2025

On-chain data analyst Murphy pointed out that BTC purchased in 2025 has been in a state of unrealized loss until now. Currently, there are about 4.77 million coins from 2025, a decrease of 41.5% from the peak in December last year. The decline slope shows two phases: a rapid decline before February and a slowdown after February, but it still maintains a certain slope. This group is currently the largest supply side in the market.Comparing the data from 2024, 2023, and 2022, it is found that the old coins with unrealized gains have basically passed the steep decline phase; the longer the time, the smaller the slope, and the curve has almost flattened after February. Even if the price drops further, the changes in the number of these coins are not significant, and those that should have changed hands have already done so. In terms of historical data, during the bear bottom in 2022, the high-position coins from 2021 decreased by 51%, and during the bear bottom in 2018, the high-position coins from 2017 decreased by 62%.Murphy believes that if we simply refer to history, the maximum decline of the 2025 coins in this bear bottom may be between 50%-60% (currently at 41%), and this does not yet account for the BTC purchased by institutions such as ETFs and MicroStrategy in 2025, most of which are in a locked state.

On-chain analyst Murphy stated that currently, all chips bought in BTC in 2025 are basically in a state of loss. Therefore, apart from wallet migrations, the reduction in the scale of 2025 chips likely means that holders are cutting losses and selling. Data shows that as of now, approximately 4.77 million BTC chips bought in 2025 remain, a decrease of 41.5% from the peak in December last year.From the downward trend, this group has experienced two phases: a rapid decrease in chips before February this year, and a significant slowdown in the rate of decline after February, although it still maintains a certain slope. Murphy believes that the 2025 chips may be the largest potential supply side in the current market scale. In contrast, the BTC chips formed in 2024, 2023, and 2022 have basically completed the release of high-level locked positions due to still having unrealized gains, and the slope of the curve is gradually flattening, indicating that the selling pressure from long-term holders is weakening.Historical data shows that during the bottom phases of the past two bear markets, high-level chips have shown a significant decline: at the bottom of the bear market in 2022, the chips bought at high levels in 2021 decreased by about 51%; at the bottom of the bear market in 2018, the chips bought at high levels in 2017 decreased by about 62%. If we refer to historical cycles, Murphy believes that in this bear market bottom phase, the reduction of high-level chips in 2025 may be in the range of 50%-60%, and the current decline of 41.5% indicates that there is still some room for release. However, this judgment has not yet considered the BTC bought by institutional investors such as spot ETFs and MicroStrategy, as this portion of chips is mostly in a long-term locked state, which may reduce the actual market supply pressure.

ChianCatcher news, former Coinbase CTO Balaji Srinivasan stated during an interview on a blog program under Cypherpunk that cryptocurrency is not only a business matter but also an ideological one. The banking and political systems have failed and need to withdraw to self-sovereignty, and the missing part is privacy.He pointed out that the two major innovations of Bitcoin are programmability represented by Ethereum and privacy represented by Zcash. From 2009 to 2017, Bitcoin's viability was proven; from 2017 to 2025, programmability's viability will be proven; and now, from around 2025 to 2030, is the privacy phase. Privacy means using ZK encryption for everything, including ZKYC, ZK DEX, and ZK smart contracts, to achieve the minimum necessary information. This may require modifications to the base layer, new L1, or entirely new companies, and ZK can technically attract high-IQ talent like AI.

In 2025, the amount of cryptocurrency theft reached $3.4 billion, with Bybit suffering a loss of $1.5 billion, accounting for 44% of the total for the year. In the first half of 2026, there were 212 related incidents, resulting in losses of approximately $1.1 billion, with about 55% involving the Lazarus-linked group. KelpDAO was attacked in April, resulting in a loss of $293 million.Stolen funds typically undergo a three-phase transfer process lasting about 45 days: the first 5 days involve exchanging through DeFi protocols and entering mixing services, followed by cross-chain bridging and flowing through trading platforms with lower KYC requirements. During the 20 to 45 days period, funds are further cashed out in batches through non-KYC platforms, instant exchangers, and over-the-counter trading networks. Once funds cross multiple blockchains, mixing services, and jurisdictions, tracking may still be possible, but the difficulty of recovery significantly increases. The recovery rate of stolen funds from Bybit is less than 5%; Tether and Circle can freeze USDT and USDC addresses, and attackers typically exchange stablecoins for Ethereum or Bitcoin within minutes after the attack.

According to IT Home, IDC has released the report "China Exoskeleton Robot Market Share, 2025" for the first time. The market size of China's exoskeleton robot market will exceed 1.6 billion yuan in 2025, with a shipment volume of approximately 26,000 units. Among them, the medical rehabilitation market is the largest, with a scale of about 1.42 billion yuan and shipments of about 3,200 units; the consumer assistive market contributes over 70% of the shipment volume, approximately 19,000 units, with a market size of nearly 110 million yuan, driven by an aging population and declining costs, becoming the fastest-growing segment; the industrial application market is about 80 million yuan, with shipments of about 3,800 units, mainly applied in logistics warehousing, automotive manufacturing, and power energy scenarios.IDC pointed out that the three major segments have formed a collaborative development pattern, and the industry is accelerating its evolution from a single medical application to multi-scenario human capability enhancement equipment. In the medical rehabilitation field, companies like Fourier Intelligence, Cheng Tian Technology, and Mabu Robotics are leading; in the consumer assistive field, Cheng Tian Technology, Kenking Technology, and Jike are at the forefront; in the industrial application field, Ao Sha Intelligent, Cheng Tian Technology, and Mabu Intelligent occupy major shares.

The Federal Bureau of Investigation (FBI) disclosed that in 2025, the reported losses from cybercrime by the American public approached $21 billion, with 181,565 complaints involving cryptocurrency, totaling losses of over $11 billion.New York Attorney General Letitia James testified before Congress on July 27, stating that the CLARITY Act aims to transfer primary regulatory authority over digital assets to the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), which could potentially weaken the ability of states to investigate fraud and hold cryptocurrency companies accountable. James urged cryptocurrency platforms to comply with anti-money laundering, know your customer, cybersecurity, and market monitoring requirements, and to take financial responsibility for preventable fraud. Her office has received nearly three times the number of cryptocurrency fraud complaints in the past three years, with related losses approaching $500 million over the past five years.

According to Jinshi, the yield on the U.S. 10-year Treasury bond rose to 4.7388%, the highest level since January 2025.

According to Gate market data, Apple's (AAPL.O) stock price fell by 9%, marking the largest decline since April 2025.

The FBI submitted data disclosure to the legislative committee, revealing that losses related to cryptocurrency kiosks in Texas amounted to $56.8 million in 2025, involving 1,179 complaints, making it the highest loss among all states in the U.S. The total number of related complaints nationwide was 13,460, with reported losses increasing by 58% year-on-year to $389 million. Cryptocurrency kiosks can accept cash and exchange it for cryptocurrency, typically set up at gas stations and convenience stores.Statistics from the Texas Tribune show that there are about 4,000 such devices in Texas, where scammers induce victims to withdraw money from their bank accounts and deposit it into the machines. Jesse Saucillo, Deputy Commissioner of the Texas Department of Banking, stated that once funds are transferred out, recovering them is nearly impossible, as the money typically flows into unhosted wallets and then into mixers. He added that AI-generated police and state agency impersonation content makes phone inducements more deceptive.Data from AARP indicates that since 2023, approximately 30 states in the U.S. have enacted laws related to cryptocurrency kiosks. Indiana fully banned such devices in March, followed by Tennessee and Minnesota. Texas House Committee Chairman Rep. Cole Hefner stated that the state will consider measures beyond regulatory scope.

According to Jinshi reports, Japan's overall Consumer Price Index (CPI) in Tokyo for June recorded the fastest growth since December 2025.

According to Cointelegraph, the Hungarian Parliament voted to abolish the previously mandated cryptocurrency asset verification requirements that were set to take effect on July 1, 2025. This requirement mandated that specific cryptocurrency conversions must be verified by a licensed third party regarding the source of assets, wallet ownership, and customer information before execution. Finance Minister Kármán András stated that the previously stringent regulatory requirements had led to several service providers exiting the Hungarian market, and the market is currently showing signs of recovery.Meanwhile, the Hungarian National Bank (MNB) officially granted the first local license under the EU MiCA framework to Budapest-based cryptocurrency platform CoinCash operator Tiwala Solutions on July 20, authorizing a range of services including custody, cryptocurrency exchange for fiat, cryptocurrency swaps, transfers, investment advice, and portfolio management.

CryptoQuant analyst Darkfost stated that since 2025, the inflow of stablecoins into exchanges has been continuously declining, reaching the lowest level since that period. Currently, the monthly average inflow of stablecoins (USDT, USDC) is about $2.3 billion, with an annual average inflow of about $3.7 billion. When the price of Bitcoin reached its historical peak, the monthly average inflow was $5.6 billion, and the annual average inflow was $4.3 billion. This dynamic clearly indicates the current weak demand and lack of investor interest. However, it is important to note that when the inflow of stablecoins peaks, it is often a lagging signal. When some investors accelerate profit-taking, exchanges increase the supply of stablecoins, while new investors continue to bet that the price of Bitcoin will keep rising. Currently, market demand still needs improvement.

According to Jinshi, the yield on the U.S. 2-year Treasury bond rose by 3 basis points, reaching 4.29%, the highest level since February 2025.

The international authoritative consulting agency IDC released the "2025 China AI Programming Market Share Report." The report shows that the scale of China's AI programming market will reach 399 million yuan in 2025, and it is expected to grow rapidly to 1.173 billion yuan by the end of 2026.In terms of market competition, Alibaba ranks first with a market share of 47.6% thanks to its core AI programming product Qoder, a figure that exceeds the combined market shares of the second to fifth ranked companies.IDC analysts pointed out that AI Coding is evolving from a mere "code generation tool" into a "software productivity platform" that covers the entire software lifecycle. Currently, Alibaba's Qoder product line has served hundreds of thousands of enterprises including China FAW, CITIC Securities, and AsiaInfo Technologies, with over 5 million users globally.

According to Coinglass data, in the past 7 days, CEX platforms have seen an outflow of 2,025.66 BTC, among which:Coinbase Pro platform saw an outflow of 1,197.21;Kraken platform saw an outflow of 2,110.93;Bitfinex platform saw an outflow of 228.35;Binance platform saw an inflow of 745.76;OKX platform saw an inflow of 845.31.

According to SoSoValue data, yesterday (Eastern Time July 10) the total net inflow of Ethereum spot ETFs was $18.4334 million.The Ethereum spot ETF with the highest net inflow yesterday was the Blackrock ETF ETHA, with a net inflow of $16.2025 million. Currently, the historical total net inflow of ETHA has reached $1.1178 billion.Following that is the Fidelity ETF FETH, with a net inflow of $2.2309 million. Currently, the historical total net inflow of FETH has reached $2.149 billion.As of the time of publication, the total net asset value of Ethereum spot ETFs is $9.588 billion, with an ETF net asset ratio (market value compared to the total market value of Ethereum) of 4.44%. The historical cumulative net inflow has reached $10.974 billion.

According to Bloomberg, the latest annual financial disclosure document released by U.S. President Trump shows that he made at least $1.4 billion in profits from cryptocurrency and meme coin-related businesses in 2025.Among them, over $594 million in sales revenue came from the cryptocurrency company World Liberty Financial, which he co-founded with his son and government official Steven Witkoff; his meme coin business CIC Digital LLC earned $636 million in royalty income through licensing agreements, and the company holds at least $60 million in cryptocurrency assets in its digital wallet; additionally, Trump profited nearly $197 million from the sale of equity in Stablecoin Holdco.The 927-page disclosure document also lists the earnings from his extensive business portfolio, including $77 million in revenue from Mar-a-Lago, as well as trading records for stocks such as Nvidia, Microsoft, and Netflix. Critics have pointed out that Trump has not divested his assets or transferred them into an independently managed blind trust, raising concerns about potential conflicts of interest due to the overlap between his family-managed business empire and presidential policy areas.

According to The Defiant, data shows that Pump.fun has repurchased over $400 million worth of PUMP tokens, covering approximately 145.5 billion PUMP. The repurchase plan started in July 2025 and has continued for a total of 346 days. Since April, Pump.fun has used 50% of its net income for repurchasing and burning tokens, with the remaining income allocated for operations, hiring, and acquisitions.Since the platform launched in January 2024, it has generated approximately $1.13 billion in expenses and $1.05 billion in revenue, but expenses have dropped to about $23.5 million in the last 30 days.

According to Gate market data, Apple's (AAPL.O) stock price fell by 6%, marking the largest decline since April 2025.