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Cryptocurrency analyst Ali posted on platform X, stating that ETH seems to be forming a bullish trend on lower time frames, as long as $2640 continues to act as a support level, this pattern remains tilted towards the bulls.Ali further pointed out that the current focus is on the $2700 level. If ETH closes above $2700 on an hourly basis, it may confirm an upward breakout and open up further space to test $3000.

According to a report by Reuters, if the Democrats gain control of the House of Representatives or the Senate after the midterm elections in November, they are expected to launch investigations into business dealings related to Trump and his family, focusing on the cryptocurrency, prediction markets, and investment businesses involving the Trump family, as well as companies that funded projects for the White House.The report states that controlling either chamber of Congress will give the Democrats more resources for committee investigations and subpoena power, with some investigations potentially starting as early as February next year. The subjects of investigation frequently mentioned by Democratic lawmakers include the venture capital firm 1789 Capital, in which Donald Trump Jr. is involved, as well as cryptocurrency companies related to the Trump family, but a final list of investigations has not yet been established.Additionally, Republican Senator John Curtis has previously called for an investigation into some of Donald Trump Jr.'s business relationships, believing that the commercial activities of the presidential family should be subject to consistent congressional oversight.

According to on-chain analyst Specter, North Korea is laundering funds across multiple chains, including underlying chains such as dYdX, Noble, and Osmosis, and has opened perpetual contract positions on dYdX.

Analyst Darkfost pointed out that the MVRV ratio (Market Value to Realized Value ratio) of short-term holders (STH) of Bitcoin has risen to its highest level since November 2025. This increase was driven by the price breaking through the short-term holder cost benchmark of approximately $73,100, significantly enhancing market momentum between August and September.The current MVRV ratio is 1.15, indicating that short-term holders are, on average, in a 15% profit state, and their holding market value has exceeded the realized value. This level is worth close attention, as it may prompt short-term holders to take action, especially to realize profits.

CryptoQuant analyst Axel Adler Jr. stated that the price of Bitcoin is currently around $83,000, with the outflow rate of Bitcoin from exchanges reaching its fastest level since October 2025.On-chain data shows that as of September 27, the average daily net outflow from exchanges over the past 7 days has reached 16,100 Bitcoins, reflecting a contraction in the supply of chips on exchanges.

User gpugene stated during a discussion on computing power trading: Some B300 transaction prices have exceeded 24 dollars per GPU hour, and the price of computing power with a term shorter than 1 year remains above 7 dollars and is still rising. gpugene expressed the hope to use computing power derivatives to guard against the rise in GPU hour prices while retaining the flexibility to adjust rental durations; if inference clouds sell services at fixed prices and their own GPU bills fluctuate, they have effectively taken on the risk of computing power price changes.The article provides an example where a supplier can offer a plan for 2048 B300s, available for rent for 5 years at 4.15 dollars per GPU hour, corresponding to an amount of 372,264,960 dollars. If the client goes live after 12 months and uses this scale from the 13th to the 15th month, the total would be 4,485,120 GPU hours. gpugene calculated that the current premium for a call option with an exercise price of 4.50 dollars is approximately 4.83 million dollars; if changed to a compound option, the current payment would be about 2.70 million dollars, with an additional payment of about 4.49 million dollars upon exercising in the 12th month.gpugene also compared 4000 hypothetical 5-year rental and demand paths. The average cost of annual renewal is 4.72 dollars per hour, with the worst 5% scenario averaging 10.91 dollars; after adding the call option, these figures change to 4.88 dollars and 7.20 dollars, respectively, with the premium included. gpugene believes that the emerging computing power derivatives market may change how neocloud and related participants expand and protect themselves.

According to on-chain analyst Wazz, there is an organized chain of Rug Pull and fund extraction gang on Robinhood, which has been associated with 53 token issuances in the past two months. The directly traceable extraction amount has reached 18.43 million USD, and the actual amount may be higher.It is reported that the gang's methods are highly systematic: the funds raised from each issuance will flow into the launch wallet of the next issuance within seconds, forming a chain of funds; each issuance is bundled with 70-200 wallets to capture over 70% of the supply, mostly issued through the Pons V2 platform.In addition, the gang also creates "fake issuances" to hype up before the official issuance, harvesting market sentiment in advance, and then publishes the real contract address to maximize extraction profits. The token under investigation, $DEED, even failed to make it into the top ten of the extraction amounts.

Crypto analyst Ali posted on platform X, stating that Dogecoin has currently reached an important resistance area of about 0.098 USD, with approximately 28 billion DOGE traded around this price level. Meanwhile, the whales continue to accumulate.In the past 96 hours, large holders have cumulatively bought over 1.14 billion DOGE, worth about 112 million USD. Ali added that the whales seem to be positioning themselves for a breakout of DOGE above the current resistance level.

According to CoinDesk, analyst Michael Terpin predicts that Bitcoin will break through the $120,000 mark before the halving in 2028 (most likely in the fourth quarter of 2027).

On-chain analyst Darkfost posted on X, stating that since June 2026, the total market capitalization of altcoins, including ETH, has attracted over $371 billion in inflows, an increase of about 45%.Meanwhile, approximately 87% of altcoins on Binance are currently above the 200-day moving average, while about 80% of altcoins were still below this average in August of this year. Darkfost believes this reflects a significant recent concentration of funds into altcoins, while market sentiment has shown signs of overheating to some extent, and attention should be paid to whether the subsequent momentum can be sustained.

According to Forbes, Bitcoin approached $90,000 earlier this month. Meanwhile, global debt continues to rise, and the "currency depreciation trade" surrounding the decline in purchasing power of fiat currency has become one of the factors driving up assets like Bitcoin and gold.Data from the Institute of International Finance shows that global debt increased by $10 trillion in the first half of this year, surpassing $365 trillion in total. The U.S. debt has exceeded $40 trillion, with annual interest payments rising to $1.27 trillion, surpassing defense and Medicare spending, and only lower than Social Security spending. The institute warns that as benchmark interest rates rise, interest costs will also increase.Nic Puckrin, founder of Coin Bureau and cross-asset analyst, stated that the current environment is favorable for "currency depreciation assets" like Bitcoin and gold, which is part of the reason for Bitcoin's recent rise. The larger the debt of major economies, the more likely it is to suppress real borrowing costs and allow inflation to erode the real value of debt, thereby enhancing the attractiveness of such trades.Analysts from The Kobeissi Letter pointed out that the purchasing power of the dollar has declined by 23% since 2020; if assets only increased by 30% during the same period, investors have essentially just broken even in terms of real purchasing power. The U.S. inflation rate has been above the Federal Reserve's 2% target for 60 consecutive months.

Cryptocurrency analyst Darkfost stated on the X platform that based on the inflow of BTC from long-term holders (LTH) to exchanges, during the market peak in March 2024, LTH were most active in the bull market phase, with daily inflows to exchanges exceeding the annual average by more than five times.In contrast, LTH were relatively calm during the peak in 2025, and as the bear market began, their activity significantly increased, with the annual average daily inflow of BTC rising from about 600 to around 1000. As the market approached the bear market bottom, the inflow on certain trading days far exceeded the annual average, which aligns with the situation where previous high-level buyers realized increased losses.Darkfost noted that currently, LTH-related activities are gradually cooling down, with inflows to exchanges still significantly below the annual average, indicating a change in their behavior, and the market is becoming more rational.

Cryptocurrency trader Ansem stated that airdrops remain one of the strongest catalysts for driving users and trading activities back on-chain. In the last cycle, trading terminals saw a significant amount of trading volume, but many of those platforms have yet to offer rewards to users.Ansem believes that as competition among platforms for traders intensifies, rewarding early users will become an effective way to build user loyalty and retain liquidity. Past experiences show that timely airdrops can unleash a large amount of on-chain activity, and he expects this strategy to reappear in this cycle.

CryptoQuant analyst Axel Adler Jr. stated that the 30-day moving average of the adjusted MVRV crossed above its 365-day moving average on August 20, indicating that Bitcoin entered an early bull market phase, with a price at that time of $71,255. This phase lasted for 31 days, during which Bitcoin rose by 13%.

According to CoinDesk, the volatility in the U.S. Treasury market has significantly increased recently, while Bitcoin and the U.S. stock market remain calm. The MOVE index, which measures expected volatility in U.S. Treasuries, rose from about 80 on Tuesday to 104 on Thursday, the highest level since March; at that time, the index reached as high as 199.In contrast, the Volmex 30-day Bitcoin implied volatility index (BVIV) is currently around 37, close to the year-to-date low of 35; the Cboe VIX, which measures expected volatility in the S&P 500, is near the year-to-date low of 14.Meanwhile, the yield on the U.S. 10-year Treasury bond briefly hit 5.2% on Thursday before falling back to 5.163%. Data shows that the correlation coefficient between VIX and MOVE over the past 20 trading days has dropped to -0.06, marking the first negative correlation since April 2024; the correlation coefficient between BVIV and MOVE is -0.37, at a relatively low level in recent years.Analysts point out that as an important foundation of the global financial and credit system, an increase in U.S. Treasury volatility usually indicates a tightening financial environment, but currently, BTC and the U.S. stock market have not reflected the same level of volatility risk as the bond market.

Cryptocurrency analyst Ali posted on platform X, stating that in the past five days, XRP whales have accumulated over 470 million XRP, worth approximately 724 million dollars.At the same time, the daily chart of XRP continues to form a "head and shoulders bottom" pattern, indicating that a bullish breakout may be approaching.

CryptoQuant analyst Darkfost stated that a recent paper explored the possibility of implementing privacy transactions on Bitcoin, characterized by the ability to achieve this directly on Bitcoin L1 without the need for a soft fork, making privacy transactions a native feature.Darkfost mentioned that he is not a developer and lacks the relevant technical background, but this idea is quite appealing. He believes it could be an important direction for Bitcoin's evolution according to Satoshi Nakamoto's original vision, while potentially diminishing the appeal of privacy projects like Zcash and Monero.

Analyst Darkfost stated that Bitcoin long-term holders (LTH) currently have an realized profit level of about 72%. Although they are in a profitable state, there is still a significant gap compared to previous market peaks.In comparison, in December 2024, LTH realized profits once approached 350%. Darkfost believes that long-term holders are currently in a relatively moderate profit-taking phase, similar to the levels during the last bear market, so most LTH may prefer to continue holding rather than cashing out on a large scale at this stage.

According to Darkfost's analysis, during the recent rise of Bitcoin, Binance's BTC funds have primarily been flowing out, with an average net outflow of about 2,000 BTC per day over the past week. Among them, Binance experienced a single-day net outflow of over 13,800 BTC, setting the record for the largest single-day net outflow in 2023.In the past 4 days, the platform's BTC reserves have decreased from about 705,000 to 685,000, a reduction of approximately 20,000 BTC. Darkfost stated that the continuous outflow of BTC from exchanges usually indicates that some investors are choosing to transfer their assets to self-custody, which may correspond to a longer-term holding behavior while reducing potential selling pressure on the exchange. He believes that the recent large-scale outflow may reflect the FOMO sentiment of investors who had previously been waiting for Bitcoin to drop further.

Chainalysis data shows that cross-border stablecoin capital flows increased by 77.5% year-on-year. While the overall scale has expanded, the capital flow remains highly concentrated.Chainalysis identified 4,708 new inter-country transfer paths, but these new paths only carry about 2.64 billion dollars, accounting for a small proportion of the total statistical amount of 220.3 billion dollars, indicating that cross-border flows of stablecoins are still dominated by a few major channels.