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Chi Lo, a strategist at Societe Generale, stated that although the market expects two more rate hikes, it is unlikely that the Federal Reserve's rate hike in September will mark the beginning of a new tightening cycle similar to that of 2022 to 2023. Instead, this may signal the start of preventive rate hikes aimed at bringing inflation back to target levels by reversing last year's three rate cuts.He noted that further rate hikes will not alleviate external shocks such as war and energy price inflation, but they will ease financial market concerns about the Federal Reserve's anti-inflation credibility. The Federal Reserve cannot continue to ignore recurring shocks or those that fail to dissipate as expected. By slowing down activity in other areas of the economy to curb inflationary pressures, further rate hikes may also carry the risk of pushing the economy into stagflation.

According to Cointelegraph, the Federal Reserve recently solicited public comments on two regulatory proposals for the issuance of payment stablecoins under the "Genius Act."The new regulations aim to establish a framework for the issuance of regulated stablecoins through full reserve asset requirements and approval processes.

According to a Reuters report, sources say that the Federal Reserve plans to raise the regulatory thresholds for banks.

The Federal Reserve Board (Fed) plans to establish rules for payment stablecoins issued by banks, requiring that each $1 token be backed by at least $1 in approved reserve assets and generally completed customer redemptions within two business days. If the issuer consistently falls below the minimum capital requirements, they may be required to liquidate reserve assets and redeem all tokens.Reserve assets may include U.S. dollars, Federal Reserve bank balances, certain bank deposits, U.S. Treasury securities with a remaining maturity of no more than 93 days, qualified repurchase agreements, and qualified investment funds, with some tokenized forms of assets potentially included. If reserves are insufficient, the issuer must notify the Fed and restore adequate backing; otherwise, they must liquidate reserves and redeem tokens pegged to the dollar. The Fed intends to require issuers to hold standardized capital against operational and certain credit risks, with a capital charge of 2% for the first $20 billion of issued stablecoin and 1% for amounts exceeding $50 billion.Another proposal allows state member banks that hold deposits to apply to establish subsidiaries for issuing payment stablecoins. The "GENIUS Act" stipulates that once the application is substantively complete, the Fed must make a decision within 120 days. Fed Governor Michael Barr stated that stablecoins should be reliably and promptly redeemable at par in various market conditions and when issuers encounter problems, and he called for the final rules to clarify universal redemption rights. He also expressed concern about the threshold for triggering regulatory or enforcement actions for anti-money laundering deficiencies needing to reach "significant or systemic" levels. The public comment period will be 60 days following the publication in the Federal Register.

The Federal Reserve's Paulson stated that the inflation report in September prompted the interest rate hike.

Goldman Sachs Asset Management stated that the Federal Reserve is unlikely to enter a prolonged rate hike cycle. The institution believes that tariff and energy price pressures may ease, there are no signs of an overheating economy, and inflation expectations remain anchored. The Federal Reserve's dot plot indicates one more rate hike this year, while the money market pricing shows that the remaining two meetings will cumulatively raise rates by 37 basis points.

The Director of the National Economic Council of the White House, Hassett, criticized recent comments by Federal Reserve officials supporting interest rate hikes, stating that it is concerning to continue tightening policy with the core inflation rate close to 2%.Hassett questioned the rate hike stance of some officials and stated that Federal Reserve Chairman Waller faces the task of restoring independence.

According to Catcher Predict monitoring, in the event of "Federal Reserve October Decision" on the prediction market Polymarket, the sub-market "No Change" option's probability of "Yes" has experienced a sharp fluctuation, plummeting from 45.5% an hour ago to the current 30.5% (a fluctuation of 15%). Please note the impact of related breaking news.

Federal Reserve Governor Barr said that further interest rate hikes may be needed to ensure a timely return to the 2% inflation target.

The British pound fell to a 12-week low against the US dollar due to the Bank of England's cautious stance on interest rate hikes, contrasting with the Federal Reserve's tightening policy.The Federal Reserve raised interest rates by 25 basis points last week and hinted at at least one more rate hike this year, strengthening the dollar. The Bank of England kept rates unchanged last week, causing the pound to drop by as much as 0.6%, reaching a low of 1.326 dollars.

Due to the strengthening of the US dollar and hawkish remarks from Federal Reserve officials, market expectations for tightening monetary policy have increased, causing gold prices to decline within a range. The dollar has risen to a two-month high, making gold priced in dollars more expensive. Richmond Fed President Barkin stated that the threat of interest rate hikes and further increases in the future could suppress corporate inflation expectations.

The President of the New York Federal Reserve, John Williams, stated that the process of transitioning U.S. Treasury securities and their repurchase agreements to centralized clearing has advanced ahead of schedule.The industry has expanded its clearing infrastructure, with trading activities shifting from non-cleared markets to cleared markets. The Federal Reserve's framework for maintaining ample bank reserves has proven effective and is committed to maintaining its resilience.

Bitcoin Magazine released a video interview where Jim Bianco, founder of Bianco Research, stated that the bond market signaled over two years ago before the Federal Reserve's first interest rate hike in more than three years. He pointed out that during the previous rate-cutting cycle of the Federal Reserve, the yield on the 10-year U.S. Treasury rose from 3.7% to 5%, marking the first time in over 50 years that the long-end yield increased while the Federal Reserve was cutting rates.In his discussion with Grace Remington and Sean Hagan, Bianco also mentioned that the Federal Reserve's decision on October 28 (one week before the midterm elections) is more significant than Wall Street expects. He refuted the "devaluation trade" narrative and discussed what Bitcoin needs to demonstrate, including development activity and the DeFi summer. He believes that the construction of Bitcoin ETFs has missed the point and stated that Tether has effectively become a circulating currency in Venezuela and Afghanistan.Additionally, Bianco talked about stablecoins and the GENIUS Act, real demand for government bonds, and the post-pandemic economy, while criticizing Federal Reserve Chairman Powell. He noted the existence of multiple wars and "safe haven" logic and referenced the "Fourth Turning" theory to analyze the current macro cycle.

According to Catcher Predict monitoring on-chain data, it predicts significant capital movements in the Polymarket market. A large whale invested $53,963.34 in a single buy for the "Federal Reserve October Decision" event, targeting "no change." Based on the current transaction price, the latest corresponding winning probability for this subject is 46.63%.

Federal Reserve's Goolsbee stated that if inflation does not fall back to the 2% target level, interest rates will need to be raised.He is open to the possibility of inflation starting to decline and is willing to accept that the current inflation issue stems from supply shocks that are about to fade, but he hopes to see evidence that this shock is indeed fading.

According to the Financial Times, the Federal Reserve and the Bank of England are strengthening their scrutiny of banks and trading companies' risk exposures.

Federal Reserve's Kashkari stated that the Fed's mission is to bring the inflation rate back to the 2% target. Inflation remains too high and is not solely due to oil price factors.

CoinShares pointed out in its latest research report that the Federal Reserve's hawkish policy shift and the stalled CLARITY Act are the two major short-term pressures facing the current cryptocurrency market. The report states that the Federal Reserve believes inflation is still too high, and the latest interest rate forecasts no longer indicate any room for rate cuts before 2027, which has supported the dollar and short-term U.S. Treasury yields. Coupled with the Iran conflict driving up energy prices, the possibility of another rate hike within the year has increased.CoinShares believes that if the inflation outlook does not improve significantly or if there is no major shift in monetary policy expectations, it may be difficult for Bitcoin to effectively break through $80,000 before the end of the year. In terms of regulation, the main disagreements regarding the CLARITY Act still focus on ethical provisions, with a revised version possibly being pushed forward as early as next year. Due to Bitcoin's relatively clear regulatory status, the stalled act has limited impact on it, while Ethereum and other altcoins face greater regulatory uncertainty.