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JPMorgan: SpaceX's inclusion in the Nasdaq 100 index could bring in $4.3 billion in passive fund inflows

According to Reuters, Nasdaq has confirmed that SpaceX (SPCX) will be included in the Nasdaq 100 Index on July 7, which may bring a wave of passive fund buying for the stock. Inclusion in the index typically boosts stock prices, as ETFs that track the performance of the relevant index need to purchase shares of newly included companies. JPMorgan expects that SpaceX's inclusion in the Nasdaq 100 Index could bring in $4.3 billion in passive fund inflows.SpaceX went public on Nasdaq on June 12. To attract more companies to list in the U.S., Nasdaq and index providers such as FTSE Russell and MSCI have previously relaxed some inclusion requirements, including profitability, days since listing, and the number of tradable shares. SpaceX has fluctuated between significant losses and small profits over the past three years, with a net loss of $4.9 billion last year.Michael Field, Chief Equity Market Strategist at Morningstar, stated, "Clearly, there is strong market demand, which is why they are quickly including it in the index." He added that many people will be satisfied with this, but some fund managers and skeptics may not agree, as Morningstar believes the stock is overvalued. Investors typically gain broader market exposure through funds that track the Nasdaq 100 Index, such as Invesco's QQQ and QQQM. Additionally, large language model companies like OpenAI and Anthropic are also expected to submit IPO applications this year or next and may seek valuations exceeding $1 trillion.However, S&P Global stated this month that it will not adjust the requirements for SpaceX to enter major indices like the S&P 500 and will consider including it in relevant indices only after at least 12 months.

Bitcoin falls below $63,000, possibly due to continuous outflows from ETFs and the expiration of $10.6 billion in options suppressing the market

Bitcoin further declined towards $62,000 on Tuesday, continuing its weak fluctuations under the pressure of six consecutive weeks of outflows from spot ETFs, a shift in macro interest rate expectations towards hawkishness, and the expiration pressure of quarterly options. Ethereum also fell below $1,700 on the same day, with both BTC and ETH retreating nearly 20% over the past 30 days. This week's market pressure mainly comes from two clues. One is that the Federal Reserve maintained interest rates at 3.5% to 3.75% during the FOMC meeting on June 18, but the statement significantly reduced easing language, and the dot plot shifted from previously suggesting rate cuts to indicating rate hikes. Among the 18 officials, 9 have already predicted at least one rate hike this year, and the probability of a rate hike in December has significantly increased compared to a month ago. The second is that geopolitical risks have once again disturbed the market. Previously, expectations of a ceasefire between the U.S. and Iran had pushed Bitcoin above $67,000, but during the signing ceremony on June 19, the situation broke down, and Iran withdrew from negotiations. Due to the 24/7 trading in the crypto market, Bitcoin was the first to reflect this shock. In addition, Deribit will face the expiration of approximately $10.6 billion in options on June 26, which has also intensified the market's wait-and-see sentiment at the end of the quarter. Analysts believe that current leverage has been largely cleared, and market positions are defensive, but the next direction still depends on Thursday's PCE inflation data and whether the capital flow of spot ETFs can turn positive again.
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