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According to monitoring by Catcher Predict, in the event "Clacton By-Election: Farage's Vote Share" on the prediction market Polymarket, the "Yes" option in the sub-market "Farage 60--70%" has experienced significant fluctuations in winning probability, soaring from 28.85% an hour ago to the current 67.75% (a fluctuation of 38.9%). Please note the impact of related breaking news.

According to monitoring by Catcher Predict, in the event "Clacton By-Election: Farage's Vote Share" on the prediction market Polymarket, the "Yes" option in the sub-market "Farage 80%+" has experienced significant fluctuations in winning probability, plummeting from 48.5% an hour ago to the current 30.5% (a fluctuation of 18%). Please note the impact of related breaking news.

GnosisDAO is initiating a governance proposal GIP-152 on whether to split the Gnosis App into an independent company led by the original team. The proposal is now live on Snapshot, and voting will close on August 12 at 14:19 (UTC), with a required quorum of 75,000 votes to take effect. Community members can vote on whether to support the separation of the Gnosis App from the GnosisDAO ecosystem through Snapshot.The proposal outlines that GnosisDAO will invest $1.5 million in cash and inject a product and IP valued at $1 million, obtaining at least 25% equity through SAFE at a post-money valuation of $10 million, while completely separating the Gnosis App from Gnosis Ltd's annual budget of $3.1 million. The new company will focus on self-custody payments and card services, using the Circles protocol as its core, with 18 months of funding primarily allocated for the team, compliance operations, and customer acquisition, and will continue to drive on-chain and payment network usage through Gnosis Pay and Gnosis Chain. Current Snapshot voting results show that approximately 66% are in favor.

U.S. Senate Majority Leader John Thune has moved to terminate the debate procedure on advancing the Clarity for Digital Assets Markets Act (CLARITY Act) into Senate consideration, with the Senate scheduled to hold a procedural vote on September 15. The vote is expected to take place at 2:15 PM Eastern Time after the Senate reconvenes that day.The motion requires 60 votes in support, meaning Republican senators will need Democratic support to pass the procedural threshold. The two parties are currently negotiating on issues such as ethical standards and stablecoin reward rules, with related disagreements causing the bill to fail to reach consensus before the August recess.This vote only concerns whether to initiate the bill's consideration process and does not represent a final vote on the bill or guarantee its passage in the Senate. The CLARITY Act aims to establish a federal market structure for digital assets and clarify the conditions under which certain crypto assets are subject to securities or commodities laws, as well as the regulatory responsibilities of the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission and the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission.

According to Politico, the U.S. Senate has decided to postpone the vote on the Clarity Act until September.

Punchbowl News reporters posted on the X platform that negotiations in the U.S. Senate regarding the CLARITY Act are affecting the legislative process before the recess. The Democratic leadership continues to push for a delay in the procedural vote on the cryptocurrency regulation bill, while Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer hopes to gain more time for further negotiations.Meanwhile, Republicans are calling for a swift move to a vote. Both sides are still coordinating on the content of the bill and related provisions, and there remains uncertainty about whether the CLARITY Act will enter the voting stage before the Senate recess.

According to BeInCrypto, Tim Scott, the chairman of the U.S. Senate Banking Committee, stated that the CLARITY Act, aimed at regulating the cryptocurrency market, will be voted on before Congress goes into recess, and "there will undoubtedly be a vote."In an interview with Fox News, Scott mentioned that the Senate might extend its working hours, not limited to the next two days, to push forward the relevant legislation. He noted that there is a consensus forming within the Republican Party regarding the bill and believes that advancing a cryptocurrency regulatory framework "is in the interest of the United States."Tim Scott stated, "We will get this done."The CLARITY Act aims to further clarify the regulatory framework for digital assets in the United States, delineating the regulatory responsibilities of the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) and the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) in the cryptocurrency market. Supporters believe that the bill will provide clearer rules for the industry and help the U.S. maintain its competitiveness in the digital asset space.Currently, the bill still faces internal congressional disputes regarding consumer protection, regulatory authority, and market risks. If ultimately passed, it will be an important step in building the U.S. cryptocurrency regulatory system.

According to Bitcoin.com, U.S. President Trump is weighing the bipartisan ethical counterproposal of the CLARITY Act, and Senate negotiators need to finalize the cryptocurrency conflict of interest rules before the recess on August 7.The bill aims to establish a federal regulatory framework for cryptocurrency companies through the division of responsibilities between the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) and the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC).Republican Senator Thom Tillis and Democratic Senator Ruben Gallego submitted an enforcement proposal to the White House on July 29. This proposal allows state-level agencies to enforce federal officials' bans on issuing or sponsoring digital tokens, rather than solely handling related violations through the Department of Justice.The U.S. House of Representatives passed a version of the bill on July 17 with 294 votes in favor and 134 against, with over 70 Democrats voting in favor. The Senate has not yet held a full vote; the bill needs 60 votes to pass, and if all Republicans support it, at least 7 Democrats will still need to vote in favor.

U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent urged the Senate on Thursday to pass the Clarity Act, stating that the House of Representatives passed the bill over a year ago, and staff from the Senate Banking and Agriculture Committees have since engaged in thousands of hours of bipartisan negotiations on the revisions. Bessent stated that the bill will strengthen consumer protections and anti-money laundering requirements, and provide regulatory certainty for digital assets. He also mentioned that the Blockchain Regulatory Certainty Act provisions in the Clarity Act will protect decentralized software developers, clarifying that they are not subject to the registration requirements of the Bank Secrecy Act.Bessent criticized Senate Democrats for delaying the vote for political reasons, stating that the relevant vote will determine whether the U.S. continues to maintain its global leadership in digital assets. At the end of his post, he quoted Bitcoin creator Satoshi Nakamoto: "If you don't believe me or don't understand, I don't have time to try to convince you, sorry." The Clarity Act aims to establish a federal framework for the U.S. digital asset market and allocate regulatory responsibilities for digital assets to the SEC and CFTC, with most crypto assets typically falling under CFTC jurisdiction. Senate Majority Leader John Thune recently stated that the bill is not expected to pass the Senate before the August recess.

According to Jinshi, the U.S. Senate voted 49 to 50 to reject a resolution that called for Trump to cease hostile actions against Iran without congressional authorization.

According to The Block, the Solana Policy Institute in the United States has sent a letter to the bipartisan leaders of the Senate, urging them to push the Clarity Act digital asset bill into the voting process before the congressional legislative window closes in early August. The bill aims to provide regulatory clarity for U.S. crypto developers, institutions, and consumers, and establish a "non-money transmission" safe harbor for non-custodial software developers through the Blockchain Regulatory Certainty Act.The latest Republican version also adds ethical provisions that prohibit federal officials and their spouses from issuing or sponsoring digital assets, with the relevant provisions set to expire on January 20, 2029. SPI stated that the bill helps prevent "overreach" of regulation and criminal enforcement against software developers, maintaining the momentum for domestic construction in the United States.

According to Cointelegraph, the Hungarian Parliament voted to abolish the previously mandated cryptocurrency asset verification requirements that were set to take effect on July 1, 2025. This requirement mandated that specific cryptocurrency conversions must be verified by a licensed third party regarding the source of assets, wallet ownership, and customer information before execution. Finance Minister Kármán András stated that the previously stringent regulatory requirements had led to several service providers exiting the Hungarian market, and the market is currently showing signs of recovery.Meanwhile, the Hungarian National Bank (MNB) officially granted the first local license under the EU MiCA framework to Budapest-based cryptocurrency platform CoinCash operator Tiwala Solutions on July 20, authorizing a range of services including custody, cryptocurrency exchange for fiat, cryptocurrency swaps, transfers, investment advice, and portfolio management.

According to Jinshi reports, institutions are conducting a forward-looking analysis of the voting situation at the Federal Reserve meeting. TD Securities and JPMorgan expect two hawkish dissenting votes, mainly from Harker and Logan. Commonwealth Bank of Australia and Citibank believe that one or two officials may dissent in support of a rate hike.UBS predicts that if the interest rate remains unchanged, there will likely be 8 to 10 votes in favor. Prediction markets indicate that the probability of Harker and Logan casting dissenting votes is both 58%.

According to Jinshi, on July 28 local time, the U.S. Senate passed a procedural vote on a bill aimed at sanctioning Russia and Iran with a vote of 86 in favor and 12 against.According to the bill, the U.S. will impose a 100% secondary tariff on countries that continue to purchase Russian oil and gas. In addition, the bill includes new provisions to extend the sanctions against Iran, which were originally set to expire at the end of this year, ensuring that the relevant sanctions remain in effect.

According to Jinshi reports, Pruis stated that the number of dissenting votes at this week's Federal Reserve meeting will be closely monitored as an indicator of the degree of disagreement within the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC). The voting results are expected to be 10 votes in favor and 2 votes against, with Logan and Hamak voting against, advocating for a 25 basis point rate hike. If dissenting votes exceed three, even if the rate remains unchanged in July, it will be a clearer signal indicating that the committee is moving towards a rate hike in September.

Fox Business crypto reporter Eleanor Terrett posted on the X platform that the crypto industry hopes Republican senators in the United States will push the Clarity Act into the voting process this week and seek support from the Democrats.

According to Jinshi, Elmar Voelker, a senior fixed income analyst at LBBW, stated in a report that investors may focus on the potential number of dissenting votes in the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision on Wednesday. He believes there could be as many as three dissenting votes, as there was already a camp of this size voting against the Fed's forward guidance as early as April.If the Federal Reserve unanimously decides to adopt a wait-and-see monetary policy stance, it would be an unexpected move favorable to the bond market, shaking market participants' general expectations for a rate hike in September.

According to BBX data, yesterday the global digital infrastructure and cryptocurrency reserve companies welcomed significant developments in capital operations, technology security, and treasury clearing. The core content is as follows:Satsuma shareholders overwhelmingly approved the liquidation of Bitcoin and delisting: Shareholders of Satsuma Technology, the second-largest publicly listed Bitcoin reserve company in the UK, voted with a high approval rate of 90% to approve the sale of all 668 BTC (fair value approximately $43.5 million), return capital to investors, and delist from the London Stock Exchange (LSE). According to the timeline, the company is expected to cancel its listing on September 14, 2026, with fund clearing and CREST transfers to be completed by September 28. The company's Bitcoin treasury strategy lasted less than a year, and its stock price has fallen over 99% from its peak.Ionic Digital received SEC approval for direct listing on July 28: Digital infrastructure company Ionic Digital officially announced that its S-1 registration statement has been formally approved by the U.S. SEC and is expected to begin trading its Class A common stock on the Nasdaq Global Select Market on July 28, with the stock ticker "IOND." This listing will adopt a direct listing model, and the company will not publicly offer any new shares. Ionic Digital's core business focuses on providing next-generation data center solutions for AI and high-performance computing (HPC).Galaxy launches a $5 million "Bitcoin Quantum Readiness Initiative": Digital asset giant Galaxy announced the launch of the "Bitcoin Quantum Readiness Initiative," intending to invest up to $5 million in developer funding to promote the evolution of the Bitcoin network towards quantum attack resistance. The initiative consists of three core components: first, funding the development of post-quantum cryptography (PQC) solutions; second, conducting specialized research on quantum computing and network security by Galaxy Research; third, forming an expert advisory committee to advance academic discussions on the underlying roadmap.

According to market news, Bitcoin Treasuries.NET posted on platform X that shareholders of the UK Bitcoin treasury company Satsuma Technology, supported by Mark Moss, have voted to sell all of their remaining 668 BTC, return capital to shareholders, and close the company.