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According to Bitcoin Magazine, Galaxy Research has lowered the probability of the passage of the CLARITY Act in 2026 from 60% three weeks ago to 50%, due to the increasingly tight Senate schedule, the lack of a published merged text for the bill, no scheduled votes, and no public commitment from leadership. The bill has been listed as item 423 on the legislative calendar since it passed the Senate Banking Committee on May 14 with a vote of 15-9, but no motion to advance it has been scheduled to date.The report indicates that the Senate must announce a schedule by early July to complete voting before the August recess; otherwise, it will be postponed until September, when the upcoming midterm elections will make controversial votes harder to arrange. Priority legislation such as FISA Section 702 and the NDAA occupies a significant amount of time, and Trump's veto of the housing bill further exacerbates scheduling pressures.The substantive content of the bill has not yet been fully resolved, and ethical provisions remain a core controversy, with at least two Republican senators expected to vote against it, making Democratic support essential. The report suggests that if leadership clarifies a commitment to vote in July within the next two weeks, the probability of passage will rise to 60% or higher; if there is continued lack of progress, it will be further lowered.

According to official news, the ForeGate supercomputing database, in collaboration with football legend Michael Owen, OneBullEx, OKX, and WEEX, has officially released the "ForeGate 2026 World Cup Winning Guide" match research report.This report focuses on the progress of the 2026 World Cup schedule in the US, Canada, and Mexico, conducting a systematic analysis of the qualification probabilities, advancement paths, championship probabilities, win-draw-loss trends, and betting tendencies of the 48 participating teams. The report combines the ForeGate AI prediction model with OKX data path simulations and continuously updates based on real-time match results, team conditions, and potential matchup changes. Currently, the comprehensive prediction accuracy of the related models has reached 93.8%, demonstrating strong data analysis capabilities in aspects such as match result response, point calibration, and advancement path judgment.ForeGate stated that during the World Cup, it will continuously update prediction content based on match results, team conditions, and model simulation results to help users understand the probabilistic logic behind schedule changes. Meanwhile, the ForeGate World Cup million-dollar prediction event is also in full swing, where users can participate in match predictions to share in the million-dollar rewards.As the World Cup schedule continues to progress, OneBullEx will combine the match data and related content from the report to keep a close eye on the dynamics of the matches, further enriching community participation and match discussions during the World Cup, providing users with more reference perspectives for observing match trends.

Grayscale Research's research director Zach Pandl stated that rather than raising the STRC preferred stock dividend yield by 50 basis points, it would be better to sell over $3 billion in Bitcoin to meet cash payment obligations and restore market confidence. As an institutional researcher, Zach Pandl publicly suggested that Strategy's sale of over $3 billion in BTC has certain indicative significance.If Strategy ultimately implements a large-scale sale, it will bring considerable selling pressure to the market and may weaken the narrative of companies continuously hoarding Bitcoin. This viewpoint also reflects market concerns about Strategy's capital structure and its heavy reliance on the sustainability of its Bitcoin balance sheet. Attention should be paid to Strategy's official response and whether there are actual Bitcoin transfers in its on-chain wallet.

The founder of [Oasis Labs](https://www.rootdata.com/zh/Projects/detail/Oasis Network?k=MjU3 "Decentralized Layer 1 network based on PoS consensus"), Dawn Song, co-founder of Virtue AI, announced on the X platform that she will join Meta Superintelligence Labs (MSL) as Vice President of Artificial Intelligence Research, along with several members of the Virtue AI team. She stated that she will participate in promoting Meta's work in the field of AI safety and AI safety protection, focusing on enhancing the security, reliability, and usability of cutting-edge AI models and agent systems.

L2BEAT researcher @sergeyshemyakov posted on the X platform that Tornado Cash had a suspicious DAO proposal on June 25, which targets an unverified contract. This is highly unusual in Tornado Cash DAO proposals and suggests that the proposal should be considered malicious. The address of the proposal creator received funding through Railgun 4 days ago. If the proposal is passed and executed, the governance contract will make a delegatecall to the target contract. sergeyshemyakov stated that the Tornado Cash liquidity pool itself is safe, but the proposal may directly target the Tornado Cash DAO, which currently holds TORN tokens worth approximately $23 million.

According to Cointelegraph, a study based on 857,000 active users of Polymarket shows that about 60% of users who placed their first bets during the World Cup had never interacted with blockchain protocols before.Alvin Kan, Chief Operating Officer of Bitget Wallet, stated that prediction markets have changed the traditional logic for crypto users to get involved—users no longer need to understand blockchain technology first, but can participate directly because they have opinions on real-world events. This has made prediction markets a new entry point for some users into the crypto space.Data shows that the trading volume of Polymarket's World Cup champion contracts has exceeded $3.1 billion, with sports contracts contributing over $4.9 billion in trading volume to Polymarket in the past 30 days, and reaching $8.5 billion on Kalshi, becoming the main trading category on both platforms.

According to The Block, since June 2026, the Google search volume related to "stablecoins" has dropped to 31, a significant decline from 98 in May and down over 69% from the historical peak of 100 in August 2025. Even if the current trend is annualized, the search volume in June is only about 45, with a month-on-month decline of approximately 54%.At the same time, the total supply of global stablecoins has fallen by about $5 billion after reaching a peak of around $300 billion in early June, with a cumulative growth of only 0.23% this year, far below the growth rates of 56% in 2024 and 46% in 2025.The report points out that the peak in search volume in August 2025 coincided closely with the advancement of the GENIUS Act and announcements from institutions like Stripe, Visa, and Mastercard regarding the issuance of stablecoins. The current decline in both search volume and supply indicates that 2025 may have been the stage for large-scale retail user adoption, and there is currently no new large-scale retail incremental capital flowing in at the same cost.

According to PR Newswire, AI Agent infrastructure company Sail Research announced the completion of $80 million in seed and Series A financing, led by Kleiner Perkins and Sequoia Capital, with participation from Redpoint Ventures, CRV, Theory Ventures, and others.Sail Research focuses on building infrastructure for AI Agents, aiming to address the computational power, cost, and operational limitations of current artificial intelligence systems in long-duration, multi-step tasks. Its API is compatible with OpenAI interfaces and supports mainstream open-source models such as DeepSeek and Gemma.

According to Gate market data, the stock price of Strategy has fallen below 100 dollars, reaching a new low since March 2024, currently reported at 99.4 dollars, with a decline of over 4%.

According to Jinshi reports, BCA Research has raised its target for the S&P 500 index at the end of 2026 to 8,100 points, up from the previous target of 7,700 points.

The cryptocurrency trading platform SuperEx announced that Arcium (ARX) will be launched in the innovation zone, and spot trading for ARX/USDT will officially open at 11:00 Beijing time on June 24, 2026. Currently, the recharge channel for this token has been opened, and withdrawal services will be available soon.In addition, ARX has now been included in the support range for the platform's all-currency contract margin. It is reported that Arcium is a decentralized network focused on trustless computation of all cryptocurrency data, aiming to provide encrypted shared states and encrypted computing capabilities for applications in fields such as blockchain and artificial intelligence through its underlying technology, the Cerberus MPC protocol.

10x Research released the latest market report indicating that Bitcoin traders have long misunderstood the indicators of "global money supply" and "global liquidity," while the trend of the US dollar is one of the important factors affecting Bitcoin prices. 10x Research pointed out that the US dollar is currently strengthening from multiple dimensions, and historical experience shows that a strong dollar is usually unfavorable for Bitcoin. Its dollar model has only triggered 6 sell signals since 2011, with the last one occurring in November 2025, followed by several months of continuous decline in Bitcoin prices.The report also stated that the global liquidity indicator, which circulated widely in the crypto community last year, was misused by the market. According to its research framework, this indicator issued a buy signal in early March this year and a sell signal at the end of April, and the team has calculated the next possible triggering time window. 10x Research stated that the report combines the trend of the US dollar, global liquidity, and other macro driving factors to analyze the potential time and value ranges for the low point of this bear market, and believes that the time window corresponding to the low point of Bitcoin's current cycle is gradually approaching.

On Monday, U.S. President Trump signed two executive orders aimed at accelerating the development of U.S. quantum computing capabilities and advancing the government's transition to post-quantum cryptography. Although the executive orders did not directly mention Bitcoin, industry insiders believe this could benefit the blockchain's post-quantum security research and development.The two executive orders focus on defending against advanced cryptographic attacks and promoting cutting-edge quantum innovation. They include a clear timeline: to advance the construction of quantum sensors by September 2028 and require federal high-value assets and high-impact systems to complete the transition to post-quantum cryptography by the end of 2031. Project Eleven CEO Alex Pruden stated that this means the U.S. government will invest time and resources to achieve post-quantum security goals and may extend related requirements to the entire federal contractor system, not just limited to government agencies, thereby accelerating the implementation of post-quantum cryptographic technology.At the time of this policy announcement, the blockchain industry’s concern about quantum threats continues to rise. Organizations like the Ethereum Foundation and the Solana Foundation have begun advancing post-quantum security research and development, while the Bitcoin community is also discussing potential risks. Some publicly exposed Bitcoin addresses are believed to face the risk of private keys being derived once powerful quantum computers emerge in the future. Pruden pointed out that this executive order clearly sets the deadline for adopting post-quantum cryptography as 2031, which is more binding than the previous guidance from the U.S. government that proposed phasing out traditional cryptographic systems by 2035. For Bitcoin and the broader cryptocurrency industry, government investment in post-quantum security may accelerate the maturity of related tools, standards, and migration paths.

According to Jinshi reports, Barclays has set the 2027 S&P 500 index target at 8,800 points.

According to Jinshi reports, Barclays has raised its target for the S&P 500 index at the end of 2026 to 7,800 points, up from the previous target of 7,650 points.

UPBIT will launch trading for Arcium (ARX) on June 23 at 14:00, supporting KRW, BTC, and USDT markets. Users can make deposits within 2 hours after the announcement is released. For specific trading information, please pay attention to subsequent announcements.