register a free GitHub account, submit a malicious PR, and leave a comment to forge approvals, steal server keys, and push malicious code, completely taking control of the corporate code repository.

CryptoQuant analyst Axel Adler Jr. stated that Strategy's preferred stock MSTR has fallen 78% from its peak, while Bitcoin has dropped 51% from its peak. The average cost basis for Strategy's 847,363 BTC holdings is $75,651, with a total cost of $64.1 billion. The current BTC price has fallen below this cost line for the first time since the bear market of 2022. The additional decline of MSTR relative to BTC has reached about 28 percentage points, approaching the upper end of the historical range, but has not yet touched the extreme of an 89% retracement from the 2022 low.Meanwhile, Strategy's purchasing strategy has clearly shifted to a defensive stance: the weekly BTC purchase volume has been cut by about two-thirds, with less than 11% of the $335.5 million raised through stock issuance used to buy BTC, and the remainder transferred to dollar reserves. At the end of May, Strategy also conducted its first net sell since 2022, selling 32 BTC to pay STRC dividends. Adler pointed out that the main risk currently lies in BTC remaining below the treasury cost line of $75,000, which would block the financing channel for ATM issuance by compressing the MSTR premium. However, nearly all of Strategy's debt is in convertible bonds, with no additional margin risk; the baseline scenario is the loss of marginal buyers rather than cascading liquidations. The real pressure point lies in the company's transition from selling stock to systematically selling BTC itself to pay preferred stock dividends and debt interest.

According to a report by Sina Finance, Micron Technology (MU) released its financial report for the third quarter of fiscal year 2026. Driven by strong demand for high bandwidth memory (HBM) and advanced storage solutions in the AI and data center markets, Micron's total revenue for the quarter reached $41.46 billion, a significant increase from $9.3 billion in the same period last year, setting a historical high for the same period. Among them, the DRAM business performed exceptionally well, accounting for approximately 77% of total revenue, becoming the core performance contribution segment.Financial data shows that Micron's GAAP net profit for the third quarter was $28.24 billion (diluted earnings per share of $24.67), and non-GAAP net profit was $28.86 billion (diluted earnings per share of $25.11), with operating cash flow for the period reaching $25.39 billion. In addition, Micron has currently signed multiple strategic customer agreements to support long-term growth, and the market will focus on its progress in addressing potential supply constraints and capacity expansion. It is expected that its new wafer fabrication plants will provide substantial performance increments for the company starting from fiscal year 2028.

According to Gate market data, the S&P 500 index futures have expanded their gains, with the latest increase reaching 0.4%, hitting an intraday high.

The scale of U.S. leveraged ETFs is growing at a record pace, with investors' leverage usage also at a record high. Currently, the assets under management of the 3x long Nasdaq 100 Index ETF TQQQ have risen to approximately $40 billion, nearing historical highs. Meanwhile, the assets under management of the 3x long semiconductor ETF SOXL have reached a historical high of $34 billion. Since April, the asset size of SOXL has increased more than threefold, and the asset size of TQQQ has nearly doubled. In contrast, the 2x long Nasdaq 100 Index ETF QLD has grown by $7 billion during the same period, an increase of 88%, with a size close to the historical high of $15 billion. Driven by this, the total assets under management of U.S. leveraged ETFs have reached a historical high of $198 billion, a 55% increase during the same period.

According to Gate market data, Trump claimed at a rally in Pennsylvania that the U.S. stock market hit a new high today. Currently, the Nasdaq index is down nearly 2%.