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SemiAnalysis: Changxin Storage has become the fourth largest DRAM manufacturer in the world, and will not break the super cycle of storage shortages in the short term

The semiconductor research institution SemiAnalysis has released a latest analysis indicating that Changxin Memory Technologies (CXMT) has clearly become the world's fourth largest DRAM manufacturer. Although its production capacity and cash flow are continuously growing, the institution believes that Changxin Memory still faces multiple challenges in equipment, technology, and market, and will not end the current storage "super cycle" in the short term.In terms of specific challenges, export controls on advanced semiconductor manufacturing equipment (such as EUV, advanced etching, and TSV tools) severely restrict Changxin's expansion into more advanced processes and high bandwidth memory (HBM) fields; although domestic equipment (such as Zhongwei Company, Northern Huachuang, etc.) has alleviated some pressure, it cannot fully resolve the integration and yield bottlenecks across multiple process links, resulting in its technology still lagging behind leading manufacturers by several generations. Additionally, Changxin's market share is currently still highly concentrated in the Chinese domestic market, with global expansion limited by geopolitical factors and customers' willingness to diversify their supply chains.In response to market concerns that Changxin might "impact the global market with cheap chips," SemiAnalysis clarified that there is currently a severe structural shortage in the DRAM market, and the increase in Changxin's production capacity may even struggle to fully meet domestic demand in China. In fact, the prices of Chinese memory chips are also soaring significantly, in line with the global upward trend, and Changxin is similarly a beneficiary of the shortage premium. Therefore, Changxin Memory should be viewed as a long-term structural competitive force, and in the current context of accelerated AI demand and constrained supply, it cannot shake the fundamental super cycle dominated by leading manufacturers in the short term.

The four major law enforcement organizations in the U.S. jointly wrote to the DOJ and the White House, stating that Section 604 of the Clarity Act may create loopholes for cryptocurrency crime investigations

The National Association of Attorneys General, the National Association of Assistant U.S. Attorneys, the International Association of Chiefs of Police, and the National Sheriffs' Association jointly sent a letter to the Department of Justice and the White House on Tuesday, warning that Section 604 of the Digital Asset Market Structure Clarity Act contains serious enforcement loopholes that could make it difficult for law enforcement agencies to investigate and prosecute crypto-related criminal activities. The letter pointed out that Section 604 includes broad exemption clauses that may allow individuals or entities assisting in the circulation of crypto assets to evade regulatory accountability, disrupting the investigative and enforcement powers that have long been relied upon.The four organizations emphasized that their concerns are not aimed at developers who simply write or publish software code, but rather at the broad exemptions that may provide a shield for illegal activities. The core of the controversy lies in Section 604—the "Blockchain Regulatory Clarity Act" (BRCA) provision, which was originally a standalone bill but was later incorporated into the Clarity Act, aimed at providing a safe harbor for non-custodial developers, clarifying that they do not fall under money transmission entities. Law enforcement organizations believe this move will create obstacles for investigations into crypto crimes.Additionally, the letter pointed out that several other provisions of the bill would "reduce transparency, weaken accountability mechanisms, and create loopholes in the anti-money laundering framework." On the same day, nearly a hundred Catholic leaders representing parishes across the country also issued a warning, stating that the bill could weaken protections against human trafficking. In response, White House cryptocurrency advisor Patrick Harker insisted that the Clarity Act is a bill that "supports regulation and supports law enforcement," emphasizing that the U.S. must proactively set standards or risk passively accepting the rules of other countries.

CFTC Chairman Clarifies Four Major Misconceptions About Perpetual Futures Contracts

Mike Selig, Chairman of the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), published an article clarifying four major misconceptions about perpetual futures contracts.Regarding the misconception of "fixed expiration date": There is a viewpoint that the defined "futures contract" requires a fixed expiration date or delivery date, and the indefinite nature of perpetual contracts is inconsistent with congressional intent. Selig clarified that neither the Commodity Exchange Act nor CFTC regulations provide a clear definition of the term "futures contract," nor do they require a fixed expiration date or delivery date. Since Congress did not define the term, the criteria for its determination are provided by case law and committee interpretation, both of which do not require a fixed expiration date.Regarding the misconception of "high leverage": There is a viewpoint that the CFTC approved a futures contract allowing Americans to use leverage of up to 250 times when approving the BTCPERP contract, violating its own rules. Selig clarified that extreme leverage has been a characteristic of trading perpetual contracts in offshore venues since their inception, and is not inherent to the contract structure itself. The perpetual contracts regulated by the CFTC are subject to the same leverage limits as other futures contracts regulated by the CFTC.Regarding the misconception of "public opinion": There is a viewpoint that the CFTC did not provide the industry with an opportunity to participate or express opinions. Selig clarified that the CFTC released a request for comments on "perpetual contracts" and "24/7 trading" in April 2025, soliciting public input, and received over 100 comments from a wide range of stakeholders, including many registered entities regulated by the CFTC.Regarding the misconception of "funding rates": There is a viewpoint that the funding rate mechanism imposes unique and prohibitively high costs on market participants, fostering bad behavior in the market. Selig clarified that after considering the costs associated with opening positions and rolling over contracts with expiration dates, the annualized cost of holding futures contracts with expiration dates is roughly equivalent to that of perpetual contracts. The funding rate mechanism is far from fostering bad behavior; rather, it is a constraint tool that keeps the contract linked to the underlying spot market.
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