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Gray Research Director: ETH and SOL may face supply contraction, and the reduction of inflation mechanisms will strengthen token scarcity

Grayscale Research Director Zach Pandl stated that the two major blockchain networks, Ethereum (ETH) and Solana (SOL), are considering adjusting their token economic models to enhance asset scarcity by reducing future token supply growth through lowering annual inflation rates. As important native assets supporting stablecoins and tokenized asset ecosystems, the prices of ETH and SOL are primarily determined by supply and demand dynamics. If the relevant code upgrade proposals are approved, under unchanged conditions, lower supply growth may provide support for token prices.According to Grayscale's analysis, if the relevant adjustments are implemented, the supply inflation rates of BTC, ETH, and SOL will continue to decline over the next five years. By the end of 2031, the annual inflation rates for Bitcoin and Ethereum are expected to be around 0.4%, and Solana around 1.1%, which is lower than gold's annual supply growth rate of about 1.8% and the U.S. CPI inflation level of about 3.3%. Currently, these token economic adjustments are still in the community discussion phase. Among them, the Solana-related proposal has gained broader support and has a higher likelihood of implementation; the Ethereum proposal still requires further discussion.If the adjustments are implemented, staking users may face reduced token rewards, as part of the staking income comes from the issuance of new tokens. However, due to the decline in the growth rate of circulating supply, the scarcity value of the tokens may increase, potentially providing price support. For ETH and SOL holders who do not participate in staking, they may benefit directly; the final returns for stakers will depend on the balance between the decrease in rewards and the increase in prices. Zach Pandl concluded that ETH and SOL are becoming important digital commodities supporting stablecoins and the tokenization of real assets, and the economic model adjustments aimed at reducing inflation may further strengthen their scarcity attributes.

first_img GSR Market Director: Many tokenization platforms lack real trading volume, and speculation has exceeded actual usage

According to a report by Cryptonomist, GSR's market director Spencer Hallarn stated in an interview that the hype around tokenization has surpassed the actual usage on many platforms. The issue lies not in the market's demand for tokenized assets, but in the design of the platforms themselves. He pointed out that many walled garden-style tokenization platforms with strict KYC requirements generally lack meaningful trading volume, as cumbersome access and compliance processes limit activity.Hallarn believes that the real opportunity is not in tokenizing for the sake of tokenization, but in fixing the underlying pipelines of traditional banking and settlement systems, specifically the infrastructure for transferring funds and assets between institutions. This would make tokenization more of an infrastructure repair rather than merely a narrative of crypto products.He also mentioned that the stagnation in the crypto market this year is largely due to funds shifting towards AI infrastructure, with large tech companies raising substantial amounts of capital for AI infrastructure through equity financing, tightening the liquidity of various assets, and crypto is no exception. Its clients are also shifting from chasing short-term momentum to long-term budget planning, over-the-counter hedging, and RWA. If AI investment cools down and the Federal Reserve lowers interest rates, liquidity is expected to improve and support Bitcoin prices.

Galaxy Research Director: Coldcard attack investigation陷入 AI dilemma, forced to turn to Chinese open-source models to track stolen funds

Galaxy Research Research Director Alex Thorn stated that the attack targeting Coldcard wallet address generation is still ongoing. They are currently continuing to collect victim information and adding new victim addresses and attacker addresses to the investigation database.If users are still using affected Coldcard single-signature addresses, they should immediately migrate their funds. According to current investigation results, all single-signature Coldcard addresses generated after the firmware upgrade in March 2021 may ultimately be emptied by attackers; it is just a matter of time.According to Galaxy Research's analysis, the first three confirmed rounds of attacks exhibit highly programmatic characteristics, with similar attack transaction patterns. A large amount of stolen Bitcoin remains in the attackers' addresses and has not yet been transferred.At the same time, some new opportunistic attackers are emerging, transferring and laundering funds through methods such as stripping the funding chain, cross-chain services (like ThorChain), and overseas betting platforms.Additionally, Alex Thorn mentioned the limitations of AI tools in security investigations. Some large language models in the United States have restricted researchers' ability to track stolen funds, and the team has even had to turn to Chinese open-source AI models to assist in protecting user assets and conducting on-chain tracking.He finds this phenomenon "incredible" and plans to promote discussions on related issues at the government and industry levels. Alex Thorn concluded by stating that a large amount of stolen funds remains stagnant, and the team is continuously tracking relevant addresses, having shared information with relevant U.S. agencies and industry partners. He calls on the Bitcoin community to learn from this incident, strengthen self-custody security education, and raise awareness of wallet complexity.

Galaxy Research Director: Coldcard victims had 17 BTC stolen and transferred to an offshore betting platform, which refused to freeze the funds

Galaxy Research Research Director Alex Thorn tweeted that among a Coldcard attack victim holding nearly 30 BTC, 17 BTC were split and converted to ETH via THORChain, and then deposited into the offshore betting platform Duel.com.Upon tracking, this portion of funds corresponds to approximately 229.72 ETH (worth about $445,000). The victim and the research team have emailed all known addresses of Duel.com, providing all transaction and deposit information and requesting to freeze the funds, but the response stated that the victim should have the police contact them, even though the platform's anti-money laundering policy claims it implements KYC and complies with relevant laws.Thorn stated that this response is unacceptable, and most of the Western regions have passed midnight, meaning the police report cannot be advanced until at least Monday; he believes that if the platform refuses to freeze the funds after receiving notification that they originated from an ongoing cyber attack, it constitutes complicity in theft.Since Duel.com's X account has been banned, Thorn turned to @ several individuals associated with the platform, urging them to push the platform to take the correct actions, and stated that if the funds are not frozen, the platform will face significant legal action.
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