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According to Jinshi reports, CME's "FedWatch" shows that the probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in July is 70.1%, while the probability of a cumulative rate hike of 25 basis points is 29.9%. By September, the probability of keeping interest rates unchanged drops to 37.2%, while the probability of a cumulative rate hike of 25 basis points rises to 48.8%, and the probability of a cumulative rate hike of 50 basis points is 14.1%.

According to Jinshi reports, the US dollar index fell on the 29th, decreasing by 0.25% that day, closing at 101.105 in the foreign exchange market. 1 euro exchanged for 1.1425 US dollars, higher than the previous trading day's 1.1386 US dollars; 1 pound exchanged for 1.3257 US dollars, higher than the previous trading day's 1.32 US dollars; 1 US dollar exchanged for 161.97 Japanese yen, higher than the previous trading day's 161.74 Japanese yen; 1 US dollar exchanged for 0.8075 Swiss francs, lower than the previous trading day's 0.8097 Swiss francs; 1 US dollar exchanged for 1.4203 Canadian dollars, higher than the previous trading day's 1.4192 Canadian dollars; 1 US dollar exchanged for 9.7084 Swedish kronor, lower than the previous trading day's 9.7409 Swedish kronor.

According to monitoring by Catcher Predict, in the "Netherlands vs. Morocco more markets" event on the prediction market Polymarket, the "Yes" option for the sub-market "Will the match go to a penalty shootout" experienced a sharp fluctuation in winning probability, dropping from 50% an hour ago to the current 16% (a fluctuation of 34%). Please note the impact of related breaking news.

According to Gate market data, U.S. stocks closed higher on Monday, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average initially up 0.59%, the S&P 500 index up 1.1%, and the Nasdaq up 2.07%. Western Digital (WDC.O) rose 11%, Seagate Technology (STX.O) rose over 7%, SpaceX (SPCX.O) rose 7%, Micron Technology (MU.O) rose 1%, and NVIDIA (NVDA.O) rose 1%. The Nasdaq China Golden Dragon Index closed up 1.4%, with Baidu (BIDU.O) rising over 7%.

According to on-chain data monitored by Catcher Predict, significant capital movements are predicted in the Polymarket market. A large whale has made a single purchase of $284,490 on the "Germany vs. Paraguay - More Markets" event, targeting the "Advancing Team." Based on the current transaction price, the latest corresponding winning probability for this target is 87%.

According to monitoring by Catcher Predict, in the event "NBA Free Agency Market: Ayo Dosunmu's Next Team" on the prediction market Polymarket, the "Yes" option for the sub-market "Charlotte Hornets" has experienced a dramatic fluctuation in winning probability, soaring from 0.25% an hour ago to the current 43.35% (a fluctuation of 43.1%). Please note the impact of related breaking news.

According to Coinglass data, on June 30 at 02:00, 33 million USDT was monitored being transferred from Binance to an unknown wallet.

According to Jinshi reports, NVIDIA announced that Anthropic's Claude series models are now available on Microsoft's Azure NVIDIA GB300 Blackwell Ultra platform.

According to Coinglass data, in the past 24 hours, the total liquidation across the network was $315 million, with long positions liquidated at $218 million and short positions liquidated at $97.38 million. Among them, Bitcoin long positions were liquidated at $82.18 million, Bitcoin short positions at $36.73 million, Ethereum long positions at $45.27 million, and Ethereum short positions at $18.44 million.In addition, in the last 24 hours, a total of 84,288 people were liquidated globally, with the largest single liquidation occurring on Binance - ETHUSDT worth $8.5743 million.

According to on-chain data monitored by Catcher Predict, significant capital movements are predicted in the Polymarket market. A large whale invested $62,604.81 in the "Brazil vs Japan - More Markets" event, specifically on "O/U 2.5". Based on the current transaction price, the latest corresponding winning probability for this bet is 57%.

According to the official announcement, Binance Futures will adjust the contract amount of the CRWDUSDT U-based perpetual contract on July 2, 2026, at 08:00. The underlying asset of this contract will undergo a 1-for-4 stock split plan, with the adjustment expected to be completed on the same day at 21:30.During the adjustment period, the contract will be in a suspended state, all pending orders will be canceled, and trading functionality will resume at 21:35.

The chat application XChat under X has been launched on the Google Store, allowing users to directly chat privately with X friends after installation.Previously, XChat was launched on the App Store on April 25.

According to Hyperbot data, Huang Licheng has just slightly reduced his position in the 25x leveraged Ethereum long, currently holding 1200 ETH. The liquidation price is reported at $1553, and the current investment return rate has turned positive, reported at 0.53%.

According to The Block, Binance founder Zhao Changpeng stated that the MiCA license application submitted by Binance in Greece fully complied with regulatory requirements and was close to approval before being withdrawn, but ultimately the process was interrupted due to "external political factors."In an interview, Zhao Changpeng mentioned that several countries within the EU had expressed interest in the license, and there was even a certain degree of "competitive pursuit," but the regulatory progress was ultimately affected by non-regulatory factors, forcing the application to be withdrawn. Binance officially withdrew its application in Greece last week and stated that it would turn to other EU member states to continue pursuing MiCA authorization.In response to market rumors regarding his connections with high-level EU politicians, Zhao Changpeng stated that he had not seen any verifiable documents and only saw similar claims online, which he did not confirm. Zhao Changpeng also pointed out that the EU MiCA transition period will officially end on July 1, at which time platforms that have not obtained licenses must cease related services. Regulatory agencies in various countries have made it clear that they will not postpone enforcement, and they evaluate this outcome as a "lose-lose situation," using the regulatory processes in Japan and Singapore as examples to emphasize that compliance processes often require a longer period.Additionally, when discussing Strategy's STRC preferred stock product, Zhao Changpeng stated that its structure is "too complex" and expressed difficulty in fully understanding its mechanism, but emphasized that he does not comment on the credibility of its founder Michael Saylor, considering him a "staunch supporter of Bitcoin."

According to monitoring by Catcher Predict, in the event predicting the number of tweets by "Elon Musk from June 23 to June 30, 2026" on the Polymarket, the "Yes" option in the sub-market "260-279" has experienced significant fluctuations in winning probability, soaring from 9.15% an hour ago to the current 25.85% (a fluctuation of 16.7%). Please note the impact of related breaking news.

According to Jinshi, U.S. President Trump stated that the Supreme Court remanded the case regarding the qualifications of Federal Reserve Board member Cook to a lower court solely on procedural grounds. He emphasized that appropriate action would be taken immediately to ensure that those who have committed misconduct do not continue to make decisions on significant matters concerning the welfare of the United States.

According to the latest report from Tiger Research, as of June 18, 2026, the number of active job openings in the cryptocurrency industry is only 2,932, a significant decrease of over 97% from the estimated peak of about 130,000 in 2022.The report shows that the wave of layoffs in the cryptocurrency industry continues in the first half of 2026. March was the month with the highest concentration of layoffs, with several companies including Gemini, Crypto.com, Algorand, OP Labs, PIP Labs, and Messari announcing layoffs at the same time. Some companies were acquired at low prices after multiple rounds of layoffs; for example, Messari was acquired by Blockworks for about $10 million in June 2026 after experiencing three rounds of layoffs, while its previous valuation had reached $300 million.In terms of recruitment structure, positions in centralized exchanges (CEX) account for the highest proportion, reaching 30.8% (904 positions), mainly contributed by OKX, Bybit, and Binance. The stablecoin and payment sector accounts for 13.4%, but is highly concentrated in two companies, Tether and Ripple.In addition, the demand for AI skills in job postings continues to rise, with the proportion of cryptocurrency job postings mentioning artificial intelligence skills increasing from 23% in early 2025 to 53.1% in March 2026.

According to monitoring by Catcher Predict, in the market prediction event "2026 Wimbledon Men's Singles Champion" on Polymarket, the "Yes" option for the sub-market "Jannik Sinner" has experienced a dramatic fluctuation in win probability, dropping from 58% an hour ago to the current 43% (a fluctuation of 15%). Please note the impact of relevant breaking news.

According to CoinDesk, blockchain analysis company Chainalysis has released a new methodological proposal aimed at establishing a unified on-chain fund tracking standard framework for law enforcement agencies and investigators, to identify address clusters and determine their possible control relationships.The proposal defines the on-chain analysis structure in the form of "ontology," focusing on systematically breaking down the currently unstandardized concept of "cluster" in the industry into wallet segments and functional roles, and describing on-chain relationships through a two-layer structure: the first layer defines the transaction graph structure, and the second layer assesses inference confidence.Chainalysis stated that the framework aims to enhance the interpretability and legal applicability of on-chain forensic methods, and is designed and validated based on its practical experience in relevant cases within the U.S. Department of Justice, including the analytical application in the mixing service Bitcoin Fog case.The company's Chief Scientist Jacob Illum pointed out that the goal of the proposal is to answer "on what evidence basis can these addresses be considered to belong to the same entity," while emphasizing that on-chain analysis itself cannot directly identify the ultimate user identity and still requires legal investigative methods combined with centralized entities such as exchanges.Chainalysis indicated that the standard proposal is currently open for discussion within the industry, hoping to promote the formation of more unified technical specifications for on-chain analysis methods in the fields of law enforcement and compliance.

According to SoSoValue data, as of 8 AM Eastern Time on June 29, 2026, the total net purchase of Bitcoin by global listed companies (excluding mining companies) for the week was $14.65 million, a decrease of 83% compared to last week.Strategy (formerly MicroStrategy) did not purchase Bitcoin last week. At the same time, Strategy announced two securities repurchase plans, each up to $1 billion, targeting Class A common stock and digital credit preferred stock led by STRC, with an annual dividend yield of 8% to 10%, aiming to optimize the capital structure without consuming existing dollar reserves. To fund the aforementioned repurchases and support daily capital expenditures, the board also approved a Bitcoin liquidation plan, allowing the company to generate up to $1.25 billion in additional revenue by selling Bitcoin to replenish dollar reserves, and to pay maturing preferred stock dividends and interest expenses (or to replenish dollar reserves after such payments) when management deems it more beneficial than issuing Class A common stock or other capital market transactions, as well as to provide additional funding support for the two repurchase plans (including related taxes and transaction fees). Although this move by MicroStrategy releases the liquidation authorization, it currently serves only as a reserve shield for repurchases, with actual "momentum not sold"; its core logic has shifted from the initial "aggressive expansion of the balance sheet" to the refined operational phase of "utilizing crypto assets to optimize equity capital structure and reduce the capital cost generated by high-yield stocks."The Japanese listed company Metaplanet did not purchase Bitcoin last week, marking ten consecutive weeks without purchases.In addition, two other companies purchased Bitcoin last week. Hong Kong's global digital health, consumer goods sales, and artificial intelligence computing power technology group CIMG announced that it has just completed the first phase of a large stock and warrant issuance, receiving $13.5 million paid in Bitcoin (207.7 Bitcoins at an average price of $65,000), bringing its total holdings to 937.7 Bitcoins; Brazilian Bitcoin company OrangeBTC announced on June 29 that it invested $4.9 million to purchase 74 Bitcoins at a price of $66,233, bringing its total holdings to 3,896 Bitcoins.As of the time of writing, the total amount of Bitcoin held by the global listed companies (excluding mining companies) in the statistics is 1,142,484 Bitcoins, an increase of 0.02% compared to last week, with a current market value of approximately $6.852 billion, accounting for 5.7% of Bitcoin's circulating market value.