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HTX Research Analyst WZ: The pricing of the cryptocurrency market is extending outward, with regulation and macro liquidity becoming key variables

In the seventh live broadcast of the Huobi Expert Lecture, HTX Research asset analyst WZ pointed out that in the past, people were accustomed to explaining Crypto with Crypto, but today, the variables that determine the next phase of Crypto are increasingly occurring outside of Crypto. This marks a new pricing cycle that Crypto is entering.On the policy level, WZ believes that although the Clarity Act, which has systematic characteristics, is hindered in the Senate due to the need to secure bipartisan votes and issues involving the Trump family's interests and stablecoin profit distribution, U.S. crypto regulation has not stalled. For instance, the SEC recently released an "innovation exemption" plan that allows compliant institutions meeting certain conditions to tokenize specific stocks, accelerating the integration of traditional finance and crypto.On the macro level, WZ stated that the situation in the Middle East and the blockage risk in the Strait of Hormuz have raised the "risk premium" of crude oil. Rising oil prices can trigger inflation expectations, which in turn affect U.S. Treasury yields and global liquidity. When energy prices remain high and interest rates stay elevated, the upward potential for risk assets like Bitcoin may be constrained.WZ also pointed out that in this cycle, the direct inflow and outflow of ETF funds have changed the traditional logic of capital overflow, making a "general rise" pattern for altcoins difficult to achieve. However, in the new cycle, assets with a "new narrative" and strong consensus will still experience independent upward trends.

Huobi HTX Chief Analyst Cloud: Bitcoin's rebound has seen spot buying support, and its sustainability depends on ETF inflows and leverage temperature

Huobi HTX Chief Analyst Cloud stated that Bitcoin quickly rebounded after hitting the bottom under the dual pressure of interest rate hikes and the obstruction of the Clear Act, with a weekly increase of about 16%, rising to $87,307 during trading on September 21 (Huobi HTX spot price), reaching a new high since January. This round of increase is driven by three forces: the net inflow of about $1 billion into the U.S. spot Bitcoin ETF on September 21, the largest single day of the year; short positions being liquidated for about $650 million within 24 hours; and falling oil prices leading to a cooling of inflation expectations. Compared to last week's rebound, which was mainly driven by passive replenishment, this week saw a relay of spot buying.Whether the trend can continue depends on two points: whether ETF inflows can shift from a single-day pulse to a continuous trend, and whether leverage can be maintained at a non-overheated level. Currently, the funding rate is about 0.01%, in a neutral range, but the open interest of Bitcoin contracts has risen above $61 billion. If the capital weakens, high leverage will amplify the pullback. Market sentiment has entered an extreme greed zone, which historically has often been a precursor signal for short-term trend reversals. Technically, $87,500 is the resistance above, while the first support zone is between $84,000 and $85,000. The trend has conditions for continuation, but the highest risk of short-term volatility also occurs during the hottest phase of sentiment.Note: The content of this article is not investment advice and does not constitute any offer, solicitation, or recommendation of investment products.
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