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first_img Zhao Changpeng: The adoption rate of cryptocurrency may take 5 to 10 years to reach 20%, and there is currently insufficient innovation in the retail sector

During a speech at the Oxford Union, Binance founder Changpeng Zhao mentioned that the adoption process of cryptocurrency is slow but irreversible. He estimates that it may take 5 to 10 years for the cryptocurrency adoption rate to reach 20%, while the middle 60% to 80% may take another 10 to 20 years, and the final 20% could take a long time. The initial phase is filled with skepticism, accelerating after surpassing 20%, and slowing down after exceeding 80%.He pointed out that in the past two years, many governments around the world have shown a significant change in their attitude towards cryptocurrency. The United States has shifted to a crypto-friendly stance, with other countries following suit. However, the upgrade of the financial system is slow, and large institutions exhibit inertia, leading to significant friction for banks to directly access blockchain.Currently, innovation in retail payment and daily use cases is still lacking. Many projects are just getting started and will need another year or two, while on the institutional side, ETFs, tokenized stocks, and stablecoins are on the rise. Different cycles focus on different aspects, shifting from early Bitcoin and ICOs to meme coins, and recently turning towards institutional adoption. He remains optimistic about this and is willing to fund developers.

Zhao Changpeng calls for the cryptocurrency industry to establish a security alliance to share defense experiences

Binance founder Zhao Changpeng responded for the first time to the incident of approximately $6.3 billion being stolen from Binance during an interview with Talking Tokens, stating that all hacking attacks are preventable and that a long period without security incidents can lead to complacency in enterprises.He pointed out that the frequency of hacking attacks on cryptocurrency exchanges has risen from about once a month to almost once a week, with AI accelerating the development of attack capabilities, while the industry's defensive capabilities have not kept pace. He called for the cryptocurrency industry to form a security alliance to share best security practices, conduct cross-audits, and achieve rapid coordination in freezing stolen funds, expressing hope to promote the establishment of this alliance.Regarding government cooperation, Zhao Changpeng stated that there has been no communication with Trump or Washington regarding this incident, but he hopes to receive assistance from the U.S. government. He also mentioned that when it comes to communication with North Korea, perhaps only the U.S. and China have the necessary conditions. Speaking about market reactions,Zhao Changpeng noted that on the day Binance was attacked, the decline in the cryptocurrency market was less than that of tech stocks, a situation that is almost unheard of. He believes this is due to Binance's prompt confirmation of user fund security and its ability to provide full compensation.He also revealed that less than 10% of the stolen funds flowed to other centralized exchanges; recently, some hardware wallets have also been attacked, and some users have returned their funds to Binance after comparing the security situations of different platforms. Binance switched from net outflow to net inflow within less than 24 hours based on hourly statistics.Regarding the future of the industry, Zhao Changpeng believes that AI will enhance the security of the cryptocurrency industry and software systems in the medium to long term, and may even detect vulnerabilities in blockchain software before quantum computing can crack the existing encryption systems. At the same time, AI will drive trading speeds far beyond current levels, and blockchain may become the only financial technology capable of supporting such trading speeds. He also reminded retail investors to strengthen the use of asset protection tools and to continuously pay attention to industry security dynamics.

Zhao Changpeng: It is expected that the bull market will drive more capital inflow, and retail investors are advised to actively learn about asset security protection

Binance founder Changpeng Zhao stated in an interview, "Typically, after an attack event, some users do choose to withdraw their funds. Some large institutions are required by internal policies to withdraw funds, and some retail investors may follow suit.However, after withdrawing, users face another question: where is it safer to store their money? I personally have not suffered any financial losses on Binance because Binance has absorbed the losses caused by this incident. This event is indeed frightening, but the question is, where can I transfer my funds? Recently, several hardware wallets have also been attacked, including one supply chain attack and another involving the mnemonic phrase generation process. This means that even if users make no operational mistakes and strictly follow all security protocols, purchasing hardware wallets and generating mnemonic phrases, they could still lose all their funds five years later without any fault, and no institution will bear the losses.The first wave of impact has already occurred, and Binance has also been attacked and completed repairs. Next, the second wave of impact may affect smaller platforms, which may not necessarily be more secure. Therefore, some users may initially choose to withdraw, but later realize that they need to manage their mnemonic phrases and store their assets themselves. In fact, less than 10% of the funds flowed to other centralized trading platforms, which means that most of the funds may have been transferred to users' own self-custody wallets. However, using self-custody wallets is not without risks. Users must properly back up their mnemonic phrases and ensure they do not get lost or damaged.In fact, most losses suffered by users when self-custodying assets are not even caused by hacker attacks. Therefore, after weighing their options, users may reconsider depositing their funds back into trading platforms. In fact, within less than 24 hours, we have already seen a change in fund flows. I also saw a tweet earlier showing that the fund flow statistics for the platform have turned into a net inflow on an hourly basis, which actually reflects the strength of the platform and users' trust in it. I believe that in the coming weeks and even months, fund flows will continue to fluctuate. As we mentioned before, if the market re-enters a bull market, we will see more funds flowing in.I believe there are many aspects that need attention. First, the speed of technological development is very fast, especially AI, which is growing at an astonishing rate, and the trend of exponential growth even exceeds people's understanding. Secondly, I believe that the entire cryptocurrency industry is still under-invested in the security field. Frankly speaking, many AI security tools are not yet truly applied in the industry.Therefore, I encourage all practitioners to increase their investment in these areas, including increasing the number of security engineers, introducing more AI tools, and closely collaborating with AI security service providers. I believe these are crucial. For ordinary users, what we call retail investors, I suggest everyone actively learn about different security tools, understand how to protect their assets, and closely follow industry trends and relevant news. Especially at this current stage, all of this is very important."

Zhao Changpeng: Binance quickly responded to the attack incident to prevent panic from spreading, and user trust in the platform is quite solid

Binance founder Zhao Changpeng stated in an interview, "After the attack incident, Binance quickly stepped up to clarify that user funds were not affected and user assets are safe. Although this is just a very simple statement, it effectively prevented panic from spreading further and avoided a chain reaction.Everyone understands that this incident will not have further spillover effects. Unlike previous cases where some platforms or lending protocols went bankrupt, ultimately causing users to bear losses, this time users will not be forced to bear related losses. This is fundamentally different from some past events, which often triggered second and third rounds of chain reactions. I believe that, first, this statement calmed everyone down. Secondly, Binance's ability to make such a commitment based on its own credibility also made users willing to believe this statement. After all, many fund flows and transaction records on the blockchain are public and transparent.However, this situation is different; users understand that Binance has sufficient financial strength to bear related losses. Binance has the SAFU (Secure Asset Fund for Users), a futures insurance fund, as well as very strong capital strength and a solid balance sheet. It is this ability to respond quickly, take responsibility proactively, and ensure that all users are protected and all losses are compensated that has gradually restored calm to the market.One interesting point: on the day of the incident, the decline in the cryptocurrency market was actually smaller than that of the tech stock market, a situation that is almost unprecedented. Typically, when the stock market declines, the crypto market often experiences a larger drop, as investors looking to hold cash tend to sell off crypto assets. But this time, even with such a severe hacking attack on the crypto industry, the market decline was smaller. I believe this indicates that investors overall remained quite calm, and it reflects the solid trust in the platform that has been gradually built over the years. I feel very proud of this."

Zhao Changpeng: It is expected that the frequency of hacker attacks will further increase, and AI technology must be utilized more to strengthen defenses

Binance founder Zhao Changpeng stated in an interview, "The theft incident seems to never happen until it actually does, right? But often just before something happens, you overlook some details. Therefore, as long as you invest enough energy and attention, every security incident can actually be avoided. I believe we can learn a lot from this.Without sufficient technological application and market adoption, the tech sector may not receive enough investment. Therefore, market demand also needs to grow in sync, and the two must promote each other. We cannot wait until technology reaches 100% maturity to take action, because technology can never achieve absolute maturity; it is always in a process of continuous improvement.The development speed of AI technology is very fast, but it also brings many problems, such as security issues. In the past, we might see a hacking incident every month or so, but now it could happen every week. Just yesterday, four cryptocurrency trading platforms experienced different hacking attacks.I expect that the frequency and speed of hacking attacks will further increase in the future, as attackers are also leveraging AI more. At the same time, we must also utilize AI technology more to strengthen our defenses. To combat a powerful opponent, sometimes you must possess comparable capabilities.Therefore, we actually need to have AI technological capabilities to respond to these threats. So, there is no so-called perfect timing to wait until technology is fully mature and all security issues are resolved before taking action. Technology and security capabilities are always evolving."
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