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Analyst: Ethereum faces downside risk, may drop 20% to $1700

According to Cointelegraph, multiple analysts have pointed out that Ethereum faces downside risks, with ETH potentially dropping another 20% to the $1,700 range. The increase in holdings on trading platforms and the decline in ETF demand are the main sources of pressure.CryptoQuant analyst BorisD noted that from May 5 to May 9, the ETH reserves on Binance surged from 3.36 million to 3.84 million, while the price dropped 7% from $2,390 to $2,260 during the same period. He stated, "This indicates that liquidity is being absorbed and distributed simultaneously. The overall structure still points to dominant downside risks."Another analyst, PelinayPA, shares the same view, believing that any short-term rebound will "be accompanied by high volatility, followed by a continuation of a broader downward trend," and added, "A large amount of ETH continues to flow into trading platforms, creating significant resistance to price increases." The net inflow of ETH to trading platforms surged to 585,000, marking the largest single-day inflow since December 2025—at that time, the ETH price was around $3,000, which subsequently dropped to $1,750 in February this year, a decline of 42%. Such large-scale inflows typically indicate that large holders are offloading.Meanwhile, the demand for spot Ethereum ETFs continues to weaken, recording net outflows for four consecutive days, with a total outflow amounting to $190 million. From a technical perspective, the ETH daily chart shows that the ascending wedge pattern has broken below the support level of $2,280. If the daily closing price confirms a break below, the target will point to the wedge measurement target of $1,725, a 22% drop from the current price, aligning with the macro low on February 6 of this year.Analyst ShangoTrades stated that this breakdown "is starting to become concerning." From a longer-term perspective, analyst CryptoBullGod pointed out that the measurement target for the ETH weekly bear flag pattern is $1,280.

Analysis: Bitcoin is oscillating between favorable regulations and rising yields, with continuous outflows from ETFs putting pressure on prices

According to Decrypt, the price of Bitcoin remains around $80,350, with a short-term increase of only 0.8%, continuing to face pressure after multiple attempts to break through the $82,000 resistance level failed. This range is seen as a combined resistance level of the ETF cost line, the 200-day moving average, and the CME gap filling area. Although the U.S. CLARITY Act has passed the Senate Banking Committee, bringing positive expectations for crypto regulation, institutional funds continue to withdraw.Data shows that the net outflow of the U.S. spot Bitcoin ETF has decreased to an average of -$88 million per day over the past seven days, marking the largest outflow since mid-February. Analysts believe that this round of selling pressure is more about "profit-taking" rather than panic selling. On a macro level, rising U.S. Treasury yields have become a core source of pressure. The yield on the U.S. 10-year Treasury bond has risen to about 4.52%, reaching a 10-month high, while the April CPI has increased by 3.8% year-on-year, the highest level in three years, further delaying market expectations for a Federal Reserve interest rate cut.Analysts point out that geopolitical conflicts are driving up energy prices, exacerbating inflationary pressures, thereby weakening the appeal of risk assets. From an institutional perspective, some analysts believe that the current outflow of ETF funds is part of portfolio rebalancing rather than a trend-based withdrawal.The options market shows that Bitcoin faces significant resistance in the $82,000-$84,000 range, while $77,000 is a key support level. If the price falls below this range and leverage does not cool down, the market may enter a deleveraging phase, increasing the risk of a correction.

The CLARITY Act advances in the Senate, potentially reshaping the landscape of cryptocurrency regulation in the United States

According to a16z crypto, on May 14, the U.S. Senate Banking Committee voted in a bipartisan manner to advance the "Digital Asset Market CLARITY Act" (CLARITY), marking a historic step in the legislative framework for the U.S. crypto market. The CLARITY Act aims to establish a clear regulatory framework for blockchain networks and digital assets, with core content including: clarifying the regulatory boundaries between the SEC and CFTC regarding crypto assets, regulating the operations of crypto exchanges, protecting consumer rights, and providing a clear path for compliant operation of blockchain networks in the U.S.a16z pointed out that the U.S. has relied on "regulatory enforcement instead of legislation" over the past decade, which not only distorts the market and stifles innovation but also gives rise to a large number of regulatory arbitrage activities, leading many crypto projects to move overseas. The bill references the 2024 FIT21 Act and the 2025 House version of the CLARITY Act, and further improves upon them. Currently, the two drafts from the Senate Banking Committee and the Agriculture Committee will be merged into a unified bill, which will be submitted for a full Senate vote, and after passing, will also require approval from the House of Representatives and the President's signature to officially take effect.a16z compares this legislative progress to the historical significance of the 1933 Securities Act and cites the precedent of explosive growth in the industry following the passage of the GENIUS stablecoin bill, believing that once CLARITY is implemented, it will usher in a new wave of innovation for the U.S. crypto industry.

Crude oil prices continue to rise, and the trading volume of Gate crude oil contracts ranks among the top in the market

According to CoinGlass data, Brent crude oil (XBR) is currently priced at $102.78, up 0.68% in 24 hours; WTI crude oil (XTI) is currently priced at $98.45, up 1.33% in 24 hours, with active trading in oil-related contracts. Among them, for XBR, the trading volume on the Gate platform is approximately $5.45 million, ranking first across the network; for XTI, the trading pair XTI/USDT has a 24-hour trading volume of approximately $3.4613 million, maintaining high market attention, reflecting the platform's liquidity and product advantages in the oil derivatives market.In addition, Gate has renamed the trading symbol for the XBR perpetual contract to BZ and officially launched the BZ perpetual contract; at the same time, the trading symbol for the XTI perpetual contract has been renamed to CL and officially launched the CL perpetual contract. This only involves adjustments to the trading symbols, while the contract underlying and trading rules remain unchanged. Gate will further improve the product system for oil derivatives on the platform.Gate contracts have taken the lead in the oil market, pioneering the commodity contract sector, covering XBRUSDT (Brent crude oil) and WTIUSDT (WTI crude oil) perpetual contract trading, providing 24/7 trading, USDT settlement, and up to 100 times leverage, assisting users in cross-market asset allocation and strategic layout in volatile markets.

Federal Reserve's staunch dove governor Mylan announces resignation

Federal Reserve Governor Stephen Milan officially submitted his resignation on Thursday, stating that he would vacate his seat on the Federal Reserve Board at or before the inauguration of the new chairman, Kevin Warsh.Milan took over her position on the board after Adriana Kugler's sudden resignation in August 2025. Milan has played a dissenting role in the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), which is responsible for setting interest rates. In the six FOMC meetings he attended, he voted "no" each time.He stated that he believes personal consumption expenditures (PCE) inflation, particularly in housing, will gradually return to normal levels, and reiterated that, given the lagging nature of monetary policy, he believes it is necessary to cut interest rates.Milan has consistently advocated for lower interest rates and opposed the three rate cuts of 25 basis points each approved by the FOMC in 2025, as he supported larger cuts. This year, he voted three times against the decision to maintain interest rates, instead supporting a 25 basis point cut.Additionally, he mentioned that he has been pushing for a more forward-looking monetary policy approach and believes the Federal Reserve "needs to better consider non-monetary factors and their impact on monetary policy." He specifically pointed out the effects of slowing population growth and reduced immigration on employment, as well as the deflationary pressures brought about by regulatory easing.
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