policies

Michelle Bowman, the Vice Chair for Supervision at the Federal Reserve, stated that inflationary pressures persist while the labor market is stabilizing. She expects the core PCE in October to rise to 3.3% year-on-year, with rising energy prices and AI-related demand as the main driving factors. Bowman noted that the recent decline in stock prices, the rise in U.S. Treasury yields, and the strengthening of the dollar have tightened financial conditions, necessitating a careful assessment of the costs and benefits of further tightening policies.

Given the strong reaction of American voters to high living costs and high inflation, several Democratic members of Congress have expressed their commitment to pushing for the repeal of the current unreasonable tariff policies.Congress members Richard Neal and Ron Wyden plan to promote relevant legislation next year to reverse the tariff policies of the Trump administration.

According to a report by the Korean Central News Agency cited by the Korean News Agency, Kim Yo-jong, the Minister of the General Affairs of the Workers' Party of Korea, made a statement on the Binance hacking incident on the 4th, marking her second comment on the matter within three days.Kim Yo-jong stated that North Korea does not view the Binance hacking incident as an accidental or isolated event, but rather as an extension of Washington's hostile policy towards North Korea, with the United States attempting to gain political benefits from this incident. She expressed that "dialogue is clearly included" among the options for maintaining peace, but for North Korea, dialogue does not necessarily equate to national interests; there is no need for North Korea to sit down with "untrustworthy and hostile individuals," and she hinted at the possibility of taking strong countermeasures.Previously, on November 2, Kim Yo-jong had made a statement saying that the allegations were "a political provocation by the United States" and "absurd rumors." U.S. President Trump had previously stated that if North Korea was behind the hacking incident, he would communicate with North Korea about it.

Recently, Sun Yuchen discussed his lawsuit against the Trump family's cryptocurrency project WLFI in a conversation with Jin Ming. He clearly stated that he remains firmly supportive of President Trump's cryptocurrency policy and AI strategy, believing it to be very successful.The reason for suing World Liberty Financial is entirely a normal action for commercial investors to protect their rights. The cause stems from the project's lack of investment transparency and insufficient information disclosure, even involving allegations of fraud. The case has been formally submitted to the federal court in California and is to be decided by a federal judge, which fully complies with the operation of the rule of law in the United States.Sun Yuchen further clarified that this lawsuit will not affect his judgment of the macro trends in the United States. He continues to hold a significant position in U.S. technology stocks and is optimistic about TRX being approved for a spot ETF in the U.S., the on-chain business of U.S. stocks, as well as expectations for a stronger dollar and the continued strength of the AI industry.Sun Yuchen believes that public opinion has exaggerated and complicated this lawsuit; in fact, it is simply a "business-to-business" lawsuit. Even if the agreement's subject matter involves 400 to 500 million dollars, it does not significantly impact his overall asset portfolio.Sun Yuchen also stated that he invests with the patience of an old hunter. Once he is thoroughly optimistic and makes a significant decision, he will invest at least 4 to 5 billion dollars or more in a single transaction.

Cryptocurrency market maker Wintermute today updated its market report, stating that multiple events such as the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision, the U.S. midterm elections, and third-quarter earnings reports are approaching, and the current narrow trading range of Bitcoin may soon be broken. If Bitcoin breaks above $87,000, it may confirm an upward breakout; if it effectively falls below $82,500, the price could further dip to just above $70,000.On the macro front, the overall CPI in the U.S. rose from 3.4% in August to 3.7%, with core CPI increasing by 0.3% month-on-month, higher than the market expectation of 0.2%, intensifying concerns about energy prices transmitting to core inflation. Wintermute pointed out that the recent rise in U.S. Treasury yields reflects more of a withdrawal of funds from crowded AI growth stock trades rather than an improvement in inflation expectations. The market currently expects the Federal Reserve to maintain interest rates at its meeting on October 28, but if hawkish signals are released, it may strengthen expectations for a rate hike in December, pushing up U.S. Treasury yields and suppressing risk assets.Internally, the cryptocurrency market shows a trend of funds concentrating on mainstream coins. The report indicates that Bitcoin's weekly decline was 1.99%, the Nasdaq index fell by 5.52%, and altcoins overall dropped by 5.69%. Funds continue to flow into BTC and ETH while withdrawing from most altcoins, with high beta and small-cap tokens facing more significant pressure. Wintermute believes that the current risk-reward ratio for mainstream coins is relatively more attractive, and a broad rally in altcoins may need to wait for Bitcoin to strengthen further.Wintermute also noted that the current implied volatility is relatively low, and with the Federal Reserve's decision and midterm elections approaching, the market may be underestimating the risk of subsequent volatility. The Federal Reserve's decision on October 28 will be a key catalyst in the near term, and the performance of AI-related companies' earnings reports will also influence the market's judgment on computing power investments, financing costs, and business models.

South Korean Deputy Prime Minister and Minister of Strategy and Finance Lee Hyeong-ryeol stated that in response to the virtual asset taxation policy planned for implementation in 2027, various opinions proposed by the National Assembly, as well as those from experts, industry professionals, and relevant stakeholders, will be widely collected. South Korean lawmaker Kim Sang-hoon questioned that several months before the implementation of the virtual asset taxation, the relevant infrastructure is still not fully developed, including insufficient tracking and verification capabilities for trading records on overseas exchanges, DEX, DeFi, and other platforms.Regarding the expected tax revenue scale from virtual asset taxation, Lee Hyeong-ryeol stated that there are indeed parts that are "difficult to accurately grasp." Since taxation requires obtaining taxpayer declaration data first, further tax estimation can only be conducted after the relevant declaration system is launched next year, and a careful evaluation of the related policies will be carried out.

Bitcoin analyst Willy Woo stated on platform X that approximately 5% of the global population holds Bitcoin, while about 8% of countries have established policies for purchasing or holding Bitcoin.In a follow-up response, he added that around 12% of countries actually hold Bitcoin and distinguished between actual holdings and the proactive establishment of policies for purchasing and holding.

The British pound fell to a 12-week low against the US dollar due to the Bank of England's cautious stance on interest rate hikes, contrasting with the Federal Reserve's tightening policy.The Federal Reserve raised interest rates by 25 basis points last week and hinted at at least one more rate hike this year, strengthening the dollar. The Bank of England kept rates unchanged last week, causing the pound to drop by as much as 0.6%, reaching a low of 1.326 dollars.

According to the Citi Research podcast, Citi's Global Macro Strategy Head Dirk Willer and the Head of Quantitative Global Macro and Asset Allocation Team Alex Saunders engaged in an in-depth discussion about recent market dynamics. The two strategists pointed out that most central banks currently maintain a hawkish stance, but the Bank of Japan unexpectedly released dovish signals, which have a key impact on the USDJPY trend.Meanwhile, Bitcoin has shown a significant rebound recently, which may indicate a new round of changes in digital asset investment strategies in 2026, as institutional investors' interest in the crypto market continues to rise.

According to Business Insider, Google has adjusted its internal policies to allow engineers across the company to use the Anthropic Claude model, including Anthropic Opus 5, through the internal development platform Antigravity. Google stated that Gemini remains the primary foundational model developed internally by the company, while third-party models like Claude will be provided according to user quotas, mainly for specific scenarios, as a supplement to Gemini.Previously, access to Claude was mainly granted to the Google DeepMind team and some high-priority project employees. Reports indicate that despite Google launching the Flash 3.8 model, its coding capabilities are still considered by some employees to lag behind those of Anthropic and OpenAI. Meanwhile, Google has also announced plans to invest up to $40 billion in Anthropic.

On August 20, CZ retweeted his views on Hyperliquid's introduction to the United States and stated that many people overlook the bigger picture. Policies cannot apply only to a single company or project; a favorable policy benefits the entire industry.Previously, CZ commented on "the Trump administration potentially introducing Hyperliquid to the United States in a compliant and legal manner," stating that this would open up more Perp DEX and decentralized services to U.S. users, which would be a significant boon for the entire industry.

According to Jinshi reports, sources say that Syria has agreed to significantly reduce its oil imports from Russia to align with the United States lifting its designation of Syria as a "state sponsor of terrorism."

According to Jinshi reports, Paul Zangieri, a senior economist at Prudential Investment, is closely monitoring the communication wording of the Federal Reserve. It is expected that the FOMC will "maintain or even strengthen its hawkish tone," as ongoing inflation, rising oil prices, and internal disagreements within the FOMC open the door for further tightening of policies later this year.

According to Jinshi reports, the Bank of Korea stated that inflation will exceed the target in the second half of the year, so it is necessary to maintain a tight policy stance.

According to The Wall Street Journal, Coinbase Chief Legal Officer Paul Grewal stated that Coinbase has reached a settlement with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission regarding a Freedom of Information Act lawsuit, with the SEC agreeing to pay $150,000 and amend its record-keeping policies. The lawsuit revealed that the SEC lost nearly a year’s worth of communications from former Chairman Gary Gensler and other senior officials during the peak enforcement period in the cryptocurrency industry.Coinbase had previously requested documents from the SEC regarding how it applies securities laws to digital assets, but the request was denied, leading to a lawsuit that received court support. The SEC claimed that some text messages were lost due to an automatic data deletion process. Grewal pointed out that the SEC has imposed billions of dollars in fines on financial institutions for similar record-keeping issues.In February of this year, Coinbase also reached a settlement with the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation regarding another Freedom of Information Act lawsuit. Coinbase stated that this lawsuit revealed that the FDIC had instructed nearly twenty banks to suspend cryptocurrency-related activities since 2022, which subsequently led to congressional hearings and resulted in a court ruling that the FDIC violated federal law.Grewal stated that both lawsuits revolve around government transparency and due process, emphasizing that the American public has the right to know whether regulatory agencies are restricting legitimate cryptocurrency businesses from accessing banking services through non-public means.

According to CoinDesk, major lobbying organizations in the U.S. cryptocurrency industry jointly sent a letter to the House Ways and Means Committee, urging the advancement of the "Tax Clarity for Mining and Staking Act," advocating for tax treatment options for cryptocurrency miners and staking income recipients. The bill was introduced by Republican Congressman Mike Carey, and its core content allows taxpayers to choose the timing of taxation when they receive new mining or staking assets—either paying taxes at the time the assets are generated or deferring taxes until the final sale.Industry associations, including the Blockchain Association, Digital Chamber, and Crypto Council for Innovation, have expressed support, arguing that the current tax system may force users participating in network security maintenance to bear tax burdens before they have realized the assets. Supporters claim that the proposal does not provide "indefinite deferral," but rather avoids immediate taxation on income that has not yet realized liquidity, thereby alleviating cash flow pressure on miners and validators.However, Democratic lawmakers and some external critics are concerned that this mechanism could be exploited by large mining companies for long-term tax deferral, especially in the context of some publicly listed or politically connected companies participating in mining operations, raising potential policy arbitrage disputes. Meanwhile, the industry's focus remains on the broader "Digital Asset Market Structure Act" (Clarity Act), but tax issues have become the second key battleground, expected to continue advancing in tandem with regulatory framework legislation in the coming weeks.

According to Jinshi, multiple institutions have significant disagreements regarding the future policy direction of the Federal Reserve. Goldman Sachs believes that if inflation does not cool down, the Federal Reserve may raise interest rates in September or in the fall, while Huatai Securities expects rates to remain unchanged in September, with the probability of a rate hike by the end of the year close to 50%. Regarding rate cuts, Nordea Bank believes that cuts may be delayed until 2027, while Citigroup expects cuts in 2026. Other institutions such as JPMorgan Chase and CITIC Securities tend to favor maintaining the current policy.