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CITIC Construction Investment: Although the logic of AI computing power remains optimistic, volatility has intensified; it is recommended to be cautious in chasing high prices

CITIC Construction Investment Research Report points out that the following factors will determine the trend of the third quarter market: In terms of fundamentals, AI computing power remains at a high level of prosperity, with mid-year performance and overseas financial reports worth paying attention to. At the same time, since April, under pressure from the macro economy, the economic measures from the Politburo meeting in July are quite important; In terms of liquidity, external disturbances have increased, while internal conditions remain neutral; In terms of risk appetite, geopolitical events and the listing of industry giants will cause short-term fluctuations in the market. Considering the global tech stock correlation effect, major overseas computing powers such as Japan, South Korea, and the United States also need to be continuously monitored.In terms of industry allocation, although the logic of AI computing power remains unchanged, volatility has intensified. It is recommended to be cautious about chasing highs and to position during pullbacks; lithium batteries are expected to welcome a peak season, and energy storage demand continues to warm up, while new energy presents opportunities for phased valuation recovery; dividends are expected to rebound from oversold conditions, with relatively high cost-performance ratios. Key areas to focus on: banks, coal, public utilities, AI, optical modules, storage, chips, industrial metals, lithium battery materials (VC), etc.

Caixin: The son of a former official from the Wuhan Supervisory Commission laundered over 64 million Hong Kong dollars in Hong Kong, claiming that part of the funds came from selling Bitcoin

According to Caixin, Xiao Rui, the son of former Wuhan Municipal Supervisory Commission member Xiao Jun, is suspected of receiving approximately HKD 4.72 million in bribes from mainland construction contractors on behalf of his father, and has laundered over HKD 64 million through underground money houses. On June 23, the Hong Kong Regional Court found Xiao Rui guilty of four counts of "money laundering" and one count of "using a false document," with the judge set to announce the sentence on July 23.In 2014, Xiao Rui was approved to reside in Hong Kong. That same year, he used his HSBC account to purchase two funds from Sun Life Financial for HKD 10 million to meet the investment requirements of the aforementioned immigration plan. Between January 2016 and September 2017, Xiao Rui's Standard Chartered and DBS accounts received multiple remittances, totaling over HKD 54 million.Regarding the "money laundering" charges, Xiao Rui argued in court that the large sums involved were legitimate earnings from his mother's business, given to him for investment in Hong Kong, with some funds also coming from the sale of Bitcoin. Concerning the explanation about Bitcoin, the judge rejected his testimony as Xiao Rui could not provide any basic records such as transaction dates, numbers, or wallet addresses.

OpenAI's confidential IPO documents revealed: zero liabilities on the books, off-balance-sheet computing power and infrastructure commitments amounting to $665 billion

According to a report by The Information, the confidential IPO registration draft submitted by OpenAI shows that as of the end of March 2026, OpenAI's balance sheet exhibits "light asset" characteristics, with zero debt on the books and capital expenditures of only $46 million in the first quarter. However, in reality, the company has placed substantial infrastructure expenditures off the books, with future procurement commitments in chips, energy, and data centers reaching up to $665 billion. Financial data indicates that OpenAI's actual net loss in the first quarter was approximately $8.5 billion, with revenue costs amounting to $3.5 billion.Additionally, OpenAI demonstrates a very high characteristic of related-party funding cycles. In the first quarter, 72% of its revenue costs and 45% of total expenditures flowed to related parties (expected to be primarily Microsoft), and it directly used $488 million in equity to settle part of its computing power bills. In the data center joint venture project within its consolidated financial statements, nearly $5 billion in book losses is accounted for as belonging to external partners. The documents also reveal that its main competitor, Anthropic, is similarly engaging in large-scale off-balance-sheet expansion, including $4.5 billion in data center service commitments and $35 billion in chip leasing orders.
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